Atlético Nacional 3-0 Deportivo Cali: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Atlético Nacional 3-0 Deportivo Cali.

90+3'

S. Velásquez

Goal! Atlético Nacional 3-0 Deportivo Cali. S. Velásquez (Atlético Nacional) scores, assisted by E. Cabrera.

90+1'

A. Sarmiento

Attempt blocked. A. Sarmiento (Atlético Nacional), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

89'

M. Uribe

Attempt blocked. M. Uribe (Atlético Nacional), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

85'

E. Reynoso

Attempt missed. E. Reynoso (Deportivo Cali), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

82'

F. Marin

Substitution, Atlético Nacional: E. Cabrera comes on for F. Marin.

81'

N. Benedetti

Substitution, Deportivo Cali: J. J. Gomez comes on for N. Benedetti.

66'

A. Román

Attempt missed. A. Román (Atlético Nacional), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

66'

E. Bello

Substitution, Deportivo Cali: Titi comes on for E. Bello.

66'

F. Viáfara

Substitution, Deportivo Cali: A. Hurtado comes on for F. Viáfara.

65'

I. Poveda

Attempt saved. I. Poveda (Atlético Nacional), left-footed shot. xG 0.20.

64'

J. Dinenno

Attempt missed. J. Dinenno (Deportivo Cali), header from a throw-in. xG 0.05.

62'

N. Benedetti

Attempt saved. N. Benedetti (Deportivo Cali), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

61'

J. Dinenno

Attempt blocked. J. Dinenno (Deportivo Cali), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

59'

E. Cardona

Substitution, Atlético Nacional: J. Zapata comes on for E. Cardona.

59'

J. M. Rengifo

Substitution, Atlético Nacional: M. Uribe comes on for J. M. Rengifo.

59'

M. Moreno

Substitution, Atlético Nacional: I. Poveda comes on for M. Moreno.

57'

E. Bello

Attempt blocked. E. Bello (Deportivo Cali), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

56'

M. Moreno

Goal! Atlético Nacional 2-0 Deportivo Cali. M. Moreno (Atlético Nacional) scores.

55'

A. F. M. Bernal

Attempt missed. A. F. M. Bernal (Atlético Nacional), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

54'

N. Parra

Attempt saved. N. Parra (Atlético Nacional), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

52'

J. Martínez

Attempt saved. J. Martínez (Deportivo Cali), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

51'

E. Bello

Attempt saved. E. Bello (Deportivo Cali), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

49'

J. Dinenno

Yellow card for J. Dinenno (Deportivo Cali).

47'

S. Vallecilla

Yellow card for S. Vallecilla (Deportivo Cali).

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Atlético Nacional 1-0 Deportivo Cali.

40'

J. Dinenno

Attempt blocked. J. Dinenno (Deportivo Cali), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

38'

A. Sarmiento

Attempt saved. A. Sarmiento (Atlético Nacional), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.11.

37'

J. M. Rengifo

Attempt saved. J. M. Rengifo (Atlético Nacional), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

33'

N. Parra

Yellow card for N. Parra (Atlético Nacional).

33'

F. Viáfara

Yellow card for F. Viáfara (Deportivo Cali).

27'

E. Cardona

Yellow card for E. Cardona (Atlético Nacional).

23'

N. Benedetti

Attempt blocked. N. Benedetti (Deportivo Cali), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.

11'

M. Moreno

Attempt saved. M. Moreno (Atlético Nacional), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

11'

A. F. M. Bernal

Attempt missed. A. F. M. Bernal (Atlético Nacional), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

6'

E. Cardona

Attempt missed. E. Cardona (Atlético Nacional), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

6'

E. Bello

Attempt missed. E. Bello (Deportivo Cali), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

4'

A. Morelos

Goal! Atlético Nacional 1-0 Deportivo Cali. A. Morelos (Atlético Nacional) scores, assisted by A. Sarmiento.

1'

Kick-off: Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali.

Where the money is

247831 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 331 EUR · live

Draw 4.3 · implied 23.3%

44.7%

+21.4 vs price

Home 1.67 · implied 59.9%

37.1%

-22.8 vs price

Away 6.6 · implied 15.2%

17.8%

+2.7 vs price

Half time 3007 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

92.0%

-7.0 vs price

Away 70.0 · implied 1.4%

6.0%

+4.5 vs price

Draw 790.0 · implied 0.1%

2.0%

+1.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 95816 EUR · live

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

80.0%

-7.7 vs price

Over 8.8 · implied 11.4%

20.0%

+8.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 7150 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

