FF Jaro 1-1 IFK Mariehamn: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. FF Jaro 1-1 IFK Mariehamn.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

J. Svedberg

Attempt missed. J. Svedberg (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

85'

H. Zetterström

Attempt missed. H. Zetterström (FF Jaro), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

84'

V. Vuorinen

Substitution, FF Jaro: J. Remesaho comes on for V. Vuorinen.

84'

J. Myrevik

Substitution, FF Jaro: V. Lofs comes on for J. Myrevik.

84'

J. Lawson

Substitution, FF Jaro: L. Zetterstrom comes on for J. Lawson.

82'

N. Nurmi

Attempt missed. N. Nurmi (IFK Mariehamn), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

81'

IFK Mariehamn

Corner, IFK Mariehamn.

80'

L. Richtner

Attempt blocked. L. Richtner (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

80'

J. Svedberg

Attempt blocked. J. Svedberg (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

80'

T. K. Jakobsen

Attempt missed. T. K. Jakobsen (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.25.

79'

G. Kocsis

Goal! FF Jaro 1-1 IFK Mariehamn. Own goal by G. Kocsis.

78'

IFK Mariehamn

Corner, IFK Mariehamn.

78'

J. Svedberg

Attempt blocked. J. Svedberg (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

75'

K. Hardén

Substitution, FF Jaro: A. Vidjeskog comes on for K. Hardén.

72'

E. Patut

Attempt blocked. E. Patut (IFK Mariehamn), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

72'

T. K. Jakobsen

Attempt missed. T. K. Jakobsen (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

69'

A. Larsson

Substitution, IFK Mariehamn: J. v. d. Heyden comes on for A. Larsson.

69'

V. Widlund

Substitution, IFK Mariehamn: S. Dahlström comes on for V. Widlund.

68'

IFK Mariehamn

Offside, IFK Mariehamn.

64'

F. Ö. Ness

Attempt missed. F. Ö. Ness (FF Jaro), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

64'

V. Vuorinen

Goal! FF Jaro 1-0 IFK Mariehamn. V. Vuorinen (FF Jaro) scores, assisted by F. Ö. Ness.

63'

A. Bergvik

Attempt missed. A. Bergvik (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

63'

IFK Mariehamn

Corner, IFK Mariehamn.

62'

IFK Mariehamn

Corner, IFK Mariehamn.

62'

T. K. Jakobsen

Attempt blocked. T. K. Jakobsen (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

59'

J. Lawson

Attempt saved. J. Lawson (FF Jaro), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

58'

V. Widlund

Attempt missed. V. Widlund (IFK Mariehamn), header. xG 0.05.

57'

IFK Mariehamn

Offside, IFK Mariehamn.

56'

L. Richtner

Attempt missed. L. Richtner (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

53'

J. Svedberg

Attempt blocked. J. Svedberg (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

50'

J. Svedberg

Attempt saved. J. Svedberg (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

50'

V. Widlund

Attempt missed. V. Widlund (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

47'

J. Myrevik

Attempt missed. J. Myrevik (FF Jaro), right-footed shot. xG 0.62.

47'

J. Lawson

Off the woodwork! J. Lawson (FF Jaro), right-footed shot. xG 0.56.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. FF Jaro 0-0 IFK Mariehamn.

45+1'

J. S. Skau

Attempt missed. J. S. Skau (FF Jaro), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

44'

A. Bjonbäck

Attempt missed. A. Bjonbäck (FF Jaro), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

39'

J. Lawson

Attempt saved. J. Lawson (FF Jaro), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

35'

A. Bjonbäck

Attempt blocked. A. Bjonbäck (FF Jaro), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

34'

V. Vuorinen

Attempt saved. V. Vuorinen (FF Jaro), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

34'

FF Jaro

Corner, FF Jaro.

33'

V. Widlund

Attempt missed. V. Widlund (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

31'

J. S. Skau

Attempt blocked. J. S. Skau (FF Jaro), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

31'

FF Jaro

Corner, FF Jaro.

30'

FF Jaro

Offside, FF Jaro.

