Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Ilves have been dreadful at home lately, while Lahti's rolling — this is a chance for the visitors to make serious noise at Tammela.** 🔥
Ilves are winless in their last three (1W, 3L across five), with two brutal home defeats to HJK and VPS sandwiching that win over FF Jaro. Lahti, meanwhile, have won three of five and just keep grinding out results away from home. The form gap is massive.
Key storylines:
- **Ilves' home curse** vs a Lahti side that's learned to win on the road
- **H. Coulibaly and E. Tamminen** will need to unlock Lahti's back line, but Lahti's shape looks compact
- **A. Lindholm and M. Ferreira** leading Lahti's attack — both have been clinical in their recent run
Expected lineups:
- **Ilves**: F. Krkalić, O. Pettersson, M. Rale, T. Miettunen, V. Kumpu, A. Popovitch, J. Kilo, K. Wallius
- **FC Lahti**: A. Hakala, R. Sans, R. Yapi, V. Vehkonen, J. Müller, A. Kabashi, J. Ojanen, O. Koskinen
Prediction:
**Lahti 1–0 Ilves**. Ilves' home form is too fragile, and Lahti have the momentum and road pedigree to nick this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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