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NK Celje
NK Celje
Omonia Nicosia
NK Celje
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
NK Celje
Omonia Nicosia
NK Celje
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
Zoran Zeljkovic
NK Celje
Omonia Nicosia
NK Celje
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Omonia Nicosia
Commentary
90'
Full-time. NK Celje 0-3 Omonia Nicosia.
90+2'
NK Celje
Offside, NK Celje.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
88'
NK Celje
Corner, NK Celje.
84'
Omonia Nicosia
Corner, Omonia Nicosia.
84'
Goal! NK Celje 0-3 Omonia Nicosia. S. Coulibaly (Omonia Nicosia) scores, assisted by M. Mayambela.
71'
NK Celje
Corner, NK Celje.
70'
Attempt blocked. A. Tutyškinas (NK Celje), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.16.
61'
Attempt missed. M. Tanković (Omonia Nicosia), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
61'
Omonia Nicosia
Corner, Omonia Nicosia.
59'
Goal! NK Celje 0-2 Omonia Nicosia. M. Tanković (Omonia Nicosia) scores, assisted by J. Duverne.
56'
Omonia Nicosia
Corner, Omonia Nicosia.
48'
NK Celje
Corner, NK Celje.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. NK Celje 0-1 Omonia Nicosia.
45+3'
Omonia Nicosia
Corner, Omonia Nicosia.
45+1'
NK Celje
Offside, NK Celje.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
31'
Omonia Nicosia
Corner, Omonia Nicosia.
16'
Goal! NK Celje 0-1 Omonia Nicosia. J. Montnor (Omonia Nicosia) scores, assisted by E. Costa.
5'
Attempt blocked. M. Tanković (Omonia Nicosia), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
5'
Omonia Nicosia
Corner, Omonia Nicosia.
1'
Kick-off: NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
76892 EUR · live
Over
3.15 · implied 31.7%
59.3%
+27.6 vs price
Under
1.45 · implied 69.0%
40.7%
-28.3 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
9'
VAR
Goal not given after review · L. Diony
13'
A. Tutyškinas · Foul
16'
⚽
J. Montnor · assist E. Costa0–1
33'
Ł. Bejger · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
M. Kvesić ◂ L. Tičić
52'
M. Kvesić · Argument
59'
⚽
M. Tanković · assist J. Duverne0–2
62'
🔁
A. Kučys ◂ P. Daniel
62'
🔁
A. Diounkou ◂ Ł. Bejger
62'
🔁
B. Verbič ◂ Y. Dukuly
69'
J. Montnor · Argument
69'
🔁
F. Tănase ◂ M. Tanković
69'
🔁
A. Kakoullis ◂ L. Diony
73'
🔁
L. Koutris ◂ M. Avdyli
75'
🔁
M. Mayambela ◂ J. Montnor
82'
B. Verbič · Argument
83'
S. Coulibaly · Time wasting
84'
⚽
S. Coulibaly · assist M. Mayambela0–3
89'
🔁
S. Simic ◂ S. Coulibaly
89'
🔁
L. Négo ◂ E. Costa
Full-time · 0–3
Coaches
Zoran ZeljkovicHenning Berg 
Recent form
NK CeljeLABayer 04 Leverkusen0-2
LHŠK Slovan Bratislava1-2
DAŠK Slovan Bratislava1-1
WHFC Ararat-Armenia2-0
LAFC Ararat-Armenia1-2
Omonia NicosiaWHCelta Vigo1-0
WHSint-Truidense VV4-2
LASint-Truidense VV0-1
WHLincoln Red Imps1-0
DALincoln Red Imps1-1
About this match
**Omonia rolls into Slovenia as the favorites here** — Cypriot outfit's been sharp in Europe, while Celje's struggling badly. 🔥
Omonia's **3W-1D run** looks legit next to Celje's **1W-3L slump**. The visitors hammered Sint-Truidense 4-2 at home and beat Celta Vigo; Celje's bleeding goals and just scraped a draw at Bratislava. This feels like a mismatch on paper.
Key storylines:
- **Omonia's attack vs Celje's leaky defense**: E. Costa and L. Diony have been clinical; Celje without J. Pišek (cruciate ligament injury) is stretched thin at the back.
