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Sunderland
Sunderland
Sunderland
Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
Sunderland
Niels Frederiksen
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
Lech Poznań
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sunderland
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Lech Poznań 1-1 Sunderland.
90+1'
Sunderland
Corner, Sunderland.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
90'
Sunderland
Corner, Sunderland.
78'
Sunderland
Offside, Sunderland.
72'
Lech Poznań
Corner, Lech Poznań.
70'
Lech Poznań
Corner, Lech Poznań.
59'
Sunderland
Corner, Sunderland.
46'
Lech Poznań
Corner, Lech Poznań.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Lech Poznań 0-1 Sunderland.
45'
1 minute of added time.
24'
Sunderland
Corner, Sunderland.
22'
Lech Poznań
Offside, Lech Poznań.
17'
Lech Poznań
Corner, Lech Poznań.
13'
Sunderland
Corner, Sunderland.
12'
Sunderland
Corner, Sunderland.
2'
Goal! Lech Poznań 0-1 Sunderland. T. Tuterov (Sunderland) scores, assisted by N. Angulo.
1'
Kick-off: Lech Poznań vs Sunderland.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
789882 EUR · live
Away
100.0 · implied 1.0%
73.1%
+72.0 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
18.5%
-79.6 vs price
Home
110.0 · implied 0.9%
8.5%
+7.6 vs price
Half time
3686 EUR
Away
2.56 · implied 39.1%
91.8%
+52.7 vs price
Home
5.0 · implied 20.0%
4.7%
-15.3 vs price
Draw
2.52 · implied 39.7%
3.5%
-36.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
179215 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
58.7%
-40.3 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
41.3%
+38.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1047 EUR
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
94.1%
+7.9 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
5.9%
-8.4 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
⚽
T. Tuterov · assist N. Angulo0–1
41'
K. Danso · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
62'
🔁
L. Bengtsson ◂ P. Rodríguez
62'
🔁
L. Palma ◂ D. Håkans
63'
🔁
T. Hume ◂ N. Mukiele
63'
🔁
N. Sadiki ◂ G. Xhaka
63'
🔁
E. Le Fée ◂ H. Diarra
63'
🔁
C. Rigg ◂ N. Angulo
70'
⚽
L. Bengtsson1–1
82'
🔁
G. Berggren ◂ P. Wålemark
83'
🔁
Y. Agnero ◂ R. Murawski
85'
🔁
R. Mandava ◂ T. Tuterov
87'
🔁
F. Jagiełło ◂ M. Ishak
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Niels FrederiksenRégis Le Bris 
Recent form
Lech PoznańWHMKS Korona Kielce6-1
LHBayer 04 Leverkusen0-4
WAŚląsk Wrocław4-1
DHEnergie Cottbus2-2
WHRadomiak Radom5-1
SunderlandLABournemouth0-2
WATorreense2-1
LHBrighton & Hove Albion0-2
LAManchester City3-5
WHAZ Alkmaar1-0
About this match
**Lech's flying high at home, but Sunderland's landed in Poland with teeth still bared.** A cracking Europa League tussle between a Polish side on fire and an English outfit hunting redemption. 🔥
Lech are the red-hot favorites here — three wins in their last five and a bonkers 6-1 demolition of Korona just recently. Sunderland? They're wobbling, with just two wins in five and back-to-back defeats to Bournemouth and Brighton before sneaking past Torreense. That 0-4 hammering at home to Leverkusen shows Lech can leak goals, though.
