SJK 1-0 FC Lahti: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 9, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. SJK 1-0 FC Lahti.

90+4'

A. Hakala

Attempt missed. A. Hakala (FC Lahti), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

90+3'

E. Andersson

Attempt blocked. E. Andersson (FC Lahti), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

90+1'

FC Lahti

Corner, FC Lahti.

90+1'

E. Andersson

Attempt blocked. E. Andersson (FC Lahti), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

E. Mömmö

Attempt missed. E. Mömmö (SJK), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

89'

M. Sarr

Yellow card for M. Sarr (FC Lahti) for argument.

87'

J. Streng

Substitution, SJK: A. Cisse comes on for J. Streng.

87'

S. G. Yussif

Substitution, SJK: S. Bagayogo comes on for S. G. Yussif.

86'

T. Inkinen

Substitution, FC Lahti: A. Kabashi comes on for T. Inkinen.

86'

FC Lahti

Corner, FC Lahti.

82'

L. Vesterbacka

Attempt saved. L. Vesterbacka (SJK), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

81'

E. Mastokangas

Attempt missed. E. Mastokangas (SJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

81'

J. Streng

Attempt saved. J. Streng (SJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

80'

A. Wilson

Substitution, SJK: L. Vesterbacka comes on for A. Wilson.

79'

N. G. Dantas

Yellow card for N. G. Dantas (FC Lahti) for argument.

76'

FC Lahti

Corner, FC Lahti.

76'

M. Sarr

Attempt saved. M. Sarr (FC Lahti), right-footed shot. xG 0.22.

76'

J. Müller

Attempt blocked. J. Müller (FC Lahti), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

74'

D. Heikkinen

Attempt blocked. D. Heikkinen (FC Lahti), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

69'

Y. Cassubie

Attempt missed. Y. Cassubie (FC Lahti), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

69'

O. Koskinen

Substitution, FC Lahti: E. Andersson comes on for O. Koskinen.

69'

Kelwin

Substitution, SJK: E. Mastokangas comes on for Kelwin.

68'

FC Lahti

Corner, FC Lahti.

68'

FC Lahti

Corner, FC Lahti.

62'

V. Vehkonen

Substitution, FC Lahti: J. Müller comes on for V. Vehkonen.

62'

A. Lindholm

Substitution, FC Lahti: A. Belabid comes on for A. Lindholm.

62'

J. Ojanen

Substitution, FC Lahti: M. Ferreira comes on for J. Ojanen.

61'

A. Boström

Attempt saved. A. Boström (SJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

60'

FC Lahti

Offside, FC Lahti.

57'

A. Boström

Attempt missed. A. Boström (SJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

57'

SJK

Corner, SJK.

52'

N. G. Dantas

Attempt missed. N. G. Dantas (FC Lahti), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

51'

FC Lahti

Corner, FC Lahti.

51'

T. Inkinen

Attempt missed. T. Inkinen (FC Lahti), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

51'

FC Lahti

Corner, FC Lahti.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. SJK 1-0 FC Lahti.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

Kelwin

Attempt missed. Kelwin (SJK), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.54.

39'

SJK

Offside, SJK.

39'

K. Nwanege

Yellow card for K. Nwanege (SJK) for foul.

34'

J. Streng

Yellow card for J. Streng (SJK) for foul.

32'

K. Nwanege

Attempt missed. K. Nwanege (SJK), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.11.

31'

SJK

Corner, SJK.

29'

SJK

Corner, SJK.

27'

Kelwin

Attempt saved. Kelwin (SJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

26'

J. Streng

Attempt missed. J. Streng (SJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.40.

24'

K. Nwanege

Attempt saved. K. Nwanege (SJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.46.

21'

A. Lindholm

Attempt missed. A. Lindholm (FC Lahti), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

21'

FC Lahti

Corner, FC Lahti.

