CSKA Sofia 1-2 AS Monaco: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. CSKA Sofia 1-2 AS Monaco.

90+5'

Á. Martino

Yellow card for Á. Martino (CSKA Sofia) for argument.

90+5'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

90+4'

C. Itu

Attempt blocked. C. Itu (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

90+3'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

AS Monaco

Offside, AS Monaco.

85'

M. Ebong

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: J. Eto'o comes on for M. Ebong.

85'

D. Almeida

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: T. Ivanov comes on for D. Almeida.

85'

I. Pittas

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: I. Solet comes on for I. Pittas.

78'

E. Diop

Yellow card for E. Diop (AS Monaco) for foul.

77'

A. Fati

Substitution, AS Monaco: A. Soubeir comes on for A. Fati.

77'

AS Monaco

Corner, AS Monaco.

76'

J. Zwarts

Goal! CSKA Sofia 1-2 AS Monaco. J. Zwarts (CSKA Sofia) scores, assisted by S. Sensi.

74'

J. Zwarts

Attempt blocked. J. Zwarts (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

73'

L. Godoy

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: J. Zwarts comes on for L. Godoy.

73'

L. Pereira

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: C. Itu comes on for L. Pereira.

72'

Á. Martino

Attempt missed. Á. Martino (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

70'

D. Zakaria

Off the woodwork! D. Zakaria (AS Monaco), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

69'

M. Ebong

Yellow card for M. Ebong (CSKA Sofia) for foul.

68'

E. Diop

Attempt saved. E. Diop (AS Monaco), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.

66'

F. Rodríguez

Attempt saved. F. Rodríguez (CSKA Sofia), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

66'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

65'

Á. Martino

Attempt saved. Á. Martino (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

64'

S. I. Muzambo

Substitution, AS Monaco: M. Abline comes on for S. I. Muzambo.

63'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

59'

I. Pittas

Attempt saved. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia), header from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

59'

M. Salisu

Substitution, AS Monaco: F. Nazinho comes on for M. Salisu.

59'

L. Camara

Substitution, AS Monaco: D. Zakaria comes on for L. Camara.

59'

T. Minamino

Substitution, AS Monaco: A. Golovin comes on for T. Minamino.

55'

I. Pittas

Attempt saved. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

51'

S. Sensi

Yellow card for S. Sensi (CSKA Sofia) for foul.

50'

L. Godoy

Attempt missed. L. Godoy (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

47'

B. Jordão

Attempt missed. B. Jordão (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

47'

L. Godoy

Attempt blocked. L. Godoy (CSKA Sofia), header. xG 0.02.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. CSKA Sofia 0-2 AS Monaco.

45+1'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

A. Fati

Goal! CSKA Sofia 0-2 AS Monaco. A. Fati (AS Monaco) scores, assisted by P. Brunner.

41'

Á. Martino

Attempt missed. Á. Martino (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

40'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

40'

M. Salisu

Attempt blocked. M. Salisu (AS Monaco), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

40'

S. Sané

Attempt blocked. S. Sané (AS Monaco), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

36'

L. Godoy

Attempt missed. L. Godoy (CSKA Sofia), header. xG 0.03.

35'

P. Brunner

Attempt saved. P. Brunner (AS Monaco), right-footed shot. xG 0.30.

29'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

29'

Á. Martino

Attempt blocked. Á. Martino (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

28'

P. Brunner

Attempt saved. P. Brunner (AS Monaco), header. xG 0.06.

25'

B. Jordão

Attempt missed. B. Jordão (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

24'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

23'

L. Godoy

Attempt missed. L. Godoy (CSKA Sofia), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

23'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

19'

P. Brunner

Attempt missed. P. Brunner (AS Monaco), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

14'

L. Godoy

Attempt blocked. L. Godoy (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

14'

I. Pittas

Attempt blocked. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

12'

S. Sensi

Attempt missed. S. Sensi (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.14.

12'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

11'

B. Jordão

Attempt missed. B. Jordão (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

10'

CSKA Sofia

Corner, CSKA Sofia.

10'

I. Pittas

Attempt blocked. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

6'

CSKA Sofia

Offside, CSKA Sofia.

3'

P. Brunner

Goal! CSKA Sofia 0-1 AS Monaco. P. Brunner (AS Monaco) scores, assisted by S. I. Muzambo.

3'

S. I. Muzambo

Attempt blocked. S. I. Muzambo (AS Monaco), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.24.

1'

Kick-off: CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco.

