Machida Zelvia 2-1 Tochigi City FC: Stats – Sep 23, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Machida Zelvia 2-1 Tochigi City FC.

87'

K. Sento

Substitution, Machida Zelvia: F. Tokumura comes on for K. Sento.

81'

T. Ouwejan

Substitution, Machida Zelvia: H. H. Mochizuki comes on for T. Ouwejan.

81'

Y. Okaniwa

Substitution, Tochigi City FC: T. Mori comes on for Y. Okaniwa.

76'

R. Okui

Substitution, Tochigi City FC: H. Suzuki comes on for R. Okui.

71'

K. Ogawa

Goal! Machida Zelvia 2-1 Tochigi City FC. K. Ogawa (Machida Zelvia) scores.

69'

Y. Koike

Goal! Machida Zelvia 1-1 Tochigi City FC. Y. Koike (Tochigi City FC) scores.

63'

M. Duke

Substitution, Machida Zelvia: K. Ogawa comes on for M. Duke.

63'

T. Nishimura

Substitution, Machida Zelvia: H. Mae comes on for T. Nishimura.

56'

K. Yamashita

Substitution, Tochigi City FC: A. Yoshida comes on for K. Yamashita.

56'

T. Nguen

Substitution, Tochigi City FC: Y. Masukake comes on for T. Nguen.

56'

M. Suzuki

Substitution, Tochigi City FC: Y. Koike comes on for M. Suzuki.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Machida Zelvia 1-0 Tochigi City FC.

25'

J. Kato

Yellow card for J. Kato (Tochigi City FC).

23'

M. Duke

Goal! Machida Zelvia 1-0 Tochigi City FC. M. Duke (Machida Zelvia) scores.

1'

Kick-off: Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City FC.

Where the money is

126764 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 43172 EUR · live

Home 1.02 · implied 98.0%

92.3%

-5.7 vs price

Draw 15.0 · implied 6.7%

5.2%

-1.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.0%

+2.9 vs price

Half time 557 EUR · live

Home 2.06 · implied 48.5%

85.2%

+36.7 vs price

Away 11.0 · implied 9.1%

13.3%

+4.2 vs price

Draw 2.26 · implied 44.2%

1.3%

-43.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 12090 EUR · live

Over 1.49 · implied 67.1%

75.3%

+8.2 vs price

Under 2.98 · implied 33.6%

24.7%

-8.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 8651 EUR · live

Under 1.09 · implied 91.7%

94.8%

+3.0 vs price

Over 15.0 · implied 6.7%

5.2%

-1.4 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Tap a player for their full match card.

Match events

23' ⚽ M. Duke1–0

25' J. Kato

Half-time · 1–0

56' 🔁 Y. Koike ◂ M. Suzuki

56' 🔁 Y. Masukake ◂ T. Nguen

56' 🔁 A. Yoshida ◂ K. Yamashita

63' 🔁 H. Mae ◂ T. Nishimura

63' 🔁 K. Ogawa ◂ M. Duke

69' ⚽ Y. Koike1–1

71' ⚽ K. Ogawa2–1

76' 🔁 H. Suzuki ◂ R. Okui

81' 🔁 T. Mori ◂ Y. Okaniwa

81' 🔁 H. H. Mochizuki ◂ T. Ouwejan

87' 🔁 F. Tokumura ◂ K. Sento

Full-time · 2–1

Coaches

Go Kuroda

Naoki Imaya

Recent form

Machida Zelvia

LHKashiwa Reysol2-4

DHYokohama F. Marinos1-1

WANagoya Grampus3-1

WHKawasaki Frontale2-1

DAMito Hollyhock1-1

Tochigi City FC

WAVegalta Sendai2-1

LACerezo Osaka0-1

LAHokkaido Consadole Sapporo1-3

WHYokogawa Musashino FC1-0

LAKawasaki Frontale1-3

About this match

**Cup chaos meets J-League meat grinder** — Machida Zelvia hosting a Tochigi side clinging to survival, and one of them is walking out of this Emperor Cup clash. 🏆

Zelvia's form is all over the place: two wins bookended by a spanking from Kashiwa and a drab draw with Yokohama. Tochigi, meanwhile, are 2W–3L in their last five and haven't found consistency anywhere. This is the kind of fixture where desperation meets opportunity.

