Gamba Osaka 5-0 Tokushima Vortis: Stats & xG – Sep 23, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Gamba Osaka 5-0 Tokushima Vortis.

90+4'

D. Hümmet

Attempt saved. D. Hümmet (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.39.

90+4'

T. Tono

Attempt missed. T. Tono (Gamba Osaka), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

90+3'

R. Hatsuse

Attempt saved. R. Hatsuse (Gamba Osaka), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.13.

90'

Y. Yoshihara

Attempt missed. Y. Yoshihara (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

89'

R. Meshino

Goal! Gamba Osaka 5-0 Tokushima Vortis. R. Meshino (Gamba Osaka) scores.

88'

T. Suzuki

Substitution, Gamba Osaka: Y. Yoshihara comes on for T. Suzuki.

86'

T. Tono

Attempt blocked. T. Tono (Gamba Osaka), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.18.

86'

G. Ikegaya

Goal! Gamba Osaka 5-0 Tokushima Vortis. G. Ikegaya (Gamba Osaka) scores.

85'

T. Usami

Substitution, Gamba Osaka: T. Tono comes on for T. Usami.

85'

S. Nakano

Substitution, Gamba Osaka: R. Hatsuse comes on for S. Nakano.

82'

N. Nakatsumi

Attempt blocked. N. Nakatsumi (Gamba Osaka), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

77'

J. Miyazaki

Substitution, Tokushima Vortis: T. Inami comes on for J. Miyazaki.

77'

K. Mafaldo

Substitution, Tokushima Vortis: T. Anderson comes on for K. Mafaldo.

77'

T. Shigehiro

Substitution, Tokushima Vortis: S. Kodama comes on for T. Shigehiro.

76'

G. Ikegaya

Attempt missed. G. Ikegaya (Gamba Osaka), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

73'

S. Nakano

Attempt blocked. S. Nakano (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

72'

S. Nakatani

Attempt missed. S. Nakatani (Gamba Osaka), header from a corner. xG 0.10.

71'

R. Meshino

Attempt saved. R. Meshino (Gamba Osaka), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

70'

R. Yamashita

Substitution, Gamba Osaka: N. Nakatsumi comes on for R. Yamashita.

70'

S. Kurata

Substitution, Gamba Osaka: R. Meshino comes on for S. Kurata.

69'

S. Kurata

Attempt blocked. S. Kurata (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

67'

T. Sugimoto

Attempt blocked. T. Sugimoto (Tokushima Vortis), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

67'

S. Kurata

Attempt saved. S. Kurata (Gamba Osaka), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

65'

J. Miyazaki

Attempt blocked. J. Miyazaki (Tokushima Vortis), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

65'

N. Kanuma

Attempt missed. N. Kanuma (Tokushima Vortis), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

64'

D. Hümmet

Goal! Gamba Osaka 3-0 Tokushima Vortis. D. Hümmet (Gamba Osaka) scores.

62'

N. Kanuma

Attempt blocked. N. Kanuma (Tokushima Vortis), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

58'

R. Yamashita

Yellow card for R. Yamashita (Gamba Osaka).

57'

R. Yamashita

Goal! Gamba Osaka 2-0 Tokushima Vortis. R. Yamashita (Gamba Osaka) scores.

56'

Y. Takada

Substitution, Tokushima Vortis: N. Yamada comes on for Y. Takada.

54'

T. Nishisaka

Attempt missed. T. Nishisaka (Tokushima Vortis), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

53'

T. Sugimoto

Yellow card for T. Sugimoto (Tokushima Vortis).

51'

T. Usami

Attempt blocked. T. Usami (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

51'

D. Hümmet

Attempt missed. D. Hümmet (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Gamba Osaka 1-0 Tokushima Vortis.

45+4'

D. Hümmet

Attempt missed. D. Hümmet (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

45+1'

T. Suzuki

Attempt saved. T. Suzuki (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

41'

K. Mafaldo

Attempt missed. K. Mafaldo (Tokushima Vortis), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

40'

S. Takada

Substitution, Tokushima Vortis: T. Nishisaka comes on for S. Takada.

31'

T. Usami

Attempt missed. T. Usami (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

25'

G. Ikegaya

Attempt saved. G. Ikegaya (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

19'

T. Usami

Goal! Gamba Osaka 1-0 Tokushima Vortis. T. Usami (Gamba Osaka) scores.

17'

S. Kurata

Attempt blocked. S. Kurata (Gamba Osaka), header. xG 0.04.

14'

R. Yamashita

Attempt missed. R. Yamashita (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.28.

14'

Y. Kajiya

Attempt missed. Y. Kajiya (Tokushima Vortis), left-footed shot. xG 0.00.

14'

T. Usami

Attempt saved. T. Usami (Gamba Osaka), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.

5'

Y. Kajiya

Attempt missed. Y. Kajiya (Tokushima Vortis), header. xG 0.12.

4'

S. Sasaki

Attempt missed. S. Sasaki (Gamba Osaka), left-footed shot. xG 0.00.

1'

Kick-off: Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis.