15'

D. Heikkinen

Attempt blocked. D. Heikkinen (FC Lahti), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

15'

D. Heikkinen

Attempt saved. D. Heikkinen (FC Lahti), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

13'

FC Lahti

Corner, FC Lahti.

9'

Kelwin

Attempt missed. Kelwin (SJK), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

8'

T. Inkinen

Attempt missed. T. Inkinen (FC Lahti), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

6'

A. Wilson

Goal! SJK 1-0 FC Lahti. A. Wilson (SJK) scores, assisted by Kelwin.

5'

O. Koskinen

Attempt saved. O. Koskinen (FC Lahti), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: SJK vs FC Lahti.

Where the money is

199152 EUR matched · captured 4 weeks, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 38945 EUR · live

Home 1.02 · implied 98.0%

81.8%

-16.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

12.1%

+12.0 vs price

Draw 16.5 · implied 6.1%

6.1%

-0.0 vs price

Half time 259 EUR · live

Home 1.4 · implied 71.4%

66.4%

-5.1 vs price

Away 14.5 · implied 6.9%

21.2%

+14.3 vs price

Draw 2.38 · implied 42.0%

12.0%

-30.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 33742 EUR · live

Over 200.0 · implied 0.5%

65.0%

+64.5 vs price

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

35.0%

-64.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 801 EUR · live

Over 7.6 · implied 13.2%

76.3%

+63.2 vs price

Under 1.18 · implied 84.7%

23.6%

-61.1 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

6' ⚽ A. Wilson · assist Kelwin1–0

34' J. Streng · Foul

39' K. Nwanege · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

62' 🔁 M. Ferreira ◂ J. Ojanen

62' 🔁 A. Belabid ◂ A. Lindholm

62' 🔁 J. Müller ◂ V. Vehkonen

69' 🔁 E. Mastokangas ◂ Kelwin

69' 🔁 E. Andersson ◂ O. Koskinen

79' N. G. Dantas · Argument

80' 🔁 L. Vesterbacka ◂ A. Wilson

86' 🔁 A. Kabashi ◂ T. Inkinen

87' 🔁 S. Bagayogo ◂ S. G. Yussif

87' 🔁 A. Cisse ◂ J. Streng

89' M. Sarr · Argument

Full-time · 1–0

Coaches

Jarkko Wiss

Gonçalo Pereira

Recent form

SJK

WHIFK Mariehamn2-1

DAFF Jaro1-1

DATurun Palloseura0-0

DAAC Oulu0-0

LHFC Lahti1-2

FC Lahti

DHFF Jaro1-1

LAIlves1-3

WHIFK Mariehamn2-1

WAVPS1-0

WASJK2-1

About this match

**SJK's drawing curse meets Lahti's hot streak** — one team can't seem to finish, the other won't stop winning. 🔥

SJK have picked up points in three of their last five but keep grinding out draws; Lahti just rolled through a 2-1 win over Mariehamn and look genuinely dangerous. The visitor's form is the real story here.

Key storylines:

- **FC Lahti's attack vs SJK's shaky defense** — Lahti have netted in back-to-back wins and love pressing high; SJK's backline (featuring E. Mömmö and O. Väistö) has looked dodgy when exposed
- **Stalemate specialists** — SJK have drawn three of their last five; Lahti's steadier mindset suggests they'll push for the win rather than settle
- **Midfield battle** — **A. Boström** and **C. Araújo** have to control tempo for SJK, or Lahti's **A. Kabashi** and **O. Koskinen** run the show

Expected lineups:

- **SJK**: R. Paunio, E. Mömmö, O. Väistö, K. Pires, J. Moisio, A. Boström, C. Araújo, L. Vesterbacka, K. Nwanege, J. Streng, Kelwin
- **FC Lahti**: A. Hakala, T. Inkinen, V. Vehkonen, J. Müller, R. Yapi, A. Kabashi, O. Koskinen, Y. Cassubie, J. Ojanen, A. Lindholm, M. Sarr

