Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**VPS's season has gone sideways fast, but they get a golden chance to reset against a Gnistan side that's been grinding for draws all autumn.** 🔄 The hosts need a W desperately — four losses in five is the kind of form that spoils Monday afternoons.
VPS have conceded 9 goals in their last three games, which is genuinely alarming. Gnistan, meanwhile, have won just once but stayed unbeaten in four straight (three draws, one win), so they'll be happy to suffocate and nick a goal on the break. The H2H leans VPS's way historically, but current form tells a different story.
Key storylines:
- **VPS's defence is leaking badly** — they've shipped 9 in three matches and face a Gnistan attack that's been patient and efficient
- **Gnistan thrive on set-ups and solidity**, not fireworks; expect a cagey, low-scoring affair if VPS can't force play early
- **Home advantage plus desperation could spark VPS** forward, but inconsistency has plagued them all season
Expected lineups:
- **VPS**: M. Jalloh, M. Haukioja, R. Simpson, K. Kouassivi-Benissan, M. Niemi, Y. Daoussi, O. Ogunniyi, W. Samaké, H. Salomaa, C. Holmelund
- **IF Gnistan**: O. Virtanen, A. Obileye, Ruxi, J. Latonen, B. Milovanov, G. Europaeus, A. Jouhi, D. Pérez, S. Ylätupa, A. Atarah
Prediction:
**1-0 VPS.** Home pressure tips the scales, but it'll be tight — Gnistan's defensive shape keeps it scrappy all game.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.