Where the money is

133667 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 57413 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

91.0%

-8.0 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.5%

+5.4 vs price

Draw 950.0 · implied 0.1%

3.7%

+3.6 vs price

Half time 498 EUR · live

Home 1.16 · implied 86.2%

52.6%

-33.6 vs price

Away 7.2 · implied 13.9%

41.2%

+27.3 vs price

Draw 2.22 · implied 45.0%

5.8%

-39.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 11315 EUR · live

Over 1.61 · implied 62.1%

59.7%

-2.4 vs price

Under 2.64 · implied 37.9%

40.3%

+2.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1076 EUR · live

Under 1.2 · implied 83.3%

77.4%

-5.9 vs price

Over 6.2 · implied 16.1%

22.5%

+6.4 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Match events

19' ⚽ T. Usami1–0

40' 🔁 T. Nishisaka ◂ S. Takada

Half-time · 1–0

53' T. Sugimoto

56' 🔁 N. Yamada ◂ Y. Takada

57' ⚽ R. Yamashita2–0

58' R. Yamashita

64' ⚽ D. Hümmet3–0

70' 🔁 R. Meshino ◂ S. Kurata

70' 🔁 N. Nakatsumi ◂ R. Yamashita

77' 🔁 S. Kodama ◂ T. Shigehiro

77' 🔁 T. Anderson ◂ K. Mafaldo

77' 🔁 T. Inami ◂ J. Miyazaki

85' 🔁 R. Hatsuse ◂ S. Nakano

85' 🔁 T. Tono ◂ T. Usami

86' ⚽ G. Ikegaya5–0

88' 🔁 Y. Yoshihara ◂ T. Suzuki

89' ⚽ R. Meshino5–0

Full-time · 5–0

Coaches

Tomokazu Myojin

Takafumi Yoshimoto

Recent form

Gamba Osaka

LHVissel Kobe0-1

LHFC Tokyo0-2

LAJEF United Chiba0-2

DAV-Varen Nagasaki2-2

DHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-0

Tokushima Vortis

WHFC Tokushima3-0

LACerezo Osaka0-2

WHRenofa Yamaguchi FC2-1

LAVissel Kobe0-2

WHVegalta Sendai1-0

About this match

**Gamba Osaka are down bad, and Tokushima smell blood.** This Emperor Cup clash pits a J-League side in freefall against a second-division team riding genuine momentum. 🔴

Gamba have won zero of their last five (2D, 3L) with back-to-back home drubbings, while Tokushima just battered FC Tokushima 3-0 and are clicking. The visitors won't fear the bigger name here.

Key storylines:

- **Gamba's defence is leaking:** conceded six goals in three recent games at home; Tokushima's attack thrives on chaos
- **Second-division confidence vs J-League fatigue:** **Tokushima Vortis** have three wins in five and tour with swagger
- **H2H edge to Gamba:** historically 4-1-1 up, but form tells a different story right now

Expected lineups:

- **Gamba Osaka**: J. Ichimori, R. Hatsuse, S. Nakatani, S. Sasaki, T. Kishimoto, S. Abe, R. Mito, R. Meshino, A. Uenaka, R. Yamashita, D. Hümmet
- **Tokushima Vortis**: T. Hasegawa, S. Takada, K. Mafaldo, H. Aoki, H. Tanaka, S. Kodama, K. Iwao, T. Anderson, D. Watari, L. Barcellos, K. Yanagisawa

Prediction:

**Tokushima Vortis 2-1 Gamba Osaka.** The visitors have the form edge and Gamba's home record is a disaster. Lean Tokushima. ⚪

Where to watch

Betano

Match facts

Kickoff

23 Sep, 08:00 UTC

Competition

Emperor Cup

Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1 Tokushima Vortis

1 M. Higashiguchi 19 G. Ikegaya 4 S. Nakatani 67 S. Sasaki 21 R. Hatsuse ↑ 85' 13 S. Abe 32 Y. Yoshihara ↑ 88' 8 R. Meshino ↑ 70' 37 N. Nakatsumi ↑ 70' 35 T. Tono ↑ 85' 23 D. Hümmet ⚽1 31 T. Hasegawa 17 T. Inami ↑ 77' 6 N. Kanuma 44 T. Yamaguchi 97 M. Moyo 7 S. Kodama ↑ 77' 3 N. Yamada ↑ 56' 9 T. Anderson ↑ 77' 28 T. Nishisaka ↑ 40' 10 T. Sugimoto 14 Y. Kajiya

Substitutes

22GJ. Ichimori 47DS. Nakano↓ 85' 2DS. Fukuoka 17MR. Yamashita↓ 70' 10MS. Kurata↓ 70' 7MT. Usami↓ 85' 16MT. Suzuki↓ 88' 27MR. Mito 11MI. Jebali

Coach: Tomokazu Myojin

Substitutes

29GD. Mitsui 4DK. Mafaldo↓ 77' 24MS. Takada↓ 40' 23MY. Takada↓ 56' 55MT. Shigehiro↓ 77' 19MJ. Miyazaki↓ 77' 69MM. Fukuta 27ML. Izuchukwu 16FD. Watari

Coach: Takafumi Yoshimoto

Top stats

66%Possession34%

3.95Expected goals (xG)0.37

13Shots on target0

9Corners0

Shots

8Shots off target5

0Hit woodwork0

Attack

3Offsides1

12Free kicks16

Passing

22Throw-ins18

Discipline

13Fouls11

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

7Goal kicks14

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Gamba Osaka 56%

24%

Tokushima 20%

Who winsGamba Osaka to win (DNB) 74% · 1.27 @ Novibet

1X2Gamba Osaka to win 56% · 2.00 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.20 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.01 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 24% · 2.62 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle

1X2Tokushima to win 20% · 4.88 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.60

Gamba Osaka

3.73

Draw

4.71

Tokushima Vortis

Double Chanceconsensus

1.13

Gamba Osaka or Draw

1.20

Gamba Osaka or Tokushima Vortis

2.20

Draw or Tokushima Vortis

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes

1.91

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

8.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

10.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

3.77

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.77

Over 2.50

1.98

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.00

Over 3.50

1.33

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.70

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.25

Gamba Osaka

3.70

Tokushima Vortis

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.32

Over 7.50

2.92

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.62

Over 8.50

2.17

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.04

Over 9.50

1.71

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.62

Over 10.50

1.40

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.64

Over 11.50

1.20

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Gamba Osaka to win or draw

✓

80% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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