Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo.

90+4'

J. Montnor

Substitution, Omonia Nicosia: M. Mayambela comes on for J. Montnor.

90+3'

E. Costa

Substitution, Omonia Nicosia: F. Tănase comes on for E. Costa.

90+2'

M. Román

Attempt blocked. M. Román (Celta Vigo), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

90+1'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

90+1'

M. Alonso

Attempt missed. M. Alonso (Celta Vigo), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

90+1'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

B. Iglesias

Attempt saved. B. Iglesias (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90'

A. Kakoullis

Attempt saved. A. Kakoullis (Omonia Nicosia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

88'

J. Balkovec

Goal! Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo. J. Balkovec (Omonia Nicosia) scores.

85'

M. Alonso

Attempt missed. M. Alonso (Celta Vigo), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

85'

C. Starfelt

Cleared off the line! C. Starfelt (Celta Vigo), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.33.

85'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

84'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

84'

M. Román

Attempt saved. M. Román (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

82'

B. Iglesias

Attempt blocked. B. Iglesias (Celta Vigo), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

82'

J. Rodríguez

Attempt missed. J. Rodríguez (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

82'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

79'

P. Andreou

Attempt blocked. P. Andreou (Omonia Nicosia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

78'

A. Núñez

Substitution, Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias comes on for A. Núñez.

76'

H. González

Attempt blocked. H. González (Celta Vigo), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

75'

L. Diony

Substitution, Omonia Nicosia: A. Kakoullis comes on for L. Diony.

72'

J. Balkovec

Attempt missed. J. Balkovec (Omonia Nicosia), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

72'

P. Durán

Substitution, Celta Vigo: H. Álvarez comes on for P. Durán.

72'

H. Burcio

Substitution, Celta Vigo: A. Febas comes on for H. Burcio.

70'

Celta Vigo

Offside, Celta Vigo.

68'

S. Coulibaly

Attempt missed. S. Coulibaly (Omonia Nicosia), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

68'

W. Swedberg

Yellow card for W. Swedberg (Celta Vigo) for foul.

66'

A. Núñez

Attempt missed. A. Núñez (Celta Vigo), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

65'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

63'

M. Tanković

Substitution, Omonia Nicosia: L. Brouwers comes on for M. Tanković.

60'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

60'

M. Román

Attempt blocked. M. Román (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

59'

Omonia Nicosia

Offside, Omonia Nicosia.

56'

F. Jutglà

Substitution, Celta Vigo: H. González comes on for F. Jutglà.

56'

C. Driouech

Substitution, Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg comes on for C. Driouech.

49'

L. Diony

Attempt missed. L. Diony (Omonia Nicosia), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Omonia Nicosia 0-0 Celta Vigo.

45+1'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

44'

C. Driouech

Attempt blocked. C. Driouech (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

41'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

41'

S. Carreira

Attempt saved. S. Carreira (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

39'

S. Coulibaly

Attempt missed. S. Coulibaly (Omonia Nicosia), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

38'

Omonia Nicosia

Corner, Omonia Nicosia.

38'

M. Marić

Attempt missed. M. Marić (Omonia Nicosia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

34'

M. Román

Attempt missed. M. Román (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

31'

Omonia Nicosia

Corner, Omonia Nicosia.

31'

J. Duverne

Attempt saved. J. Duverne (Omonia Nicosia), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

30'

M. Marić

Attempt saved. M. Marić (Omonia Nicosia), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

28'

P. Durán

Attempt saved. P. Durán (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

26'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

21'

H. Burcio

Attempt blocked. H. Burcio (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

14'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

14'

P. Durán

Attempt blocked. P. Durán (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

13'

A. Núñez

Attempt blocked. A. Núñez (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

9'

Omonia Nicosia

Corner, Omonia Nicosia.

9'

E. Costa

Attempt saved. E. Costa (Omonia Nicosia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

4'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

4'

C. Driouech

Attempt blocked. C. Driouech (Celta Vigo), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

1'

Kick-off: Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo.

Where the money is

2116841 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1264215 EUR · live

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

48.5%

+48.4 vs price

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

35.0%

-64.0 vs price

Draw 55.0 · implied 1.8%

17.5%

+15.7 vs price

Half time 6987 EUR · live

Draw 1.22 · implied 82.0%

37.7%

-44.3 vs price

Home 13.5 · implied 7.4%

35.3%

+27.8 vs price

Away 7.8 · implied 12.8%

27.0%

+14.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 145643 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

89.5%

-9.6 vs price

Over 310.0 · implied 0.3%

10.6%

+10.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2598 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

82.3%

-16.7 vs price

Over 200.0 · implied 0.5%

17.6%

+17.1 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

56' 🔁 W. Swedberg ◂ C. Driouech

56' 🔁 H. González ◂ F. Jutglà

63' 🔁 L. Brouwers ◂ M. Tanković

68' W. Swedberg · Foul

72' 🔁 A. Febas ◂ H. Burcio

72' 🔁 H. Álvarez ◂ P. Durán

75' 🔁 A. Kakoullis ◂ L. Diony

78' 🔁 B. Iglesias ◂ A. Núñez

88' ⚽ J. Balkovec1–0

Full-time · 1–0

90'⁺³ 🔁 F. Tănase ◂ E. Costa

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 M. Mayambela ◂ J. Montnor

Coaches

Henning Berg

Claudio Giráldez

Recent form

Omonia Nicosia

WHSint-Truidense VV4-2

LASint-Truidense VV0-1

WHLincoln Red Imps1-0

DALincoln Red Imps1-1

LAFC Kairat Almaty0-1

Celta Vigo

DHMálaga CF1-1

DAGetafe1-1

DAReal Sociedad0-0

LHAthletic Club0-2

LHOsasuna1-2

About this match

**Omonia host Celta in a classic David-vs-Goliath Europa League clash** — the Cypriot side are battle-hardened in qualifying while the Spanish outfit are still hunting for rhythm. 🇨🇾⚽

Omonia arrive off back-to-back wins over Sint-Truidense and Lincoln Red Imps in the qualifying rounds, building momentum at home. Celta, meanwhile, are stuck in a rut: three draws and two losses in their last five, including blanks against Real Sociedad and draws with Getafe and Málaga — they look vulnerable.

