Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Farense host Chaves in a dead-rubber Sunday slot, but the form book says this is a proper test** — the visitors have won more head-to-head clashes over time and both sides are jostling for midtable respect in Liga Portugal 2. 🏟️
Farense are clicking (2W-2D from their last five), though that loss to Sporting CP B still stings. Chaves are streakier — they've yanked themselves back into it with recent wins but dropped points at home to Vitória SC, so consistency is the real enemy here.
Key storylines:
- **Farense's home comforts** — they've been solid at São Luís and will want to lean on that advantage against a Chaves side that's inconsistent on the road.
- **Chaves' attacking mix** — Roberto and R. Esajas form a live threat up top, but Farense's backline anchored by D. Miranda and N. Zolotić should be organized.
- **Midfield chess** — Rafinha and C. Falcão will battle T. Simões and G. García for control; whoever dominates possession likely wins the day.
Expected lineups:
- **SC Farense**: F. Buntić, T. Herrero, D. Miranda, N. Zolotić, A. Pinto, Rafinha, C. Falcão, M. Menino, L. d. Oliveira, B. Sangaré, A. Candeias
- **Chaves**: J. Valido, K. Pereira, M. Tounkara, R. Alves, L. Alaba, T. Simões, G. García, P. Pelágio, A. Rodrigues, Roberto, R. Esajas
Prediction:
**Farense 1–0 Chaves**. Slight edge to the hosts on form and home turf. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.