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FC Nordsjælland
Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
FC Nordsjælland
Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
FC Nordsjælland
FC Nordsjælland
FC Nordsjælland
FC Nordsjælland
Heart of Midlothian
Wouter Vrancken
Heart of Midlothian
FC Nordsjælland
Heart of Midlothian
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
FC Nordsjælland
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Heart of Midlothian 1-1 FC Nordsjælland.
90+3'
Attempt blocked. V. Berthelsen (FC Nordsjælland), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
90+3'
FC Nordsjælland
Corner, FC Nordsjælland.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
89'
Attempt missed. J. Williams (Heart of Midlothian), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.
86'
Goal! Heart of Midlothian 1-1 FC Nordsjælland. N. Røjkjær (FC Nordsjælland) scores, assisted by J. Lähteenmäki.
84'
Heart of Midlothian
Corner, Heart of Midlothian.
74'
Attempt missed. M. Fagan-Walcott (Heart of Midlothian), header from a set piece. xG 0.14.
56'
Heart of Midlothian
Corner, Heart of Midlothian.
53'
FC Nordsjælland
Corner, FC Nordsjælland.
52'
Attempt saved. C. Miller (Heart of Midlothian), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.18.
51'
Heart of Midlothian
Offside, Heart of Midlothian.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Heart of Midlothian 1-0 FC Nordsjælland.
45'
1 minute of added time.
45'
Heart of Midlothian
Corner, Heart of Midlothian.
45'
Attempt saved. J. McCart (Heart of Midlothian), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.26.
45'
Attempt saved. J. McPake (Heart of Midlothian), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
44'
Heart of Midlothian
Corner, Heart of Midlothian.
43'
Attempt missed. C. Braga (Heart of Midlothian), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.
33'
Attempt blocked. L. Mendy (Heart of Midlothian), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
33'
Goal! Heart of Midlothian 1-0 FC Nordsjælland. O. McEntee (Heart of Midlothian) scores, assisted by J. McCart.
32'
Heart of Midlothian
Corner, Heart of Midlothian.
30'
FC Nordsjælland
Corner, FC Nordsjælland.
27'
FC Nordsjælland
Corner, FC Nordsjælland.
23'
Off the woodwork! P. A. Junior (FC Nordsjælland), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.29.
17'
FC Nordsjælland
Corner, FC Nordsjælland.
12'
FC Nordsjælland
Corner, FC Nordsjælland.
12'
Attempt blocked. P. A. Junior (FC Nordsjælland), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.
9'
Attempt saved. M. Fagan-Walcott (Heart of Midlothian), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.
4'
Attempt blocked. C. Miller (Heart of Midlothian), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
4'
Attempt blocked. P. A. Junior (FC Nordsjælland), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
3'
Heart of Midlothian
Corner, Heart of Midlothian.
1'
Kick-off: Heart of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjælland.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
186591 EUR · live
Home
760.0 · implied 0.1%
60.5%
+60.4 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
20.2%
-75.1 vs price
Away
20.0 · implied 5.0%
19.3%
+14.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
28961 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
71.9%
-20.7 vs price
Over
12.5 · implied 8.0%
28.1%
+20.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7021 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
96.6%
+0.4 vs price
Over
30.0 · implied 3.3%
3.5%
+0.1 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
5'
C. Braga · Foul
33'
⚽
O. McEntee · assist J. McCart1–0
43'
V. Nelsson · Handball
Half-time · 1–0
47'
J. Wilson · Foul
55'
I. Adel · Foul
64'
🔁
N. Røjkjær ◂ M. Brink
64'
🔁
L. Sadio ◂ R. Norheim
66'
H. Milne · Foul
70'
🔁
S. Kerjota ◂ C. Braga
72'
🔁
H. Rasmussen ◂ A. Lind
77'
🔁
J. Williams ◂ J. Wilson
83'
🔁
V. Berthelsen ◂ V. Nelsson
86'
⚽
N. Røjkjær · assist J. Lähteenmäki1–1
87'
🔁
J. Altena ◂ O. McEntee
87'
🔁
R. Mato ◂ J. McPake
87'
🔁
S. Kingsley ◂ H. Milne
89'
J. Lähteenmäki · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Wouter VranckenJens Olsen 
Recent form
Heart of MidlothianWHSt. Mirren5-0
DAKilmarnock1-1
LAFalkirk FC1-2
WHDundee FC2-1
WAHibernian3-1
FC NordsjællandDHOdense Boldklub0-0
LAMalmö FF0-3
LAViborg FF1-4
WHAGF2-0
DAFC Midtjylland2-2
About this match
**Hearts are heavy favorites in this European home opener — Nordsjælland's form is a total mess right now.** The Dane side have won just one of their last five while Hearts are rolling through the Premiership. This should be a statement night at Tynecastle. 🔴
Hearts are cruising domestically but have some notable absentees in defense — Halkett, Magnusson, and Renaud all out. Nordsjælland's recent results are genuinely worrying: losses to Malmö and Viborg, sandwiched around a blank draw. They're coming into a hostile Edinburgh cauldron with zero momentum.
