Riga FC 1-1 FC Kairat Almaty: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Riga FC 1-1 FC Kairat Almaty.

90+4'

Riga FC

Offside, Riga FC.

90+2'

A. Martynovich

Yellow card for A. Martynovich (FC Kairat Almaty) for foul.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

L. Mata

Attempt saved. L. Mata (FC Kairat Almaty), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

87'

Riga FC

Offside, Riga FC.

87'

Riga FC

Offside, Riga FC.

86'

R. Aouani

Substitution, Riga FC: S. Pedro comes on for R. Aouani.

86'

M. Diop

Substitution, Riga FC: C. Saco comes on for M. Diop.

85'

A. Ankrah

Attempt missed. A. Ankrah (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

83'

A. Tuyakbayev

Attempt blocked. A. Tuyakbayev (FC Kairat Almaty), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

83'

FC Kairat Almaty

Corner, FC Kairat Almaty.

82'

A. Tuyakbayev

Attempt blocked. A. Tuyakbayev (FC Kairat Almaty), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

79'

A. Mrynskiy

Substitution, FC Kairat Almaty: A. Tuyakbayev comes on for A. Mrynskiy.

79'

G. Mendonça

Substitution, FC Kairat Almaty: D. Kasabulat comes on for G. Mendonça.

77'

S. O. M'Hand

Attempt saved. S. O. M'Hand (Riga FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

75'

R. Ramires

Attempt saved. R. Ramires (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

74'

I. S. Augusto

Attempt saved. I. S. Augusto (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

73'

Edmilson

Substitution, FC Kairat Almaty: I. Bekbolat comes on for Edmilson.

72'

S. O. M'Hand

Attempt saved. S. O. M'Hand (Riga FC), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

69'

G. Mendonça

Attempt blocked. G. Mendonça (FC Kairat Almaty), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

69'

J. Oksanen

Attempt blocked. J. Oksanen (FC Kairat Almaty), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

69'

R. Ramires

Attempt saved. R. Ramires (Riga FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

64'

E. Tapalov

Attempt missed. E. Tapalov (FC Kairat Almaty), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

61'

M. Badamosi

Substitution, Riga FC: R. Ramires comes on for M. Badamosi.

60'

R. Aouani

Attempt blocked. R. Aouani (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

56'

E. Tapalov

Yellow card for E. Tapalov (FC Kairat Almaty) for foul.

55'

M. Gual

Attempt missed. M. Gual (FC Kairat Almaty), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

49'

A. Ankrah

Attempt missed. A. Ankrah (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Riga FC 1-1 FC Kairat Almaty.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

M. Gual

Attempt missed. M. Gual (FC Kairat Almaty), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

41'

M. Badamosi

Attempt missed. M. Badamosi (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

39'

A. Ankrah

Attempt missed. A. Ankrah (Riga FC), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

38'

K. G. Wassom

Attempt blocked. K. G. Wassom (Riga FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

38'

M. Diop

Attempt saved. M. Diop (Riga FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

37'

Riga FC

Corner, Riga FC.

37'

S. O. M'Hand

Attempt blocked. S. O. M'Hand (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

36'

O. Jukkola

Attempt missed. O. Jukkola (FC Kairat Almaty), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

36'

FC Kairat Almaty

Corner, FC Kairat Almaty.

35'

A. Mrynskiy

Attempt blocked. A. Mrynskiy (FC Kairat Almaty), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

34'

Riga FC

Corner, Riga FC.

33'

O. Jukkola

Attempt saved. O. Jukkola (FC Kairat Almaty), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

28'

M. Badamosi

Penalty missed! M. Badamosi (Riga FC), saved.

23'

R. Aouani

Attempt missed. R. Aouani (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

23'

J. Oksanen

Yellow card for J. Oksanen (FC Kairat Almaty) for foul.

21'

M. Badamosi

Attempt blocked. M. Badamosi (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

13'

O. Jukkola

Attempt missed. O. Jukkola (FC Kairat Almaty), header. xG 0.02.

12'

S. O. M'Hand

Goal! Riga FC 1-1 FC Kairat Almaty. S. O. M'Hand (Riga FC) scores, assisted by M. Tonisevs.

10'

M. Gual

Attempt saved. M. Gual (FC Kairat Almaty), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

10'

FC Kairat Almaty

Corner, FC Kairat Almaty.

7'

M. Diop

Attempt missed. M. Diop (Riga FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

5'

M. Gual

Goal! Riga FC 0-1 FC Kairat Almaty. M. Gual (FC Kairat Almaty) converts the penalty.

4'

O. Jukkola

VAR: no penalty for FC Kairat Almaty.

1'

Kick-off: Riga FC vs FC Kairat Almaty.

Where the money is

65897 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Over/Under 2.5 goals 42823 EUR · live

Under 1.06 · implied 94.3%

59.2%

-35.1 vs price

Over 14.0 · implied 7.1%

40.8%

+33.7 vs price

6 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Player of the match

Match events

4' VAR Penalty check · O. Jukkola

5' ⚽ M. Gual (pen)0–1

12' ⚽ S. O. M'Hand · assist M. Tonisevs1–1

23' J. Oksanen · Foul

28' 🚫 Penalty missed · M. Badamosi

Half-time · 1–1

56' E. Tapalov · Foul

61' 🔁 R. Ramires ◂ M. Badamosi

73' 🔁 I. Bekbolat ◂ Edmilson

79' 🔁 D. Kasabulat ◂ G. Mendonça

79' 🔁 A. Tuyakbayev ◂ A. Mrynskiy

86' 🔁 C. Saco ◂ M. Diop

86' 🔁 S. Pedro ◂ R. Aouani

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺² A. Martynovich · Foul

Coaches

Adrian Gula

Rafael Urazbakhtin

Recent form

Riga FC

WAAris Limassol2-1

WHKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag2-1

DAKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag0-0

DAETO FC Győr1-1

WHETO FC Győr1-0

FC Kairat Almaty

LARSC Anderlecht0-3

LHRSC Anderlecht0-3

LHLevski Sofia0-1

LALevski Sofia0-1

WHOmonia Nicosia1-0

About this match

**Riga's rolling momentum meets Kairat's Conference League nightmare** — the Latvian side are absolutely humming while Almaty just got hammered twice by Anderlecht. 🔥

