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IF Gnistan
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
IF Gnistan
IF Gnistan
IF Gnistan
IF Gnistan
IF Gnistan
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
IF Gnistan
AC Oulu
IF Gnistan
AC Oulu
IF Gnistan
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
Jussi Leppälahti
IF Gnistan
AC Oulu
IF Gnistan
5-4-1 · 4-4-2
AC Oulu
Commentary
90'
Full-time. IF Gnistan 3-4 AC Oulu.
90+3'
IF Gnistan
Offside, IF Gnistan.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
89'
AC Oulu
Offside, AC Oulu.
88'
AC Oulu
Corner, AC Oulu.
85'
IF Gnistan
Corner, IF Gnistan.
85'
Attempt missed. B. Milovanov (IF Gnistan), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
78'
IF Gnistan
Offside, IF Gnistan.
77'
IF Gnistan
Offside, IF Gnistan.
77'
IF Gnistan
Corner, IF Gnistan.
71'
IF Gnistan
Corner, IF Gnistan.
69'
AC Oulu
Corner, AC Oulu.
64'
AC Oulu
Offside, AC Oulu.
62'
AC Oulu
Corner, AC Oulu.
59'
Attempt saved. R. Karjalainen (AC Oulu), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
58'
Attempt missed. R. Karjalainen (AC Oulu), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
58'
AC Oulu
Corner, AC Oulu.
57'
AC Oulu
Corner, AC Oulu.
55'
AC Oulu
Corner, AC Oulu.
47'
IF Gnistan
Offside, IF Gnistan.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. IF Gnistan 1-3 AC Oulu.
45'
1 minute of added time.
43'
Attempt saved. S. Eremenko (IF Gnistan), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
33'
AC Oulu
Corner, AC Oulu.
29'
IF Gnistan
Corner, IF Gnistan.
28'
AC Oulu
Offside, AC Oulu.
17'
IF Gnistan
Corner, IF Gnistan.
10'
Goal! IF Gnistan 0-2 AC Oulu. I. Mendolin (AC Oulu) scores, assisted by R. Karjalainen.
10'
AC Oulu
Corner, AC Oulu.
5'
Goal! IF Gnistan 0-1 AC Oulu. M. Pitkanen (AC Oulu) scores, assisted by R. Karjalainen.
5'
AC Oulu
Corner, AC Oulu.
1'
Kick-off: IF Gnistan vs AC Oulu.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
110885 EUR · live
Home
36.0 · implied 2.8%
68.8%
+66.0 vs price
Away
1.08 · implied 92.6%
28.2%
-64.4 vs price
Draw
15.5 · implied 6.5%
5.4%
-1.1 vs price
Half time
79 EUR
Away
4.2 · implied 23.8%
49.4%
+25.6 vs price
Home
2.6 · implied 38.5%
47.0%
+8.5 vs price
Draw
2.58 · implied 38.8%
3.6%
-35.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
21514 EUR · live
Over
1.08 · implied 92.6%
85.7%
-6.9 vs price
Under
15.0 · implied 6.7%
14.3%
+7.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 8 clips
Player of the match
Match events
5'
⚽
M. Pitkanen · assist R. Karjalainen0–1
10'
⚽
I. Mendolin · assist R. Karjalainen0–2
22'
⚽
S. Eremenko1–2
Half-time · 1–3
45'+1
⚽
O. Virtanen1–3
51'
⚽
A. Jouhi · assist S. Ylätupa2–3
54'
🔁
A. Atarah ◂ O. Hannula
54'
S. Ylätupa · Foul
60'
🔁
D. Pérez ◂ S. Ylätupa
71'
🔁
R. Riski ◂ R. Karjalainen
71'
🔁
L. Ghezali ◂ J. Lotvonen
85'
⚽
L. Ghezali · assist R. Riski2–4
85'
🔁
J. Selenge ◂ P. Gnanou
86'
🔁
J. Mäkeläinen ◂ E. Kallio
86'
L. Ghezali
Full-time · 3–4
90'
🔁
A. Lietsa ◂ O. Kemppainen
90'+1
⚽
A. Jouhi · assist Ruxi3–4
Coaches
Jussi LeppälahtiMikko Isokangas 
Recent form
IF GnistanLAHJK0-4
LAVPS0-1
DHInter Turku0-0
DHHJK1-1
WAAC Oulu2-1
AC OuluWAInter Turku2-1
LHHJK3-4
WAKuopion Palloseura1-0
LHInter Turku0-1
LHIF Gnistan1-2
About this match
**Gnistan's fortress in Helsinki versus Oulu's inconsistency** — this is basically a home team cashing in on recent chaos down the table. 🏟️
Gnistan have steadied the ship with a couple of draws after getting hammered by HJK, while Oulu keep doing the classic yo-yo thing (blowing 3-4 goals, stealing wins). The head-to-head tells the real story: Gnistan owns this fixture badly.