Where the money is

843646 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 586290 EUR · live

Away 1.06 · implied 94.3%

94.6%

+0.2 vs price

Draw 18.0 · implied 5.6%

3.7%

-1.9 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.8%

+1.7 vs price

Half time 5085 EUR · live

Away 1.08 · implied 92.6%

92.1%

-0.5 vs price

Draw 11.0 · implied 9.1%

4.5%

-4.6 vs price

Home 70.0 · implied 1.4%

3.4%

+2.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 62784 EUR · live

Over 1.75 · implied 57.1%

63.4%

+6.3 vs price

Under 2.36 · implied 42.4%

36.6%

-5.8 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

3' ⚽ P. Brunner · assist S. I. Muzambo0–1

43' ⚽ A. Fati · assist P. Brunner0–2

Half-time · 0–2

51' S. Sensi · Foul

59' 🔁 A. Golovin ◂ T. Minamino

59' 🔁 D. Zakaria ◂ L. Camara

59' 🔁 F. Nazinho ◂ M. Salisu

64' 🔁 M. Abline ◂ S. I. Muzambo

69' M. Ebong · Foul

73' 🔁 C. Itu ◂ L. Pereira

73' 🔁 J. Zwarts ◂ L. Godoy

76' ⚽ J. Zwarts · assist S. Sensi1–2

77' 🔁 A. Soubeir ◂ A. Fati

78' E. Diop · Foul

85' 🔁 I. Solet ◂ I. Pittas

85' 🔁 T. Ivanov ◂ D. Almeida

85' 🔁 J. Eto'o ◂ M. Ebong

Full-time · 1–2

90'⁺⁵ Á. Martino · Argument

Coaches

Markus Gisdol

Filipe Luís

Recent form

CSKA Sofia

WAFC CSKA 1948 Sofia3-2

DALokomotiv Plovdiv1-1

WALokomotiv Sofia2-0

WHArda Kardzhali4-1

DAFK Spartak Varna1-1

AS Monaco

DHToulouse2-2

WHPisa2-0

WHRC Lens2-1

DARC Strasbourg1-1

WAParis Saint-Germain2-1

About this match

**CSKA Sofia hosting Monaco in the Conference League feels like David vs. Goliath — except both squads just rolled through their last five matches unbeaten.** 🔴⚪

CSKA Sofia's domestic form is **red hot** (3W-2D), but they'll face a tougher test in European competition. Monaco are equally sharp domestically, though a 2-2 draw with Toulouse hints at some defensive fragility. The hosts have home advantage at Balgarska Armiya, but ASM's pedigree and tactical depth make them the slight favorite.

Key storylines:

- **E. Dier and the Monaco back line** face a CSKA attack led by **I. Pittas** and **J. Zwarts** — can the visitors' defense hold firm on the road?
- CSKA's **M. Brahimi** suspended due to red card; gaps in midfield creativity could be exposed
- **A. Golovin** and **D. Zakaria** orchestrating Monaco's press — will CSKA's **B. Jordão** and **M. Ebong** handle the midfield intensity?

Expected lineups:

- **CSKA Sofia**: F. Lapoukhov, T. Ivanov, F. Rodríguez, Á. Martino, Pastor, B. Jordão, M. Ebong, I. Solet, L. Godoy, I. Pittas, J. Zwarts
- **AS Monaco**: L. Hrádecký, F. Nazinho, E. Dier, S. Sané, Vanderson, L. Camara, D. Zakaria, M. Detourbet, A. Golovin, M. Biereth, M. Abline

Prediction:

**CSKA Sofia 1-2 AS Monaco**

Monaco's experience in continental football edges out a spirited home side. 🎯

Where to watch

Disney+ (AR)ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Vasil Levski National Sports Academy

City

Sofia

Referee

Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves

5.03 yellows/match · 37 matches

Kickoff

15 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Competition

Conference League

Highlights & clips

CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2 AS Monaco

21 F. Lapoukhov 6.4 2 Pastor 6.2 14 T. Ivanov 6.6 ↑ 85' 32 F. Rodríguez 6.1 17 Á. Martino 6.5 6 B. Jordão 7.5 94 I. Solet 6.5 ↑ 85' 99 J. Eto'o 6.5 ↑ 85' 8 S. Sensi 6.6 67 C. Itu 6.8 ↑ 73' 10 J. Zwarts 7.3 ↑ 73' 1 L. Hrádecký 7.0 4 J. Teze 7.2 72 S. Sané 6.8 20 F. Nazinho 6.4 ↑ 59' 13 C. Mawissa 7.3 6 D. Zakaria 6.6 ↑ 59' 10 A. Golovin 6.5 ↑ 59' 37 E. Diop 7.3 11 M. Abline 6.9 ↑ 64' 29 P. Brunner 7.7 46 A. Soubeir 6.8 ↑ 77'

Top stats

50%Possession50%

1.28Expected goals (xG)1.32

21Total shots10

5Shots on target5

2Big chances4

12Corners1

Shots

9Shots off target2

7Blocked shots3

11Shots inside box9

10Shots outside box1

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed2

-0.6Goals prevented-0.1

Attack

23Touches in box19

56Final third entries34

1Offsides2

12Free kicks13

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

425Passes454

346Accurate passes394

34/63 (54%)Long balls21/37 (57%)

8/34 (24%)Crosses2/4 (50%)

32Throw-ins14

Duels

42Duels58

31/75 (41%)Ground duels44/75 (59%)

6/14 (43%)Aerial duels8/14 (57%)

4/10 (40%)Dribbles13/21 (62%)

12Dispossessed7

Defending

15Tackles18

67Tackles won72

5Interceptions8

4Clearances34

66Recoveries65

Discipline

13Fouls12

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

6Goal kicks12

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

CSKA Sofia 15%

21%

AS Monaco 64%

1X2AS Monaco to win 64% · 1.44 @ Bet365

Who winsCSKA Sofia to win (DNB) 77% · 5.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61%

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.80 @ Novibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63%

1X2Draw 21% · 4.33 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62%

1X2CSKA Sofia to win 15% · 6.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

6.00

CSKA Sofia

4.33

Draw

1.44

AS Monaco

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.72

Yes

2.05

No

Draw No Betconsensus

4.80

CSKA Sofia

1.15

AS Monaco

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

AS Monaco to win or draw

✓

85% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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