29'

K. Hardén

Attempt missed. K. Hardén (FF Jaro), header from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

29'

J. Myrevik

Attempt missed. J. Myrevik (FF Jaro), header from a throw-in. xG 0.06.

28'

FF Jaro

Corner, FF Jaro.

26'

IFK Mariehamn

Corner, IFK Mariehamn.

23'

J. Svedberg

Attempt missed. J. Svedberg (IFK Mariehamn), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

19'

FF Jaro

Corner, FF Jaro.

16'

IFK Mariehamn

Corner, IFK Mariehamn.

13'

J. Myrevik

Attempt missed. J. Myrevik (FF Jaro), header. xG 0.08.

13'

G. Kocsis

Attempt missed. G. Kocsis (FF Jaro), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

10'

FF Jaro

Corner, FF Jaro.

9'

IFK Mariehamn

Offside, IFK Mariehamn.

7'

A. Larsson

Attempt saved. A. Larsson (IFK Mariehamn), header. xG 0.04.

2'

FF Jaro

Corner, FF Jaro.

2'

K. Hardén

Attempt blocked. K. Hardén (FF Jaro), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

1'

T. Koivisto

Yellow card for T. Koivisto (IFK Mariehamn) for foul.

1'

Kick-off: FF Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn.

Where the money is

115607 EUR matched · captured 4 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 37258 EUR · live

Home 15.0 · implied 6.7%

46.7%

+40.0 vs price

Draw 1.09 · implied 91.7%

33.0%

-58.7 vs price

Away 16.0 · implied 6.2%

28.5%

+22.2 vs price

Half time 551 EUR · live

Draw 1.78 · implied 56.2%

60.4%

+4.2 vs price

Home 4.3 · implied 23.3%

37.0%

+13.7 vs price

Away 4.6 · implied 21.7%

2.4%

-19.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 45845 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

76.4%

-18.9 vs price

Over 12.0 · implied 8.3%

23.6%

+15.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 895 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

87.4%

-10.7 vs price

Over 18.5 · implied 5.4%

12.5%

+7.1 vs price

9 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

1' T. Koivisto · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

64' ⚽ V. Vuorinen · assist F. Ö. Ness1–0

69' 🔁 S. Dahlström ◂ V. Widlund

69' 🔁 J. v. d. Heyden ◂ A. Larsson

75' 🔁 A. Vidjeskog ◂ K. Hardén

79' ⚽ G. Kocsis1–1

84' 🔁 L. Zetterstrom ◂ J. Lawson

84' 🔁 V. Lofs ◂ J. Myrevik

84' 🔁 J. Remesaho ◂ V. Vuorinen

Full-time · 1–1

Coaches

Jens Karlsson

Roberth Bjorkensjo

Recent form

FF Jaro

WATurun Palloseura1-0

DAFC Lahti1-1

DHSJK1-1

LAIlves0-2

LAIFK Mariehamn0-2

IFK Mariehamn

DHIlves1-1

LASJK1-2

WHTurun Palloseura1-0

LAFC Lahti1-2

WHFF Jaro2-0

About this match

**FF Jaro's home fortress meets a streaky Mariehamn side in the Veikkausliiga's battle of inconsistency** — neither team's found much rhythm this season, but one has to turn it on at Project Liv Arena. 🏟️

Jaro's grabbed a win recently but oscillate between draws and losses; Mariehamn just bounced back with consecutive victories before a dip. The H2H favors the visitors heavily (12 wins to Jaro's 7), yet playing at home can shift momentum in tight matchups.

Key storylines:

- **FF Jaro** need to convert home advantage into three points — their recent 1-0 at Turku shows they can grind it out defensively.
- **Mariehamn's attacking depth** with A. Stroud, A. Larsson, and T. K. Jakobsen up front could trouble a Jaro side that draws too often.
- **Midfield battle** between Jaro's J. Myrevik and V. Vuorinen against Mariehamn's E. Patut and A. Huttunen will shape tempo.