Prediction:

**FC Lahti 2–1 SJK**. Lahti have momentum and intent; SJK will scrap but lean draw-heavy. Visitor's edge.

Where to watch

Ruutu+Ruutu+ Urheilu

Match facts

Stadium

OmaSP Stadion

City

Seinajoki

Referee

Amir Hajizadeh

3.65 yellows/match · 20 matches

Kickoff

09 Oct, 15:00 UTC

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Highlights & clips

SJK 5-3-2 · 4-3-3 FC Lahti

35 J. Viitala 7.2 43 S. Bagayogo ↑ 87' 28 K. Nwanege 7.7 2 F. Constantini 8.2 5 O. Väistö 7.7 15 E. Mömmö 7.7 22 L. Vesterbacka 6.6 ↑ 80' 48 A. Traore 7.4 8 A. Boström 6.9 19 E. Mastokangas 6.8 ↑ 69' 51 A. Cisse ↑ 87' 12 A. Hakala 6.3 7 D. Heikkinen 6.4 5 N. G. Dantas 7.0 4 J. Müller 7.1 ↑ 62' 28 A. Kabashi 6.6 ↑ 86' 8 T. Montiel 6.9 18 Y. Cassubie 7.4 14 E. Andersson 6.7 ↑ 69' 77 M. Sarr 6.3 17 A. Belabid 6.6 ↑ 62' 11 M. Ferreira 6.6 ↑ 62'

Substitutes

1GR. Paunio 6DS. G. Yussif↓ 87'7.5 49DE. Udom 23MA. Wilson↓ 80'7.7 31ME. Onuoha 7FKelwin↓ 69'6.7 9FJ. Streng↓ 87'6.4

Coach: Jarkko Wiss

Substitutes

31GO. Maukonen 6DV. Vehkonen↓ 62'7.2 25DT. Inkinen↓ 86'6.2 10MO. Koskinen↓ 69'6.5 20FJ. Ojanen↓ 62'6.8 9FA. Lindholm↓ 62'6.3 41FA. Paalanen

Coach: Gonçalo Pereira

Top stats

38%Possession62%

1.98Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.98

13Total shots14

6Shots on target3

3Big chances1

3Corners9

Shots

7Shots off target6

0Blocked shots5

9Shots inside box10

4Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed1

Attack

18Touches in box23

42Final third entries70

1Offsides0

13Free kicks15

4Fouled in final third1

Passing

344Passes563

286Accurate passes485

34/66 (52%)Long balls23/46 (50%)

1/10 (0%)Crosses7/21 (33%)

12Throw-ins23

Duels

56Duels44

41/72 (57%)Ground duels31/72 (43%)

10/19 (53%)Aerial duels9/19 (47%)

7/15 (47%)Dribbles2/14 (14%)

7Dispossessed9

Defending

21Tackles15

71Tackles won53

13Interceptions2

39Clearances21

63Recoveries49

Discipline

15Fouls13

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

1Big saves0

9Goal kicks11

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

SJK 36%

26%

Lahti 38%

BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill

1X2Lahti to win 38% · 2.75 @ William Hill

Who winsSJK to win (DNB) 65% · 1.95 @ 888Sport

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.60 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.37 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.86 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 26% · 2.62 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.70 @ 1xBet

1X2SJK to win 36% · 2.88 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.55

SJK

3.50

Draw

2.45

FC Lahti

Double Chanceconsensus

1.50

SJK or Draw

1.27

SJK or FC Lahti

1.44

Draw or FC Lahti

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.53

Yes

2.30

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.18

Over 1.50

4.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.65

Over 2.50

2.19

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.62

Over 3.50

1.44

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.80

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.92

SJK

1.80

FC Lahti

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.18

Over 7.50

4.00

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.37

Over 8.50

2.75

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.67

Over 9.50

2.09

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.08

Over 10.50

1.69

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.55

Over 11.50

1.44

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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