**Zarzis got the early momentum, but Monastir's steadiness makes this a proper coin flip.** 🔄 ES Zarzis are 3-2 in their last five, while US Monastir have picked up seven points from four draws and a loss — classic "take what you get" energy.
The head-to-head tells the real story: Monastir lead 6-2 overall, but draws haunt this matchup (six in 14). Expect a tighter affair than Zarzis' recent home win over Olympique Béja might suggest.
Key storylines:
- **ES Zarzis need to convert at home**: They've mixed wins with losses, including a 0-1 defeat to EST. Can **D. R. Nyengue** and **A. Oluwaseun** break through Monastir's resolve?
- **US Monastir's draw habit**: Two draws in five matches. **O. Diané** and **Y. Abdelli** in midfield will look to control tempo and frustrate.
- **Defensive solidity wins**: Both sides kept it tight in recent outings—Zarzis 1-0 at home, Monastir 0-0 away. This won't be a shootout.
Expected lineups:
- **ES Zarzis**: H. Ghanmi, A. M. Yassine, L. Rjili, M. F. Ghouma, P. M. Diallo, K. Kassab, A. Tajouri, D. R. Nyengue, A. Oluwaseun, Y. Dhiflaoui, M. H. Jertila
- **US Monastir**: A. Slimene, A. Benga, R. Bouchniba, R. Azzouz, A. Bouzganda, S. Barhoumi, O. Diané, S. Bouali, Y. Amri, Y. Abdelli, I. Gadiaga
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Both sides have the tools to score but the history suggests they'll cancel each other out.
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 86.7% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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