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AC Milan
AC Milan
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
AC Milan
AC Milan
AC Milan
Bournemouth
Marco Rose
Bournemouth
AC Milan
Bournemouth
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
AC Milan
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Bournemouth 3-0 AC Milan.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
76'
AC Milan
Corner, AC Milan.
75'
AC Milan
Corner, AC Milan.
70'
Bournemouth
Corner, Bournemouth.
70'
Attempt missed. R. Christie (Bournemouth), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.
68'
Attempt missed. R. Christie (Bournemouth), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
62'
Bournemouth
Offside, Bournemouth.
56'
Bournemouth
Corner, Bournemouth.
49'
Bournemouth
Corner, Bournemouth.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Bournemouth 2-0 AC Milan.
45'
5 minutes of added time.
43'
Attempt missed. M. Tavernier (Bournemouth), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
39'
Bournemouth
Offside, Bournemouth.
27'
Bournemouth
Corner, Bournemouth.
26'
AC Milan
Offside, AC Milan.
23'
AC Milan
Corner, AC Milan.
13'
AC Milan
Corner, AC Milan.
4'
Bournemouth
Corner, Bournemouth.
1'
Kick-off: Bournemouth vs AC Milan.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1036939 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.2%
-15.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.5%
+10.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.3%
+6.2 vs price
Half time
533 EUR
Home
2.54 · implied 39.4%
70.4%
+31.0 vs price
Away
5.1 · implied 19.6%
16.6%
-3.0 vs price
Draw
2.54 · implied 39.4%
13.1%
-26.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
289745 EUR · live
Over
2.46 · implied 40.7%
62.3%
+21.6 vs price
Under
1.7 · implied 58.8%
37.7%
-21.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
365 EUR
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
71.7%
-14.5 vs price
Over
7.4 · implied 13.5%
28.3%
+14.8 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
VAR
Penalty check · Evanilson
8'
⚽
J. Kluivert (pen)1–0
16'
B. Diakité · Foul
27'
M. Maignan · Violent conduct
29'
T. Adams · Argument
32'
⚽
M. Tavernier (pen)2–0
32'
🔁
L. Torriani ◂ O. Hutchinson
35'
P. Estupiñán · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
A. Rabiot ◂ R. Loftus-Cheek
46'
🔁
D. Bartesaghi ◂ P. Estupiñán
61'
🔁
L. Cook ◂ T. Adams
62'
🔁
A. Tóth ◂ J. Kluivert
62'
🔁
Rayan ◂ M. Tavernier
63'
F. Tomori · Foul
66'
🔁
S. Diawara ◂ F. Tomori
66'
🔁
Á. Rodriguez ◂ Evanilson
76'
🔁
C. Comotto ◂ D. Moreira
77'
🔁
A. Adli ◂ A. Tóth
81'
K. De Winter · Foul
84'
⚽
A. Adli3–0
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Marco RoseRúben Amorim 
Recent form
BournemouthWHSunderland2-0
WHSK Sturm Graz3-0
LAChelsea1-5
LHLiverpool FC0-1
WAReal Sociedad2-1
AC MilanWHAtalanta3-2
WARed Bull Salzburg4-0
DASassuolo1-1
WHLecce3-0
LHBenfica0-2
About this match
**Bournemouth's on a high in Europe, but AC Milan's here to remind them there's levels to this.** The Cherries have won both their Europa League home games so far, yet they're stepping up drastically in competition against Stefano Pioli's Rossoneri — who've been ruthless in the group stage. 🔥
Bournemouth are rolling domestically and in this competition, but **AC Milan's pedigree and continental experience** could prove the difference on the road. Milan have won three of their last five across all competitions and look sharp after dismantling Red Bull Salzburg 4-0.
Key storylines:
- **Bournemouth's Evanilson and D. Jebbison** need to be clinical up top against a Milan defence missing M. Gabbia — a chance to exploit weakened backline depth.
- **C. Pulišić pulling strings** for Milan in midfield will be the creative fulcrum; if he controls tempo, the visitors should dictate.
- Home crowd at the Vitality could unsettle Milan's passing game, but A. Rabiot and Y. Musah form a solid shield.
Expected lineups:
- **Bournemouth**: Đ. Petrović, A. Silva, J. Hill, A. Smith, Rayan, M. Tavernier, Evanilson, D. Jebbison
- **AC Milan**: M. Maignan, S. Pavlović, K. De Winter, F. Tomori, C. Pulišić, A. Rabiot, G. Ramos, A. Cisse
Prediction:
**AC Milan 2–1 Bournemouth.** Slight edge to Milan's composure and depth; Bournemouth won't make it easy at home though.
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Vitality Stadium
City
Bournemouth
Kickoff
22 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Europa League
Highlights & clips
Bournemouth
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
AC Milan
20
M. Di Gregorio
6.6
5
J. Hill
7.9
18
B. Diakité
6.8
14
A. Silva
8.5
3
A. Truffert
6.9
11
B. Doak
7.3
10
R. Christie
7.1
4
L. Cook
6.6
↑ 61'
27
A. Tóth
6.5
↑ 62'
37
Rayan
7.6
↑ 62'
30
Á. Rodriguez
6.4
↑ 66'
16
M. Maignan
4.1
13
S. Diawara
6.2
↑ 66'
5
K. De Winter
7.3
31
S. Pavlović
6.7
28
C. Comotto
6.6
↑ 76'
80
Y. Musah
6.0
30
A. Jashari
6.6
12
A. Rabiot
7.0
↑ 46'
96
L. Torriani
7.1
↑ 32'
33
D. Bartesaghi
6.2
↑ 46'
70
A. Cisse
6.3
Top stats
64%Possession36%
3.14Expected goals (xG)0.11
20Total shots3
7Shots on target0
4Big chances0
6Corners4
Shots
10Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
11Shots inside box2
9Shots outside box1
2Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.0Goals prevented-0.09
Attack
33Touches in box9
66Final third entries33
2Offsides1
13Free kicks18
6Fouled in final third2
Passing
512Passes286
452Accurate passes226
23/38 (61%)Long balls20/46 (43%)
3/19 (16%)Crosses1/11 (9%)
29Throw-ins17
Duels
53Duels47
44/83 (53%)Ground duels39/83 (47%)
12/23 (52%)Aerial duels11/23 (48%)
10/18 (56%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)
8Dispossessed14
Defending
20Tackles16
70Tackles won56
8Interceptions8
12Clearances29
43Recoveries41
Discipline
18Fouls15
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
0Big saves3
1Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.10 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.20 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Bournemouth to win 48% · 2.38 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.83 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 2.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.66 @ 1xBet
Who winsBournemouth to win (DNB) 56% · 1.40 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
1X2Milan to win 26% · 3.66 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.45 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
Bournemouth
3.70
Draw
3.67
AC Milan
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Bournemouth or Draw
1.27
Bournemouth or AC Milan
1.83
Draw or AC Milan
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.63
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.19
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.75
Over 3.50
1.43
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.39
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.38
Bournemouth
2.87
AC Milan
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50
2.95
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.24
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.00
Over 9.50
1.81
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.55
Over 10.50
1.46
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.38
Over 11.50
1.24
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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