Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Hajduk's red-hot form crashes into Ajax's wobbled confidence** — Split's unbeaten streak is real, but the Dutch side's defensive inconsistency on the road could spell trouble. 🔥
Split have won four of their last five and look sharp at home, though Ajax still carry that Continental pedigree. The visitors' recent draws (1-1, 2-2) suggest they're not firing on all cylinders, and missing both Henrique and Dolberg stings their attacking depth.
Key storylines:
- **M. Livaja** leading the line for Split has momentum; Ajax's backline (Bouwman, Gaaei, Baas) will need to stay compact
- **J. Brandt** and **S. Amrabat** are Ajax's creative fulcrums, but recent form shows they've struggled to dominate possession away
- Split's **A. Šutalo** and defensive setup have kept things tight — Hajduk's counter-pressing could exploit Ajax's slow build-out
Expected lineups:
- **HNK Hajduk Split**: T. Silić, D. Marešić, R. Raçi, Š. Hrgović, A. Šutalo, M. Acapandié, A. del Moral, M. Šego, Dali, M. Šotiček, M. Livaja
- **AFC Ajax**: M. ter Stegen, A. Gaaei, A. Bouwman, Y. Baas, D. Klaassen, J. Mokio, S. Amrabat, J. Brandt, T. Arokodare, V. Tsygankov, O. Gloukh
Prediction:
**Hajduk 2-1 Ajax**. Split have the edge at Poljud with form and home comfort; Ajax's injuries and erratic defending hand the hosts a lean. 💛
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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