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Marco Silva
injured
injured
injured
injured
injured
injured
injured
injured
injured
Benfica
Lech Poznań
Benfica
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Lech Poznań
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
10516 EUR
Home
1.19 · implied 84.0%
99.0%
+14.9 vs price
Draw
8.8 · implied 11.4%
1.0%
-10.4 vs price
Away
17.5 · implied 5.7%
0.1%
-5.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
25 EUR
Under
3.2 · implied 31.2%
100.0%
+68.8 vs price
2 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Coaches
Marco SilvaNiels Frederiksen 
Injuries & suspensions
Benfica
D. Banjaqui
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-10
E. Barrenechea
Knee Injury · back 2026-11-10
L. Barreiro
Cruciate Ligament Injury · back 2027-07-10
Lech Poznań
A. Douglas
Broken Rib · back 2026-11-30
A. Gholizadeh
Cruciate Ligament Injury · back 2027-01-20
A. Sayyad
Hamstring Injury · back 2026-11-20
J. Moutinho
Broken Foot · back 2027-02-10
M. Ishak
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-20
W. Mońka
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-20
Recent form
BenficaWHGil Vicente4-1
WASanta Clara2-1
WAOmonia Nicosia4-1
WHCeltic4-1
WHVitória SC2-0
Lech PoznańLASiarka Tarnobrzeg0-1
WALegia Warszawa2-1
DHSunderland1-1
WHMKS Korona Kielce6-1
LHBayer 04 Leverkusen0-4
Where to watch
CazéTV
M+ Liga de Campeones 10Movistar Plus+ (streaming)
HBO Max (UK)TNT Sports 6
TV2 PlayViaplay
Disney+ Sverige
DAZN USParamount+
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio da Luz
City
Lisbon
Kickoff
05 Nov, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Europa League
🔮 AI-predicted lineup · 77% confidence — confirmed XI drops ~1h before kickoff
Benfica
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Lech Poznań
24
S. Soares
7.2
44
T. Araújo
7.4
26
S. Dahl
6.2
2
C. Lenglet
7.2
6
A. Bah
7.2
36
J. Palhinha
7.1
25
G. Prestianni
8.3
14
V. Pavlidis
7.2
21
A. Schjelderup
7.3
22
J. Durán
6.8
72
A. Cabral
6.5
1
M. Lis
7.0
2
J. Pereira
7.2
15
M. Gurgul
6.8
72
M. Skrzypczak
6.7
59
T. Yegbe
6.3
21
P. Rodríguez
7.7
10
P. Wålemark
7.6
22
R. Murawski
6.9
43
A. Kozubal
6.8
7
Y. Agnero
6.5
56
W. Szymczak
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 1 bookmaker
Who winsBenfica to win (DNB) 81% · 1.05 @ Bet365
1X2Benfica to win 66% · 1.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64% · 1.36 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.10 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.95 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 19% · 3.10 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.91 @ Bet365
1X2Lech to win 15% · 10.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensusnext update 00:09 UTC
1X2consensus
1.18
Benfica
6.50
Draw
12.00
Lech Poznań
Double Chanceconsensus
1.05
Benfica or Draw
1.11
Benfica or Lech Poznań
4.50
Draw or Lech Poznań
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.80
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
21.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
7.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.36
Over 2.50
3.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.91
Over 3.50
1.91
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.00
Over 4.50
1.40
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.05
Benfica
11.00
Lech Poznań
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
1.50
Benfica
3.10
Draw
10.00
Lech Poznań
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 86.9% of these turn out right.
Benfica to win or draw
85%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Benfica to avoid defeat
81%
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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