Attempt blocked. J. Durán (Benfica), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.
1'
Kick-off: AC Milan vs Benfica.
Where the money is
4729539 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds3376860 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
55.4%
-43.6 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
38.5%
+38.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.1%
+6.0 vs price
Half time13143 EUR · live
Away
1.39 · implied 71.9%
76.9%
+4.9 vs price
Home
19.5 · implied 5.1%
16.7%
+11.5 vs price
Draw
4.0 · implied 25.0%
6.4%
-18.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals741523 EUR · live
Over
12.0 · implied 8.3%
54.9%
+46.5 vs price
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
45.1%
-46.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals18033 EUR · live
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
92.6%
+6.4 vs price
Over
6.8 · implied 14.7%
7.4%
-7.3 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shape
Shot map
xG sized
GoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
GoalOn targetOff targetBlocked● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
11'S. Pavlović· Foul
16'⚽D. Lukebakio· assist J. Kamiński0–1
26'S. El Karouani· Foul
37'J. Durán· Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'🔁M. Gila◂ F. Terracciano
46'🔁C. Pulišić◂ O. Hutchinson
53'⚽J. Kamiński· assist S. El Karouani0–2
57'🔁A. Saelemaekers◂ D. Bartesaghi
57'🔁D. Moreira◂ A. Cissè
70'🔁G. Prestianni◂ G. Sudakov
70'🔁L. Barreiro◂ F. Aursnes
73'🔁A. Rabiot◂ A. Jashari
77'D. Banjaqui· Foul
80'🔁V. Pavlidis◂ J. Durán
80'🔁A. Schjelderup◂ J. Kamiński
84'L. Barreiro· Foul
88'🔁S. Dahl◂ S. El Karouani
Full-time · 0–2
90'+2V. Pavlidis· Foul
Coaches
Rúben Amorim
Marco Silva
Recent form
AC Milan
DALazio2-2
DAJuventus1-1
WHVenezia2-0
WATorino2-1
WHManchester United4-2
Benfica
WHGil Vicente3-1
WAMoreirense4-0
WACS Marítimo3-0
WHEstoril Praia2-1
WAAGF3-1
About this match
**San Siro's turning into a proper midweek battleground.** AC Milan host an absolutely **rampant Benfica** side that's cruising through Portugal like they're on a cheat code. 🔴
Milan's been solid domestically but draws against Juventus and Lazio suggest they can look shaky on the road — and defending at home will need sharpness they haven't quite shown lately. Benfica, meanwhile, just demolished everyone 5-0 in their last two games combined. That's the kind of form that travels.
Key storylines:
- **Benfica's attack vs Milan's creaky backline**: Missing Gila and Gabbia is rough; Pavlović and De Winter will be tested hard by Cabral and Durán - **Midfield battle around Musah and Rabiot**: If Milan can control tempo through the centre, they've got a shot; Prestianni and Silva need to keep things tight for Benfica - **Home advantage on the edge**: Milan unbeaten at San Siro in this stretch, but Benfica's won four straight — form vs familiar ground
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed
quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the
published calls at 87.0%.
Highlight
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