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**TPS rolls in as the form team, but SJK's been a thorn in their side historically** — this H2H is absolutely brutal for the hosts, who've won just 3 of the last 11 against their visitors. 🔥
TPS have been solid lately (2W 3D), stringing together an impressive 3-1 away win over VPS, while SJK are wobbling a bit after back-to-back losses to Lahti and Mariehamn. But that historical edge? It's tough to ignore.
Key storylines:
- **TPS attacking depth** — **Väkiparta** and **Sihvonen** need to impose themselves early; SJK's defense leaked two goals to Mariehamn last time out
- **SJK's grinding approach** — **Araújo** and **Moisio** could disrupt TPS's rhythm with disciplined midfield work
- **Home pressure** — Veritas Stadium should back TPS, but the visitors' form in this fixture makes them dangerous underdogs
Expected lineups:
- **Turun Palloseura**: Henriksson, Muzaci, Azongnitode, Hradecky, Häggström, Ikonen, Sihvonen, Vauhkonen, Väkiparta, Könkkölä, Visser
- **SJK**: Paunio, Mömmö, Väistö, Boström, Moisio, Suso, Araújo, Onuoha, Yussif, Streng, Kelwin
Prediction:
**TPS 2–1 SJK**
Form says hosts edge it, but SJK will make them work for it.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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