Expected lineups:

- **FF Jaro**: S. Vits, F. Ö. Ness, M. Ogungbaro, J. Brunell, A. Bjonbäck, V. Vuorinen, J. Myrevik, J. S. Skau, G. Kocsis, K. Hardén, J. Lawson
- **IFK Mariehamn**: K. Lund, S. Ngulube, T. Koivisto, N. Nurmi, L. Richtner, E. Patut, A. Huttunen, A. Stroud, A. Bergvik, A. Larsson, T. K. Jakobsen

Prediction:

**1-1** — Jaro's draw habit strikes again; Mariehamn's road form keeps both honest. Slight edge to a stalemate.

Where to watch

OneFootball Deutschland

Match facts

Stadium

Project Liv Arena

City

Jakobstad

Referee

Mohammad Al-Emara

3.50 yellows/match · 56 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 11:00 UTC

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Highlights & clips

FF Jaro 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1 IFK Mariehamn

1 S. Vits 7.1 5 A. Bjonbäck 6.0 6 J. Brunell 7.3 4 M. Ogungbaro 7.3 19 F. Ö. Ness 7.4 42 J. Remesaho 6.7 ↑ 84' 25 G. Kocsis 6.4 7 J. S. Skau 7.0 16 A. Vidjeskog 6.5 ↑ 75' 24 V. Lofs 6.5 ↑ 84' 91 V. Vuorinen 7.0 1 K. Lund 7.1 27 L. Richtner 6.9 2 N. Nurmi 7.1 5 T. Koivisto 7.2 31 S. Ngulube 6.8 11 J. Svedberg 8.3 20 E. Patut 7.0 8 J. v. d. Heyden 6.7 ↑ 69' 14 A. Bergvik 7.2 19 T. K. Jakobsen 5.8 10 S. Dahlström 6.6 ↑ 69'

Substitutes

12GJ. Snellman 21DJ. Myrevik↓ 84'6.8 20DT. Söderström 22MK. Hardén↓ 75'6.3 77MA. M. Sabriye 8MO. K. Kawo 27MJ. Vikström 23FJ. Lawson↓ 84'7.1 9FH. Zetterström6.5

Coach: Jens Karlsson

Substitutes

12GO. Heino 3DA. Soiniemi 23MV. Widlund↓ 69'6.4 64MM. Hyvönen 16MA. Huttunen 7FA. Larsson↓ 69'6.4 43FL. Andersson 9FW. Nuñez

Coach: Roberth Bjorkensjo

Top stats

30%Possession70%

2.18Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.32

17Total shots18

4Shots on target2

3Big chances1

6Corners6

Shots

10Shots off target10

3Blocked shots6

12Shots inside box9

5Shots outside box9

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed1

Attack

34Touches in box21

41Final third entries73

1Offsides3

13Free kicks7

4Fouled in final third3

Passing

246Passes605

186Accurate passes549

22/48 (46%)Long balls22/45 (49%)

8/26 (31%)Crosses2/33 (6%)

29Throw-ins15

Duels

52Duels48

29/59 (49%)Ground duels30/59 (51%)

18/32 (56%)Aerial duels14/32 (44%)

5/15 (33%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)

8Dispossessed6

Defending

11Tackles18

36Tackles won56

7Interceptions6

42Clearances34

34Recoveries45

Discipline

7Fouls13

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

13Goal kicks9

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Jaro 42%

27%

Mariehamn 31%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.37 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 27% · 2.51 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.20 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.05 @ William Hill

1X2Mariehamn to win 31% · 3.40 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ Pinnacle

Who winsJaro to win (DNB) 57% · 1.73 @ Betway

1X2Jaro to win 42% · 2.70 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.70 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.21

FF Jaro

3.40

Draw

2.94

IFK Mariehamn

Double Chanceconsensus

1.33

FF Jaro or Draw

1.29

FF Jaro or IFK Mariehamn

1.60

Draw or IFK Mariehamn

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.61

Yes

2.20

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

10.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.80

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.00

Over 3.50

1.36

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.86

Over 4.50

1.12

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.67

FF Jaro

2.09

IFK Mariehamn

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.18

Over 7.50

4.00

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.37

Over 8.50

2.75

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.67

Over 9.50

2.09

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.08

Over 10.50

1.69

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.55

Over 11.50

1.44

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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