Key storylines:
- **IF Gnistan** riding a defensive groove at home after two straight clean sheets; need to tighten after that 4-0 drubbing
- **AC Oulu** swinging wildly between wins and losses—vulnerability on the road is real, especially against a side this hungry
- The midfield battle with **B. Milovanov** and **G. Europaeus** for Gnistan against Oulu's **M. Arsalo** and **I. Mendolin** could dictate tempo
Expected lineups:
- **IF Gnistan**: O. Virtanen, Ruxi, A. Obileye, J. Ojala, E. Arko-Mensah, B. Milovanov, G. Europaeus, A. Jouhi
- **AC Oulu**: M. Santos, T. Kaukua, M. Pitkanen, J. Pirinen, O. Kemppainen, M. Arsalo, I. Mendolin, L. Ghezali
Prediction:
**Gnistan 2-1 Oulu**. Slight favorite at home with historical edge and better recent form. Oulu will nick one on the break but won't have enough to nick the points. 💪
Where to watch
OneFootball Deutschland
Ruutu+Ruutu+ Urheilu
Match facts
Stadium
Mustapekka Areena
City
Helsinki
Kickoff
24 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Veikkausliiga
Highlights & clips
IF Gnistan
5-4-1 · 4-4-2
AC Oulu
1
O. Virtanen
5.7
67
A. Obileye
6.4
14
S. Eremenko
7.4
50
J. Selenge
6.5
↑ 85'
3
Ruxi
6.6
19
B. Milovanov
5.4
26
R. Eremenko
6.6
31
A. Jouhi
10.0
7
A. Atarah
6.6
↑ 54'
11
D. Pérez
5.9
↑ 60'
10
J. Latonen
7.0
62
T. Backman
6.2
3
A. Lietsa
↑ 90'
5
M. Pitkanen
7.7
66
J. Pirinen
6.8
22
T. Kaukua
6.9
9
R. Riski
6.9
↑ 71'
25
M. Arsalo
7.8
21
I. Mendolin
7.5
30
J. Mäkeläinen
↑ 86'
10
C. Triana
6.2
11
L. Ghezali
7.6
↑ 71'
Substitutes
95GM. Juricka
24DP. Gnanou↓ 85'6.5
2DB. Dahlström
40DJ. Ojala
25DN. Rossi
27MO. Hannula↓ 54'6.1
23FS. Ylätupa↓ 60'6.3
Coach: Jussi Leppälahti
Substitutes
12GJ. Pentti
16DO. Kemppainen↓ 90'6.9
2DS. Sipola
29DS. Silander
36MJ. Lotvonen↓ 71'6.7
27ME. Kallio↓ 86'6.2
14MN. Jokelainen
40MJ. Korhonen
7FR. Karjalainen↓ 71'7.1
Coach: Mikko Isokangas
Top stats
55%Possession45%
1.15Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.12
14Total shots20
8Shots on target7
0Big chances3
5Corners9
Shots
4Shots off target9
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box11
6Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed2
Attack
32Touches in box22
86Final third entries75
3Offsides3
10Free kicks15
3Fouled in final third4
Passing
420Passes348
293Accurate passes224
27/86 (31%)Long balls23/89 (26%)
4/29 (14%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
26Throw-ins27
Duels
46Duels54
24/57 (42%)Ground duels33/57 (58%)
21/41 (51%)Aerial duels20/41 (49%)
1/7 (14%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)
6Dispossessed7
Defending
15Tackles13
73Tackles won62
15Interceptions5
16Clearances51
58Recoveries66
Discipline
15Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
2Big saves1
8Goal kicks5
1Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsGnistan to win (DNB) 65% · 1.53 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
1X2Gnistan to win 48% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.56 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.40 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.05 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.61 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.00 @ 1xBet
1X2Oulu to win 25% · 3.93 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.90
IF Gnistan
3.50
Draw
3.73
AC Oulu
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
IF Gnistan or Draw
1.25
IF Gnistan or AC Oulu
1.85
Draw or AC Oulu
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.35
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.70
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50
1.98
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.01
Over 3.50
1.35
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.67
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.50
IF Gnistan
2.45
AC Oulu
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.55
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
2.00
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.20
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.70
Over 11.50
1.39
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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