Key storylines:
- **Hearts' home fortress** needs to show European pedigree, especially with defensive depth issues forcing lineup tweaks
- **Nordsjælland's attacking trio** of Adel, Lind, and Rasmussen must find spaces between the lines or face a battering
- **Set-piece threat** could be crucial for either side given the competitive intensity of Conference League ties
Expected lineups:
- **Heart of Midlothian**: Reus, McCart, Altena, Kingsley, McEntee, Miller, Mendy, McPake, Dhanda, Braga, Wilson
- **FC Nordsjælland**: Hansen, Markmann, Nelsson, Walker, Norheim, Ankersen, Janssen, Berthelsen, Adel, Lind, Rasmussen
Prediction:
**Hearts 3-1 Nordsjælland.** The home side should dominate possession and capitalize on a struggling visitor. Lean Hearts.
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Match facts
Stadium
Tynecastle Park
City
Edinburgh
Kickoff
15 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Heart of Midlothian
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
FC Nordsjælland
1
B. Reus
6.2
2
C. Borchgrevink
7.4
64
M. Fagan-Walcott
7.1
5
J. McCart
8.5
3
S. Kingsley
↑ 87'
78
L. Mendy
7.5
23
J. Altena
↑ 87'
7
C. Miller
7.0
29
S. Kerjota
6.3
↑ 70'
74
R. Mato
↑ 87'
9
J. Williams
6.5
↑ 77'
13
A. Hansen
8.7
29
V. Berthelsen
6.5
↑ 83'
3
T. Salquist
7.1
4
N. Markmann
6.2
8
N. Røjkjær
7.7
↑ 64'
18
J. Janssen
7.8
37
L. Sadio
6.7
↑ 64'
5
J. Lähteenmäki
6.8
14
I. Adel
7.6
40
H. Rasmussen
6.4
↑ 72'
10
P. A. Junior
7.4
Top stats
44%Possession56%
1.81Expected goals (xG)0.64
20Total shots11
7Shots on target3
5Big chances2
6Corners7
Shots
8Shots off target1
5Blocked shots7
12Shots inside box6
8Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
4Big chances missed2
-0.52Goals prevented1.85
Attack
29Touches in box36
58Final third entries57
1Offsides0
14Free kicks14
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
375Passes497
284Accurate passes407
37/72 (51%)Long balls24/56 (43%)
5/22 (23%)Crosses1/14 (0%)
26Throw-ins23
Duels
54Duels46
39/80 (49%)Ground duels41/80 (51%)
19/28 (68%)Aerial duels9/28 (32%)
7/19 (37%)Dribbles11/24 (46%)
4Dispossessed6
Defending
19Tackles16
74Tackles won81
17Interceptions6
25Clearances30
60Recoveries57
Discipline
14Fouls14
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
0Big saves1
3Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 64% · 2.62 @ Bet365
1X2Nordsjælland to win 42% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.30 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.73 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Who winsHearts to win (DNB) 57% · 2.25 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
1X2Hearts to win 33% · 3.25 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.88
Heart of Midlothian
3.70
Draw
2.20
FC Nordsjælland
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
Heart of Midlothian or Draw
1.27
Heart of Midlothian or FC Nordsjælland
1.38
Draw or FC Nordsjælland
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.44
Yes
2.62
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
17.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50
5.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.50
Over 2.50
2.45
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.30
Over 3.50
1.57
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.00
Over 4.50
1.22
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.15
Heart of Midlothian
1.63
FC Nordsjælland
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50
2.85
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.21
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.00
Over 9.50
1.73
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.48
Over 10.50
1.41
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.12
Over 11.50
1.22
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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