Key storylines:
- **M. Ishak and Y. Agnero** lead Lech's attack at their fortress; the Enea Poznań crowd will be buzzing
- Sunderland's missing half their back line with **B. Brobbey, D. Ballard, R. Mundle, and T. Meunier** all sidelined, forcing a reshuffled defensive effort
- **P. Rodríguez and R. Murawski** anchor Lech's midfield as they look to control tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Lech Poznań**: M. Lis, J. Pereira, M. Gurgul, M. Skrzypczak, T. Yegbe, P. Rodríguez, R. Murawski, P. Wålemark, L. Palma, M. Ishak, Y. Agnero
- **Sunderland**: R. Roefs, N. Mukiele, R. Mandava, T. Hume, K. Danso, N. Sadiki, G. Xhaka, A. Browne, E. Le Fée, J. T. Bi, W. Isidor
Prediction:
**Lech Poznań 2–0 Sunderland.** Home fortress + injury crisis for the visitors = edge to the Poles. 🟡⚫
Where to watch
M+ Liga de Campeones 3
TOD
Disney+ (AR)ViX
Prime Video
Paramount+
Prime Video
TOD
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 5 SurViX
CazéTVPrime Video
Disney+ (CHI)Disney+ Premium ChileViX
Disney+ (COL)ESPN 5 SurViX
ViX
Sky Sport 2Sky Sport MixWOW
TOD
Disney+ DanmarkTV2 Play
ViX
TOD
ESPN 5 SurViX
TOD
M+ Liga de Campeones 3M+ Liga de Campeones 9Movistar Plus+ (streaming)Prime Video
ViaplayViaplay TV (FI)
HBO Max (UK)TNT Sports 1
ViX
ViX
Arena Sport 7 HR
TNT Sports 1
Sport 3
TOD
NOW
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
ViX
ViX
TV2 PlayV Sport 3 NorwayViaplay
TOD
ViX
Disney+ (PER)Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 5 SurViX
Polsat Sport 1Polsat Sport Premium 1
ViX
TOD
ESPN 5 SurViX
TOD
TOD
Disney+ Sverige
NOW
TOD
TOD
ViX
TOD
TOD
TOD
Paramount+Prime VideoViX
ESPN 5 SurViX
ESPN 5 SurViX
TOD
Match facts
Stadium
Enea Poznań
City
Poznan
Kickoff
22 Oct, 16:45 UTC
Competition
Europa League
Highlights & clips
Lech Poznań
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sunderland
1
M. Lis
8.3
2
J. Pereira
7.1
72
M. Skrzypczak
7.2
59
T. Yegbe
7.0
15
M. Gurgul
6.2
43
A. Kozubal
6.4
7
Y. Agnero
6.5
↑ 83'
5
G. Berggren
6.7
↑ 82'
14
L. Bengtsson
7.0
↑ 62'
77
L. Palma
6.8
↑ 62'
24
F. Jagiełło
↑ 87'
22
R. Roefs
7.9
32
T. Hume
6.9
↑ 63'
4
K. Danso
6.3
13
L. O'Nien
7.2
6
D. Methalie
6.3
11
C. Rigg
6.3
↑ 63'
29
J. Ahoka
6.6
27
N. Sadiki
6.7
↑ 63'
28
E. Le Fée
7.2
↑ 63'
39
M. Fofana
6.9
17
R. Mandava
6.7
↑ 85'
Substitutes
31GW. Obremski
33GM. Pruchniewski
55DP. Bartczak
90DH. Janyszka
10MP. Wålemark↓ 82'7.9
22MR. Murawski↓ 83'7.0
21MP. Rodríguez↓ 62'6.9
11MD. Håkans↓ 62'6.3
9FM. Ishak↓ 87'6.7
56FW. Szymczak
Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Top stats
43%Possession57%
2.64Expected goals (xG)2.97
16Total shots25
6Shots on target11
5Big chances2
3Corners6
Shots
8Shots off target11
2Blocked shots3
14Shots inside box20
2Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
5Big chances missed1
1.35Goals prevented1.23
Attack
24Touches in box40
33Final third entries78
1Offsides1
13Free kicks7
Passing
395Passes505
311Accurate passes442
17/60 (28%)Long balls14/45 (31%)
3/10 (30%)Crosses3/27 (11%)
14Throw-ins17
Duels
54Duels46
26/51 (51%)Ground duels25/51 (49%)
13/21 (62%)Aerial duels8/21 (38%)
4/12 (33%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
3Dispossessed2
Defending
9Tackles11
22Tackles won91
5Interceptions12
34Clearances17
39Recoveries52
Discipline
7Fouls13
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
11Saves5
0Big saves1
21Goal kicks9
3Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Sunderland to win 55% · 2.05 @ Bet365
Who winsLech to win (DNB) 83% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.97 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.10 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 24% · 2.69 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
1X2Lech to win 21% · 4.60 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.60
Lech Poznań
3.90
Draw
1.71
Sunderland
Double Chanceconsensus
2.08
Lech Poznań or Draw
1.22
Lech Poznań or Sunderland
1.19
Draw or Sunderland
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.69
Yes
2.10
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
8.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.80
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.80
Over 3.50
1.41
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.40
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.30
Lech Poznań
1.30
Sunderland
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.09
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.57
Over 8.50
2.30
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.95
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.44
Over 10.50
1.49
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.23
Over 11.50
1.26
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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