**Mortágua roll in as cup favorites** against Leça in a round-2 showdown where form tells a clear story. 🏆
Mortágua's unbeaten run (3W, 2D) gives them serious momentum, while Leça's wobblier record (2W, 1D, 2L) — including a heavy 3-0 loss to Fafe — suggests they're still finding their feet.
Key storylines:
- **Mortágua's rock-solid defense** has kept them sharp: three clean sheets in their last five, building confidence for a deep cup run.
- **Leça's attack showed spark** with a 4-1 demolition of Trofense, but consistency remains the enemy — defensive fragility is the red flag.
- **Home advantage tips toward Mortágua**, whose record at the Estádio suggests they thrive on familiar turf.
Expected lineups:
- **Mortágua**: G. Ferreira, C. Silva, G. Rosário, H. Ferreira, J. Paulo, A. O. Pinto, Bula, D. Rodrigues, E. Borges, J. Pais, P. Bonkat
- **Leça FC**: M. Paiva, A. Coutinho, C. Scheid, F. Baldé, D. Ribeiro, C. Avelino, D. Pereira, R. Ferreira, B. Mesquita, D. Fernandes, N. Reis
Prediction:
**Mortágua 2–1 Leça FC**. Home form and defensive solidity edge this one; expect Leça to trouble them on the counter but fall short. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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