Key storylines:

- **Omonia's home fortress** — the GSP crowd will be electric, and Omonia have proven they can grind out results in European competition with wins already secured.
- **Celta's injury chaos** — losing A. Febas and B. Iglesias ahead of a continental trip is brutal, forcing rotation in a side already low on confidence.
- **J. Montnor and A. Kakoullis up top** — Omonia's attacking pair will look to press Celta's leaky rearguard, especially with I. Radu under pressure.

Expected lineups:

- **Omonia Nicosia**: Fabiano, J. Balkovec, S. Simic, C. Konstantinidis, E. Costa, M. Marić, P. Andreou, C. Eiting, J. Montnor, A. Kakoullis, M. Mayambela
- **Celta Vigo**: I. Radu, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, J. Galán, C. Starfelt, A. Núñez, M. Román, A. Antañón, F. Jutglà, I. Aspas, P. Durán

Prediction:

**Omonia 1–1 Celta** — the home side edge it on balance, but Celta's quality keeps it tight. Lean Omonia.

Where to watch

ESPN 2 ArgentinaESPN 2 SurViX

Match facts

Stadium

GSP Stadium

City

Nicosia

Referee

Balazs Berke

3.09 yellows/match · 11 matches

Kickoff

16 Sep, 16:45 UTC

Competition

Europa League

Highlights & clips

Omonia Nicosia 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2 Celta Vigo

40 Fabiano 7.7 93 J. Duverne 8.1 5 S. Coulibaly 7.8 37 Ľ. Šatka 7.4 29 J. Balkovec 8.5 74 P. Andreou 7.1 14 M. Marić 7.1 21 M. Mayambela ↑ 90' 20 L. Brouwers 6.8 ↑ 63' 17 F. Tănase ↑ 90' 9 A. Kakoullis 6.6 ↑ 75' 13 I. Radu 7.5 20 J. Rodríguez 6.7 2 C. Starfelt 6.6 3 M. Alonso 6.9 7 B. Iglesias 6.5 ↑ 78' 8 M. Román 6.3 5 S. Carreira 6.3 16 H. González 6.5 ↑ 56' 14 A. Febas 6.5 ↑ 72' 23 H. Álvarez 6.5 ↑ 72' 19 W. Swedberg 6.1 ↑ 56'

Substitutes

1GT. Kaminski 78GP. Michail 27DS. Simic 77DL. Négo 90DC. Konstantinidis 92DC. Panagiotis 11ME. Costa↓ 90'7.4 22MM. Tanković↓ 63'6.7 7MJ. Montnor↓ 90'6.3 82MA. Christou 99FL. Diony↓ 75'6.5 85FA. Neophytou

Coach: Henning Berg

Substitutes

1GA. Bayındır 15DA. Núñez↓ 78'7.0 4DA. Faye 18DY. Lago 21DS. Cáceres 22DJ. Galán 30MH. Burcio↓ 72'6.7 6MI. Moriba 17MJ. Rueda 24FC. Driouech↓ 56'6.5 9FF. Jutglà↓ 56'6.3 11FP. Durán↓ 72'6.2

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Top stats

46%Possession54%

0.3Expected goals (xG)1.46

10Total shots19

4Shots on target5

0Big chances1

3Corners11

Shots

5Shots off target5

1Blocked shots9

2Shots inside box12

8Shots outside box7

1Hit woodwork0

0Big chances missed1

0.25Goals prevented0.03

Attack

6Touches in box34

40Final third entries65

1Offsides2

15Free kicks4

1Fouled in final third1

Passing

487Passes551

421Accurate passes505

32/58 (55%)Long balls16/25 (64%)

1/8 (13%)Crosses6/26 (23%)

12Throw-ins15

Duels

61Duels39

26/42 (62%)Ground duels16/42 (38%)

4/7 (57%)Aerial duels3/7 (43%)

7/12 (58%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)

2Dispossessed0

Defending

6Tackles7

100Tackles won71

11Interceptions5

24Clearances17

47Recoveries53

Discipline

4Fouls15

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves3

1Big saves1

6Goal kicks3

0Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Omonia 24%

28%

Celta 48%

Who winsOmonia to win (DNB) 78% · 3.50 @ Bet365

1X2Celta to win 48% · 2.40 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.50 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ 888Sport

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.80 @ Unibet

1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.75 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.85 @ betfair

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ 1xBet

1X2Omonia to win 24% · 4.10 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.00

Omonia Nicosia

3.40

Draw

1.95

Celta Vigo

Double Chanceconsensus

1.83

Omonia Nicosia or Draw

1.30

Omonia Nicosia or Celta Vigo

1.22

Draw or Celta Vigo

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.90

Yes

1.82

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

4.33

YES

1.18

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

2.45

YES

1.48

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.10

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.30

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.00

Over 2.50

1.79

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.45

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.78

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.20

Omonia Nicosia

1.33

Celta Vigo

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.36

Over 7.50

2.67

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.72

Over 8.50

2.04

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.16

Over 9.50

1.64

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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