- **Midfield battle**: M. Marić and P. Andreou will be tasked with controlling tempo against M. Avdyli and M. Zabukovnik, who need a big showing.
- **Home-ground grind**: Celje must dig deep at Arena Z'dezele, but form suggests they'll struggle to impose.
Expected lineups:
- **NK Celje**: Ž. L. Leban, L. Koutris, A. Tutyškinas, Ł. Bejger, P. Širvys, M. Avdyli, M. Zabukovnik, Y. Dukuly, S. Sešlar
- **Omonia Nicosia**: Fabiano, J. Balkovec, S. Coulibaly, Ľ. Šatka, J. Duverne, M. Marić, P. Andreou, E. Costa, L. Diony
Prediction:
**Omonia 2-0 Celje**. Cypriot nous edges out a misfiring home side. 🎯
Where to watch
Disney+ (AR)ViX
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Disney+ (COL)ViX
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ViX
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M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Viaplay
Canal+ Live 14
HBO Max (UK)
ViX
ViX
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TV2 PlayViaplay
ViX
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Match facts
Stadium
Arena Z’dezele
City
Celje
Kickoff
15 Oct, 16:45 UTC
Competition
Europa League
NK Celje
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Omonia Nicosia
1
Ž. L. Leban
6.3
20
A. Diounkou
6.9
↑ 62'
15
Ž. Žužek
6.7
6
A. Tutyškinas
6.3
33
L. Koutris
6.3
↑ 73'
7
B. Verbič
6.3
↑ 62'
47
A. Kučys
6.5
↑ 62'
19
M. Zabukovnik
6.5
8
M. Kvesić
6.8
↑ 46'
10
S. Sešlar
7.8
9
B. Kramer
6.3
40
Fabiano
7.5
93
J. Duverne
7.5
27
S. Simic
↑ 89'
37
Ľ. Šatka
7.2
29
J. Balkovec
7.4
77
L. Négo
↑ 89'
74
P. Andreou
7.4
14
M. Marić
7.1
21
M. Mayambela
6.6
↑ 75'
17
F. Tănase
6.6
↑ 69'
9
A. Kakoullis
6.9
↑ 69'
Substitutes
12GL. Kolar
23GŽ. Frelih
44DŁ. Bejger↓ 62'6.1
13MP. Daniel↓ 62'7.0
91MY. Dukuly↓ 62'6.9
14ML. Tičić↓ 46'6.4
11MM. Avdyli↓ 73'6.4
4MD. Hrka
25MV. Tusha
77MM. Ivansek
31FD. Suhovrsnik
Coach: Zoran Zeljkovic
Top stats
61%Possession39%
0.89Expected goals (xG)2.06
12Total shots14
2Shots on target6
1Big chances5
3Corners5
Shots
7Shots off target7
3Blocked shots1
9Shots inside box8
3Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed3
-0.86Goals prevented0.56
Attack
28Touches in box25
60Final third entries39
2Offsides1
9Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
668Passes427
594Accurate passes351
17/34 (50%)Long balls26/54 (48%)
5/23 (22%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
16Throw-ins9
Duels
56Duels44
27/48 (56%)Ground duels21/48 (44%)
6/11 (55%)Aerial duels5/11 (45%)
4/6 (67%)Dribbles2/10 (20%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
15Tackles11
60Tackles won55
12Interceptions18
14Clearances29
50Recoveries52
Discipline
9Fouls9
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
2Big saves0
7Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 2.10 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
1X2Omonia to win 38% · 2.79 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.51 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.05 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.50 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.39 @ Pinnacle
Who winsCelje to win (DNB) 53% · 2.00 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
1X2Celje to win 35% · 3.04 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.75
NK Celje
3.40
Draw
2.50
Omonia Nicosia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.50
NK Celje or Draw
1.29
NK Celje or Omonia Nicosia
1.40
Draw or Omonia Nicosia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.63
Yes
2.17
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50
3.88
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50
1.96
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.04
Over 3.50
1.35
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.92
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.94
NK Celje
1.80
Omonia Nicosia
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.33
Over 7.50
3.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.20
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.10
Over 9.50
1.65
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.88
Over 10.50
1.36
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.00
Over 11.50
1.20
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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