Riga sit pretty with three wins in their last five, fresh off back-to-back victories against decent continental opposition. Kairat, meanwhile, are winless in five and got demolished 3-0 twice by RSC Anderlecht. That's the kind of form that doesn't travel well.

Key storylines:

- **Riga's attack** featuring **M. Diop** and **R. Ramires** will fancy their chances against a Kairat side that's shipping goals for fun
- **Kairat's midfield** needs **J. Oksanen** and **D. Kasabulat** to at least stabilize things or this gets ugly early
- **A. Salazar** out on suspension for Riga is a nuisance, but the hosts have shown they don't need him to win

Expected lineups:

- **Riga FC**: F. Orols, K. G. Wassom, Baba Musah, Paulo, R. Jurkovskis, A. Ankrah, I. S. Augusto, C. Ferreira, O. Galo, M. Diop, R. Ramires
- **FC Kairat Almaty**: T. Anarbekov, L. Mata, L. Áfrico, A. Shirobokov, A. Mrynskiy, J. Oksanen, D. Kasabulat, O. Jukkola, G. Mendonça, I. Bekbolat, M. Gual

Prediction:

**Riga 2-0 Kairat** — Riga edge this comfortably at home. Kairat look genuinely lost right now.

Where to watch

Disney+ (AR)ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Skonto

City

Rīga

Referee

Florjan Lata

Kickoff

15 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Competition

Conference League

Riga FC 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 FC Kairat Almaty

12 K. Pirić 7.7 23 M. Tonisevs 7.2 21 Baba Musah 7.1 5 K. G. Wassom 7.7 13 R. Jurkovskis 6.4 40 A. Ankrah 7.0 8 I. S. Augusto 7.8 6 C. Saco 6.9 ↑ 86' 18 S. O. M'Hand 7.9 15 S. Pedro 6.5 ↑ 86' 10 R. Ramires 7.0 ↑ 61' 1 T. Anarbekov 8.6 20 E. Tapalov 7.3 14 A. Martynovich 6.9 25 A. Shirobokov 6.4 3 L. Mata 6.4 4 D. Kasabulat 6.5 ↑ 79' 13 J. Oksanen 6.6 17 A. Tuyakbayev 6.8 ↑ 79' 28 M. Gual 6.9 19 O. Jukkola 6.9 81 I. Bekbolat 6.5 ↑ 73'

Substitutes

44GM. Kazainis 91GF. Orols 34DA. Černomordijs 7MR. Aouani↓ 86'7.2 22MM. Diop↓ 86'6.7 19FM. Badamosi↓ 61'6.5 25FA. Taiwo

Coach: Adrian Gula

Substitutes

82GS. Kalmurza 24DA. Mrynskiy↓ 79'6.8 5DL. Kurgin 22MG. Mendonça↓ 79'7.0 6MA. Sadybekov 8MO. Baibek 27MM. Abish 9FEdmilson↓ 73'6.9 15FM. Birkurmanov

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Top stats

64%Possession36%

2.31Expected goals (xG)1.15

18Total shots14

8Shots on target4

3Big chances1

2Corners3

Shots

6Shots off target5

4Blocked shots5

10Shots inside box5

8Shots outside box9

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed0

0.65Goals prevented1.09

Attack

37Touches in box16

77Final third entries36

4Offsides0

15Free kicks7

5Fouled in final third2

Passing

620Passes351

539Accurate passes271

19/37 (51%)Long balls19/53 (36%)

4/20 (20%)Crosses2/11 (18%)

16Throw-ins8

Duels

56Duels44

37/67 (55%)Ground duels30/67 (45%)

11/18 (61%)Aerial duels7/18 (39%)

11/23 (48%)Dribbles4/6 (67%)

7Dispossessed9

Defending

11Tackles19

73Tackles won47

15Interceptions13

12Clearances28

56Recoveries51

Discipline

8Fouls16

0Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves7

3Big saves2

6Goal kicks7

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Riga 49%

28%

Kairat 24%

Who winsRiga to win (DNB) 87% · 1.42 @ Betano

CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 2.10 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle

1X2Riga to win 49% · 2.40 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 28% · 2.45 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.30 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.25 @ William Hill

1X2Kairat to win 24% · 4.05 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.40 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.91

Riga FC

3.40

Draw

4.00

FC Kairat Almaty

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

Riga FC or Draw

1.30

Riga FC or FC Kairat Almaty

1.83

Draw or FC Kairat Almaty

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.83

Yes

1.90

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.10

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

9.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.31

Over 1.50

3.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.01

Over 2.50

1.80

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.55

Over 3.50

1.27

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.44

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.38

Riga FC

2.83

FC Kairat Almaty

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.32

Over 7.50

3.00

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.64

Over 8.50

2.17

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.06

Over 9.50

1.70

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.65

Over 10.50

1.40

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.70

Over 11.50

1.21

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue