HJK 2-2 Kuopion Palloseura: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. HJK 2-2 Kuopion Palloseura.

90+4'

G. Engvall

Attempt missed. G. Engvall (Kuopion Palloseura), header from a corner. xG 0.27.

90+3'

Kuopion Palloseura

Corner, Kuopion Palloseura.

90+3'

T. Jyry

Attempt blocked. T. Jyry (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+2'

J. Veteli

Attempt blocked. J. Veteli (HJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

88'

HJK

Offside, HJK.

87'

J. Moreno

Substitution, Kuopion Palloseura: P. Parzyszek comes on for J. Moreno.

86'

J. Veteli

Attempt blocked. J. Veteli (HJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

84'

S. Haarala

Attempt saved. S. Haarala (HJK), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

83'

A. Lötjönen

Yellow card for A. Lötjönen (Kuopion Palloseura) for foul.

80'

P. Pennanen

Attempt missed. P. Pennanen (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

78'

B. N. Armah

Substitution, Kuopion Palloseura: G. Engvall comes on for B. N. Armah.

77'

P. Pennanen

Yellow card for P. Pennanen (Kuopion Palloseura) for argument.

76'

N. Alho

Yellow card for N. Alho (HJK) for foul.

75'

J. Eskesen

Yellow card for J. Eskesen (Kuopion Palloseura) for foul.

74'

N. Alho

Goal! HJK 2-2 Kuopion Palloseura. N. Alho (HJK) scores, assisted by T. Pukki.

72'

A. Ring

Substitution, HJK: J. Veteli comes on for A. Ring.

72'

L. Möller

Substitution, HJK: T. Pukki comes on for L. Möller.

71'

HJK

Offside, HJK.

70'

Kuopion Palloseura

Offside, Kuopion Palloseura.

70'

T. Jyry

Attempt missed. T. Jyry (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

69'

Kuopion Palloseura

Corner, Kuopion Palloseura.

66'

A. Cicale

Substitution, HJK: L. Lappalainen comes on for A. Cicale.

66'

J. Luyeye-Lutumba

Substitution, Kuopion Palloseura: T. Jyry comes on for J. Luyeye-Lutumba.

66'

S. Pasanen

Substitution, Kuopion Palloseura: J. Eskesen comes on for S. Pasanen.

56'

J. Moreno

Goal! HJK 1-2 Kuopion Palloseura. J. Moreno (Kuopion Palloseura) scores.

56'

P. Pennanen

Attempt missed. P. Pennanen (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

56'

J. Luyeye-Lutumba

Attempt saved. J. Luyeye-Lutumba (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot. xG 0.32.

55'

P. Pennanen

Goal! HJK 1-1 Kuopion Palloseura. P. Pennanen (Kuopion Palloseura) scores.

55'

Kuopion Palloseura

Corner, Kuopion Palloseura.

54'

P. Pennanen

Attempt blocked. P. Pennanen (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

53'

M. Borchers

Attempt saved. M. Borchers (HJK), header. xG 0.56.

53'

L. Möller

Goal! HJK 1-0 Kuopion Palloseura. L. Möller (HJK) scores.

50'

Kuopion Palloseura

Corner, Kuopion Palloseura.

50'

S. Savolainen

Attempt missed. S. Savolainen (Kuopion Palloseura), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. HJK 0-0 Kuopion Palloseura.

45+1'

J. Moreno

Attempt saved. J. Moreno (Kuopion Palloseura), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

45+1'

Kuopion Palloseura

Corner, Kuopion Palloseura.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

P. Pennanen

Attempt blocked. P. Pennanen (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

44'

A. Ring

Yellow card for A. Ring (HJK) for foul.

43'

A. Cicale

Attempt blocked. A. Cicale (HJK), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

43'

L. Möller

Yellow card for L. Möller (HJK) for foul.

40'

HJK

Corner, HJK.

38'

B. N. Armah

Attempt saved. B. N. Armah (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

36'

A. Cicale

Attempt missed. A. Cicale (HJK), header. xG 0.03.

32'

J. Moreno

Attempt saved. J. Moreno (Kuopion Palloseura), header on the counter. xG 0.09.

29'

HJK

Corner, HJK.

27'

M. Borchers

Cleared off the line! M. Borchers (HJK), header. xG 0.16.

19'

V. Gasc

Attempt saved. V. Gasc (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

13'

S. Pasanen

Attempt blocked. S. Pasanen (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

13'

Kuopion Palloseura

Corner, Kuopion Palloseura.

11'

M. Borchers

Attempt blocked. M. Borchers (HJK), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

10'

J. Moreno

Attempt saved. J. Moreno (Kuopion Palloseura), header from a corner. xG 0.18.

10'

Kuopion Palloseura

Corner, Kuopion Palloseura.

9'

J. Moreno

Attempt blocked. J. Moreno (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.

9'

S. Pasanen

Attempt blocked. S. Pasanen (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

5'

V. Gasc

Attempt blocked. V. Gasc (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

5'

J. Luyeye-Lutumba

Attempt missed. J. Luyeye-Lutumba (Kuopion Palloseura), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

2'

J. Moreno

Attempt missed. J. Moreno (Kuopion Palloseura), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.16.

1'

Kick-off: HJK vs Kuopion Palloseura.

Where the money is

157817 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 110419 EUR · live

Away 32.0 · implied 3.1%

38.0%

+34.9 vs price

Home 19.0 · implied 5.3%

35.9%

+30.7 vs price

Draw 1.03 · implied 97.1%

27.4%

-69.7 vs price

Half time 97 EUR

Draw 2.5 · implied 40.0%

68.0%

+28.0 vs price

Home 2.6 · implied 38.5%

60.5%

+22.0 vs price

Away 4.4 · implied 22.7%

0.4%

-22.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 8058 EUR · live

Under 2.78 · implied 36.0%

51.0%

+15.1 vs price

Over 1.43 · implied 69.9%

49.3%

-20.6 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 5 clips

Player of the match

Match events

43' L. Möller · Foul

44' A. Ring · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

53' ⚽ L. Möller1–0

55' ⚽ P. Pennanen1–1

56' ⚽ J. Moreno1–2

66' 🔁 J. Eskesen ◂ S. Pasanen

66' 🔁 T. Jyry ◂ J. Luyeye-Lutumba

66' 🔁 L. Lappalainen ◂ A. Cicale

72' 🔁 T. Pukki ◂ L. Möller

72' 🔁 J. Veteli ◂ A. Ring

74' ⚽ N. Alho · assist T. Pukki2–2

75' J. Eskesen · Foul

76' N. Alho · Foul

77' P. Pennanen · Argument

78' 🔁 G. Engvall ◂ B. N. Armah

83' A. Lötjönen · Foul

87' 🔁 P. Parzyszek ◂ J. Moreno

Full-time · 2–2

Coaches

Joonas Rantanen

Miika Nuutinen

Recent form

HJK

WHIF Gnistan4-0

WAAC Oulu4-3

WHVPS6-0

DAIF Gnistan1-1

DAKuopion Palloseura0-0

Kuopion Palloseura

LAFK Borac Banja Luka0-2

WHVPS2-0

LHTrabzonspor2-4

LAInter Turku0-1

LHAC Oulu0-1

About this match

**HJK are absolutely rolling — three straight wins, 14 goals in their last two — and KuPS is limping in off a four-game skid.** This has the feel of a home demolition job waiting to happen. 🔴

HJK's been putting the whole league on notice with those kind of scorelines, while KuPS grabbed one win recently but can't string anything together. The h2h favors the hosts slightly, but form tells the real story here.

Key storylines:

- **HJK's attack is firing on all cylinders** — M. Borchers, L. Möller, and S. Haarala have been clinical in front of goal
- **KuPS need defensive solidity** — B. Magassa and A. Puukko will have their hands full with that firepower
- **Midfield control matters** — A. Ring and P. Mentu have to dictate tempo for the hosts to keep the pressure on

Expected lineups:

- **HJK**: J. Öst, L. Montano, M. Bogićević, V. Tikkanen, N. Alho, A. Ring, P. Mentu, A. Cicale, S. Haarala, L. Möller, M. Borchers
- **Kuopion Palloseura**: J. Kreidl, A. Lötjönen, B. Magassa, A. Puukko, C. Antwi, P. Pennanen, S. Pasanen, P. Parzyszek, T. Jyry, J. Moreno, A. Aiki

Prediction:

**HJK 3-0 KuPS** — the hosts lean hard on their current form and exploit a KuPS side struggling for answers. 🎯

Where to watch

OneFootball Deutschland

Match facts

Stadium

Bolt Arena

City

Helsinki

Referee

Dennis Antamo

3.64 yellows/match · 39 matches

Kickoff

25 Oct, 13:00 UTC

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Highlights & clips

HJK 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Kuopion Palloseura

30 J. Samooja 8.7 17 N. Alho 8.4 31 M. Bogićević 7.2 6 V. Tikkanen 7.0 14 L. Montano 6.3 77 J. Veteli 6.7 ↑ 72' 8 P. Mentu 7.1 20 T. Pukki 6.8 ↑ 72' 29 S. Haarala 6.9 26 L. Lappalainen 6.5 ↑ 66' 9 M. Borchers 6.1 1 J. Kreidl 6.6 6 S. Savolainen 6.6 33 T. Hämäläinen 7.8 23 A. Lötjönen 6.7 25 C. Antwi 7.3 10 V. Gasc 6.8 16 T. Jyry 6.3 ↑ 66' 34 J. Eskesen 6.2 ↑ 66' 8 P. Pennanen 7.8 9 G. Engvall 6.5 ↑ 78' 20 P. Parzyszek ↑ 87'

Substitutes

12GM. Haapanen 3DT. Cissokho 13DK. Simojoki 4MA. Ring↓ 72'7.3 22ML. Möller↓ 72'6.8 7MA. Cicale↓ 66'6.5 32MM. Guèye 11MMartin Kirilov 10ML. Lingman

Coach: Joonas Rantanen

Substitutes

12GH. Riihimäki 4DK. Adams 24MB. N. Armah↓ 78'6.7 14MS. Pasanen↓ 66'6.6 21MJ. Luyeye-Lutumba↓ 66'6.6 3MS. Heiskanen 13MN. Kujasalo 11FJ. Moreno↓ 87'7.3 15FA. Aiki

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Top stats

56%Possession44%

1.65Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.7

10Total shots22

5Shots on target8

1Big chances2

2Corners8

Shots

1Shots off target7

4Blocked shots7

8Shots inside box13

2Shots outside box9

0Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed1

Attack

28Touches in box21

63Final third entries42

3Offsides1

15Free kicks14

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

515Passes403

443Accurate passes336

27/49 (55%)Long balls18/50 (36%)

3/13 (23%)Crosses5/10 (50%)

16Throw-ins16

Duels

55Duels45

30/59 (51%)Ground duels29/59 (49%)

13/19 (68%)Aerial duels6/19 (32%)

3/8 (38%)Dribbles3/12 (25%)

7Dispossessed4

Defending

13Tackles12

62Tackles won67

7Interceptions6

15Clearances27

35Recoveries26

Discipline

14Fouls15

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

6Saves2

1Big saves1

5Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

HJK 50%

25%

KuPS 24%

Who winsHJK to win (DNB) 70% · 1.44 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.36 @ 1xBet

1X2HJK to win 50% · 2.20 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.95 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 25% · 2.63 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle

1X2KuPS to win 24% · 4.03 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.83 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.83

HJK

3.60

Draw

3.80

Kuopion Palloseura

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

HJK or Draw

1.23

HJK or Kuopion Palloseura

1.92

Draw or Kuopion Palloseura

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.61

Yes

2.20

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.40

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.10

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.69

Over 2.50

2.10

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.75

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.25

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.43

HJK

2.62

Kuopion Palloseura

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.18

Over 7.50

3.47

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.36

Over 8.50

2.67

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.67

Over 9.50

2.08

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.03

Over 10.50

1.68

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.55

Over 11.50

1.39

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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