Kashima Antlers 3-1 Ventforet Kofu: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Kashima Antlers 3-1 Ventforet Kofu.

90'

R. Hirose

Substitution, Kashima Antlers: R. Ogawa comes on for R. Hirose.

90'

L. Ceará

Substitution, Kashima Antlers: G. Shibasaki comes on for L. Ceará.

88'

Y. Murakami

Goal! Kashima Antlers 3-1 Ventforet Kofu. Y. Murakami (Ventforet Kofu) scores.

83'

Y. Suzuki

Substitution, Kashima Antlers: H. Tokuda comes on for Y. Suzuki.

83'

Y. Matheus

Substitution, Kashima Antlers: K. Tsukui comes on for Y. Matheus.

81'

T. Hosaka

Attempt blocked. T. Hosaka (Ventforet Kofu), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

77'

Y. Matheus

Attempt blocked. Y. Matheus (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

76'

K. Sato

Attempt missed. K. Sato (Ventforet Kofu), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

76'

K. Sato

Substitution, Ventforet Kofu: Y. Murakami comes on for K. Sato.

75'

Y. Matheus

Attempt saved. Y. Matheus (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

75'

Mendes

Substitution, Ventforet Kofu: T. Hosaka comes on for Mendes.

74'

S. Omori

Attempt missed. S. Omori (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

74'

M. Yoshida

Substitution, Kashima Antlers: Y. Matsumura comes on for M. Yoshida.

68'

H. Sueki

Substitution, Ventforet Kofu: K. Kumakura comes on for H. Sueki.

67'

Y. Suzuki

Attempt blocked. Y. Suzuki (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

66'

Y. Matheus

Attempt blocked. Y. Matheus (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

66'

M. Bueno

Attempt blocked. M. Bueno (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.00.

64'

Y. Matheus

Off the woodwork! Y. Matheus (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot. xG 0.33.

63'

S. Omori

Goal! Kashima Antlers 3-0 Ventforet Kofu. S. Omori (Kashima Antlers) scores.

62'

Y. Matheus

Attempt blocked. Y. Matheus (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

61'

S. Omori

Attempt saved. S. Omori (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.11.

59'

Mendes

Yellow card for Mendes (Ventforet Kofu).

54'

M. Yoshida

Goal! Kashima Antlers 2-0 Ventforet Kofu. M. Yoshida (Kashima Antlers) scores.

46'

T. Wada

Substitution, Ventforet Kofu: I. Kobayashi comes on for T. Wada.

46'

H. Mizuno

Substitution, Ventforet Kofu: M. Staccioli comes on for H. Mizuno.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Kashima Antlers 1-0 Ventforet Kofu.

45'

Y. Matheus

Attempt saved. Y. Matheus (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

39'

M. Yoshida

Attempt saved. M. Yoshida (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

36'

S. Omori

Attempt missed. S. Omori (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

34'

L. Ceará

Goal! Kashima Antlers 1-0 Ventforet Kofu. L. Ceará (Kashima Antlers) scores.

33'

K. Chida

Attempt saved. K. Chida (Kashima Antlers), header from a corner. xG 0.24.

32'

Y. Matheus

Attempt missed. Y. Matheus (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.00.

23'

L. Ceará

Attempt missed. L. Ceará (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot. xG 0.25.

19'

L. Ceará

Attempt missed. L. Ceará (Kashima Antlers), header. xG 0.37.

17'

Y. Matheus

Attempt blocked. Y. Matheus (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot. xG 0.26.

17'

K. Misao

Attempt blocked. K. Misao (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

16'

K. Oshima

Attempt missed. K. Oshima (Ventforet Kofu), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

14'

L. Ceará

Off the woodwork! L. Ceará (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

14'

Y. Suzuki

Attempt missed. Y. Suzuki (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot. xG 0.38.

12'

K. Misao

Attempt missed. K. Misao (Kashima Antlers), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

10'

K. Misao

Attempt missed. K. Misao (Kashima Antlers), header. xG 0.20.

9'

M. Yoshida

Attempt blocked. M. Yoshida (Kashima Antlers), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

4'

Y. Suzuki

Attempt missed. Y. Suzuki (Kashima Antlers), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

2'

H. Mizuno

Attempt blocked. H. Mizuno (Ventforet Kofu), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

1'

Kick-off: Kashima Antlers vs Ventforet Kofu.

Where the money is

212478 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 54765 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

96.7%

-2.3 vs price

Draw 490.0 · implied 0.2%

2.2%

+2.0 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.1%

+1.0 vs price

Half time 656 EUR · live

Home 2.22 · implied 45.0%

79.3%

+34.2 vs price

Away 16.0 · implied 6.2%

17.2%

+11.0 vs price

Draw 2.3 · implied 43.5%

3.2%

-40.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 24106 EUR · live

Over 1.35 · implied 74.1%

66.3%

-7.8 vs price

Under 3.85 · implied 26.0%

33.7%

+7.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 11036 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

96.8%

+0.7 vs price

Over 27.0 · implied 3.7%

3.2%

-0.5 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Match events

34' ⚽ L. Ceará1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 M. Staccioli ◂ H. Mizuno