Key storylines:

- **Machida's inconsistency at home** — they've leaked goals against better sides and need to tighten up defensively if they want a cup run
- **Tochigi's away woes** — three losses in five on the road; the mental side of a trip to Machida's ground could be the deciding factor
- **T. Nishimura and K. Yamashita** as the focal points in each attacking third; Zelvia's striker needs to capitalize on home turf

Expected lineups:

- **Machida Zelvia**: K. Tani, T. Akimoto, G. Shoji, D. Okamura, H. Nakamura, R. Shirasaki, H. Mae, N. Lavi, Y. Soma, T. Yengi, T. Nishimura
- **Tochigi City FC**: Y. Harada, Y. Sato, H. Suzuki, J. Kato, J. Tanaka, Y. Okaniwa, T. Oshima, A. Yoshida, T. Nguen, B. Vásquez, K. Yamashita

Prediction:

**Machida Zelvia 2–1 Tochigi City FC**

Zelvia edge it at home in a tight, scrappy cup tie. 🎯

Where to watch

Betano

Match facts

Kickoff

23 Sep, 08:00 UTC

Competition

Emperor Cup

Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3 Tochigi City FC

1 K. Tani 3 G. Shoji 50 D. Okamura 6 H. H. Mochizuki ↑ 81' 88 H. Nakamura 34 F. Tokumura ↑ 87' 18 H. Shimoda 33 T. Akimoto 16 H. Mae ↑ 63' 14 Y. Matsuo 9 K. Ogawa ↑ 63' 1 Y. Harada 22 H. Suzuki ↑ 76' 28 K. Konishi 17 T. Chinen 33 T. Inui 18 M. Kato 6 J. Kato 7 T. Mori ↑ 81' 88 Y. Masukake ↑ 56' 32 Y. Koike ↑ 56' 23 A. Yoshida ↑ 56'

Substitutes

13GT. Morita 66GA. Koch 2DT. Ouwejan↓ 81' 5DI. Drešević 8MK. Sento↓ 87' 23MR. Shirasaki 20FT. Nishimura↓ 63' 15FM. Duke↓ 63'

Coach: Go Kuroda

Substitutes

97GJ. H. Kim 5DR. Okui↓ 76' 3DH. Teruyama 93MT. Nguen↓ 56' 10MY. Okaniwa↓ 81' 13MT. Oshima 24MK. Nishiya 8FK. Yamashita↓ 56' 9FM. Suzuki↓ 56'

Coach: Naoki Imaya

Top stats

60%Possession40%

7Shots on target2

4Corners1

Shots

9Shots off target7

Attack

1Offsides3

16Free kicks6

Passing

28Throw-ins16

Discipline

5Fouls13

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

10Goal kicks12

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers

Machida 66%

19%

Tochigi City 15%

Who winsMachida to win (DNB) 82% · 1.17 @ Bet365

1X2Machida to win 66% · 1.66 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.10 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.73 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 19% · 3.08 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.60 @ betfair

1X2Tochigi City to win 15% · 6.08 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.35

Machida Zelvia

4.80

Draw

6.50

Tochigi City FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.06

Machida Zelvia or Draw

1.13

Machida Zelvia or Tochigi City FC

2.90

Draw or Tochigi City FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.72

Yes

2.00

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

16.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.12

Over 1.50

5.12

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.48

Over 2.50

2.51

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.27

Over 3.50

1.60

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.80

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.13

Machida Zelvia

5.10

Tochigi City FC

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.26

Over 7.50

3.22

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.52

Over 8.50

2.32

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.79

Over 9.50

1.94

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.27

Over 10.50

1.57

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.26

Over 11.50

1.25

Under 11.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

1.80

Machida Zelvia

2.62

Draw

6.34

Tochigi City FC

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

1.65

Machida Zelvia

3.04

Draw

5.79

Tochigi City FC

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Machida Zelvia to win or draw

✓

85% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

82% confidence

Machida Zelvia to avoid defeat

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

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