90.3%

-7.7 vs price

Over 50.0 · implied 2.0%

9.6%

+7.6 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 4 clips

Match events

4' ⚽ A. Morelos · assist A. Sarmiento1–0

27' E. Cardona

33' F. Viáfara

33' N. Parra

Half-time · 1–0

47' S. Vallecilla

49' J. Dinenno

56' ⚽ M. Moreno2–0

59' 🔁 I. Poveda ◂ M. Moreno

59' 🔁 M. Uribe ◂ J. M. Rengifo

59' 🔁 J. Zapata ◂ E. Cardona

66' 🔁 A. Hurtado ◂ F. Viáfara

66' 🔁 Titi ◂ E. Bello

81' 🔁 J. J. Gomez ◂ N. Benedetti

82' 🔁 E. Cabrera ◂ F. Marin

Full-time · 3–0

90'⁺³ ⚽ S. Velásquez · assist E. Cabrera3–0

Coaches

Lucas González

Rafael Dudamel

Recent form

Atlético Nacional

WAAlianza Valledupar FC5-1

WHDeportivo Cali2-1

WAFortaleza FC2-1

LAAmérica de Cali0-1

WAJaguares de Córdoba3-0

Deportivo Cali

DHAtlético Bucaramanga1-1

LAAtlético Nacional1-2

DHInternacional de Bogotá2-2

WADeportivo Pasto2-0

LAIndependiente Medellín0-1

About this match

**Nacional's on a tear, but Cali's desperate for revenge** — these two just met last week, with **Atlético Nacional** walking away with a 2-1 W. Now the Cup brings them back together, and Cali's fighting for their tournament life. 🔥

Nacional are rolling (4W-1L), while Cali are sputtering (1W-2D-2L). The H2H is dead even over 28 games, but Nacional's form right now is chasing them hard.

Key storylines:

- **Atlético Nacional's depth crunch**: five players out with muscle injuries, broken bones, ankle issues — **E. Cardona** and **I. Poveda** will need to carry the creative load in midfield
- **Cali's offensive drought**: six missing bodies (including **J. Dinenno**) means **C. Bacca** and **S. Rodríguez** are carrying way too much weight up top
- **Nacional's momentum is real**: they just pumped Alianza 5-1 away and beat Cali at home; Cali can't afford another slip

Expected lineups:

- **Atlético Nacional**: F. Armani, S. Velásquez, W. Tesillo, N. Parra, M. Moreno, M. Uribe, J. Zapata, A. Sarmiento, E. Cardona, I. Poveda, A. Morelos
- **Deportivo Cali**: P. Gallese, K. Sandoval, J. Caldera, F. Álvarez, E. Velasco, F. Viáfara, D. Giraldo, N. Benedetti, J. Gomez, S. Rodríguez, C. Bacca

Prediction:

**Nacional 2–1 Cali**. Form + momentum give Nacional the edge, though Cali's desperation makes it closer than the scoreline suggests.

Where to watch

Betano

Match facts

Kickoff

08 Sep, 01:15 UTC

Competition

Copa Colombia

Highlights & clips

Atlético Nacional · Deportivo Cali

34 F. Armani 27 Y. Perlaza 3 N. Parra 16 W. Tesillo 33 S. Velásquez ⚽1 26 A. Marín 80 J. Zapata ↑ 59' 99 I. Poveda ↑ 59' 8 M. Uribe ↑ 59' 29 A. Sarmiento 9 A. Morelos ⚽1 38 A. Rodríguez 15 L. Chaverra Renteria 16 K. Sandoval 28 E. Velasco 18 A. Hurtado ↑ 66' 4 F. Álvarez 5 G. Cuéllar 30 J. J. Gomez ↑ 81' 19 J. Martínez 23 Titi ↑ 66' 9 J. Dinenno

Substitutes

25GL. Marquinez 20DM. Casco 4DA. Reyes 19MJ. M. Rengifo↓ 59' 10ME. Cardona↓ 59' 7MM. Moreno↓ 59' 33ME. Cabrera↑ 82' 17FC. Arango FJ. Rosa

Coach: Lucas González

Substitutes

1GP. Gallese 27DF. Viáfara↓ 66' 45DM. Botero 26DJ. J. Tello 35DS. Vallecilla 20ME. Bello↓ 66' 21MN. Benedetti↓ 81' 10ME. Reynoso 70FC. Bacca

Coach: Rafael Dudamel

Top stats

50%Possession50%

1.61Expected goals (xG)0.79

14Total shots10

8Shots on target3

6Corners1

Shots

4Shots off target3

2Blocked shots4

8Shots inside box7

6Shots outside box3

0Hit woodwork0

Attack

17Touches in box12

5Offsides7

0Free kicks3

Passing

444Passes429

383Accurate passes359

28/45 (62%)Long balls42/58 (72%)

3/9 (33%)Crosses6/20 (30%)

18Throw-ins17

Duels

43Duels56

53/126 (42%)Ground duels73/127 (57%)

12/23 (52%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)

8/12 (67%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)

8Dispossessed5

Defending

4Tackles2

20Interceptions15

11Clearances15

Discipline

15Fouls13

2Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

6Goal kicks6

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 4 bookmakers

Atl. Nacional 61%

23%

Dep. Cali 16%

Who winsAtl. Nacional to win (DNB) 79% · 1.17 @ Betsson

1X2Atl. Nacional to win 61% · 2.05 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66%

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.74 @ Novibet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.90 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.29 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 23% · 2.30 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56%

1X2Dep. Cali to win 16% · 6.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.53

Atlético Nacional

4.10

Draw

5.75

Deportivo Cali

Double Chanceconsensus

1.14

Atlético Nacional or Draw

1.22

Atlético Nacional or Deportivo Cali

2.38

Draw or Deportivo Cali

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.99

Yes

1.72

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

11.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.29

Over 1.50

3.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.90

Over 2.50

1.90

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.25

Over 3.50

1.33

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.17

Atlético Nacional

4.80

Deportivo Cali

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.05

Atlético Nacional

2.30

Draw

6.00

Deportivo Cali

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Atlético Nacional to win or draw

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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