46' 🔁 I. Kobayashi ◂ T. Wada

54' ⚽ M. Yoshida2–0

59' Mendes

63' ⚽ S. Omori3–0

68' 🔁 K. Kumakura ◂ H. Sueki

74' 🔁 Y. Matsumura ◂ M. Yoshida

75' 🔁 T. Hosaka ◂ Mendes

76' 🔁 Y. Murakami ◂ K. Sato

83' 🔁 K. Tsukui ◂ Y. Matheus

83' 🔁 H. Tokuda ◂ Y. Suzuki

88' ⚽ Y. Murakami3–1

Full-time · 3–1

90' 🔁 G. Shibasaki ◂ L. Ceará

90' 🔁 R. Ogawa ◂ R. Hirose

Coaches

Toru Oniki

Hiroki Shibuya

Recent form

Kashima Antlers

DAKawasaki Frontale3-3

LAVissel Kobe1-2

LHUrawa Red Diamonds0-1

LAMito Hollyhock2-4

WATokyo Verdy2-0

Ventforet Kofu

WAHokkaido Consadole Sapporo3-1

LAMatsumoto Yamaga FC0-3

LAVissel Kobe1-2

WHFukui United FC2-1

LHKashima Antlers1-2

About this match

**Kashima's cup pedigree meets a spirited Kofu side hungry for a shock** — this Emperor Cup clash pits the heavy favorites against a team riding two wins. 🏆

Kashima's wobbled lately (1W in five), but their H2H dominance (8 wins to Kofu's 4) screams experience when it matters. Kofu showed real edge beating Sapporo 3-1 but got turned over 3-0 by Matsumoto, so consistency is still the question mark.

Key storylines:

- **Kashima's midfield mettle**: Y. Matsumura, M. Bueno, and K. Misao need to control tempo and limit Kofu's quick transitions
- **Kofu's attacking intent**: Y. Murakami and K. Oshima form a dangerous pair up top if they get space in transition
- **Cup moment mentality**: Antlers own this fixture historically — expect them to lean on that when Kofu gets adventurous

Expected lineups:

- **Kashima Antlers**: T. Hayakawa, R. Ogawa, I. Sekigawa, A. Motosuna, Y. Matsumura, M. Bueno, K. Misao, G. Shibasaki, L. Ceará, Y. Suzuki
- **Ventforet Kofu**: K. Yamauchi, I. Kobayashi, H. Yamamoto, K. Sato, S. Araki, K. Mitsuhira, H. Endo, Y. Murakami, K. Oshima

Prediction:

**Kashima 2–1 Kofu**. Home advantage and cup pedigree edge it, but Kofu won't roll over. 🎯

Where to watch

Betano

Match facts

Kickoff

23 Sep, 08:00 UTC

Competition

Emperor Cup

Kashima Antlers 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1 Ventforet Kofu

21 T. Yamada 7 R. Ogawa ↑ 90' 4 K. Chida 5 I. Sekigawa 19 S. Omori ⚽1 23 K. Tsukui ↑ 83' 6 K. Misao 8 M. Bueno 34 H. Tokuda ↑ 83' 10 G. Shibasaki ↑ 90' 27 Y. Matsumura ↑ 74' 33 K. Yamauchi 17 S. Fukumoto 3 R. Nozawa 47 T. Hosaka ↑ 75' 13 Y. Murakami ↑ 76' 25 Y. Hiratsuka 11 K. Kumakura ↑ 68' 6 I. Kobayashi ↑ 46' 15 T. Yoneda 23 M. Staccioli ↑ 46' 29 K. Oshima

Substitutes

29GY. Kajikawa 37DR. Hirose↓ 90' 55DN. Ueda 35DA. Motosuna 18MY. Matheus↓ 83' 24MH. Hayashi 30FM. Yoshida↓ 74' 40FY. Suzuki↓ 83' 9FL. Ceará↓ 90'

Coach: Toru Oniki

Substitutes

31GL. Min-Ki 95DMendes↓ 75' 41MT. Wada↓ 46' 19MH. Mizuno↓ 46' 16MH. Sueki↓ 68' 24MK. Sato↓ 76' 27MS. Takei 8MK. Yasuda 10FY. Naito

Coach: Hiroki Shibuya

Top stats

64%Possession36%

3.5Expected goals (xG)0.17

9Shots on target3

6Corners3

Shots

10Shots off target2

Attack

2Offsides1

17Free kicks12

Passing

23Throw-ins21

Discipline

10Fouls16

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Goal kicks12

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Kashima 73%

17%

Ventforet Kofu 9%

Who winsKashima to win (DNB) 89% · 1.09 @ Betano

1X2Kashima to win 73% · 1.57 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.70 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.26 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.85 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 17% · 3.14 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

1X2Ventforet Kofu to win 9% · 7.75 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.25

Kashima Antlers

5.00

Draw

9.25

Ventforet Kofu

Double Chanceconsensus

1.04

Kashima Antlers or Draw

1.13

Kashima Antlers or Ventforet Kofu

3.30

Draw or Ventforet Kofu

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.00

Yes

1.70

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.05

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

17.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

12.85

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.15

Over 1.50

4.71

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.57

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.42

Over 3.50

1.50

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.50

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.08

Kashima Antlers

7.25

Ventforet Kofu

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

3.24

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.54

Over 8.50

2.33

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.91

Over 9.50

1.82

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.44

Over 10.50

1.49

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.23

Over 11.50

1.26

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Kashima Antlers to win or draw

✓

91% confidence

Kashima Antlers to avoid defeat

✓

89% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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