← All matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen
M. Demichelis
Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Rot-Weiss Essen
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen
Uwe Koschinat
Rot-Weiss Essen
RB Leipzig
Rot-Weiss Essen
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
RB Leipzig
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Rot-Weiss Essen 1-2 RB Leipzig.
90+2'
Rot-Weiss Essen
Corner, Rot-Weiss Essen.
90'
0 minutes of added time.
90'
Rot-Weiss Essen
Corner, Rot-Weiss Essen.
89'
Rot-Weiss Essen
Corner, Rot-Weiss Essen.
82'
Goal! Rot-Weiss Essen 1-2 RB Leipzig. C. Baumgartner (RB Leipzig) scores, assisted by D. Raum.
82'
M. Demichelis
Yellow card for M. Demichelis (RB Leipzig) for argument.
78'
Goal! Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 RB Leipzig. C. Baumgartner (RB Leipzig) scores, assisted by A. Nusa.
68'
Rot-Weiss Essen
Offside, Rot-Weiss Essen.
68'
Rot-Weiss Essen
Offside, Rot-Weiss Essen.
63'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
62'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
59'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
56'
RB Leipzig
Offside, RB Leipzig.
54'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
54'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
53'
RB Leipzig
Offside, RB Leipzig.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 RB Leipzig.
45'
Rot-Weiss Essen
Offside, Rot-Weiss Essen.
40'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
39'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
37'
Attempt blocked. B. Huning (Rot-Weiss Essen), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.
37'
Attempt missed. J. Rios Alonso (Rot-Weiss Essen), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.
31'
Rot-Weiss Essen
Corner, Rot-Weiss Essen.
26'
Rot-Weiss Essen
Corner, Rot-Weiss Essen.
25'
Attempt missed. L. Brumme (Rot-Weiss Essen), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.
1'
Kick-off: Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
909650 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
56.0%
-43.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
38.1%
+38.0 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
6.0%
+2.1 vs price
Half time
446 EUR
Away
1.54 · implied 64.9%
97.6%
+32.7 vs price
Home
10.5 · implied 9.5%
1.6%
-7.9 vs price
Draw
3.65 · implied 27.4%
0.8%
-26.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
101750 EUR · live
Under
1.76 · implied 56.8%
63.2%
+6.3 vs price
Over
2.26 · implied 44.2%
37.2%
-7.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
93 EUR
Under
1.37 · implied 73.0%
94.9%
+21.9 vs price
Over
3.65 · implied 27.4%
5.1%
-22.3 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
L. Brumme1–0
23'
D. Abiama · Time wasting
34'
N. Seiwald · Foul
44'
N. Seiwald · Argument
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
B. Gruda ◂ R. Reitz
46'
🔁
N. El Aynaoui ◂ A. Maksimović
62'
🔁
A. Nusa ◂ R. Baku
62'
🔁
C. Baumgartner ◂ E. Banzuzi
65'
🔁
E. Çelebi ◂ L. Brumme
73'
C. Baumgartner · Foul
74'
🔁
N. Bätzner ◂ M. Kostka
76'
N. El Aynaoui · Foul
77'
N. Bätzner · Off the ball foul
78'
⚽
C. Baumgartner · assist A. Nusa1–1
80'
🔁
F. Vasic ◂ D. Abiama
80'
🔁
L. Bazzoli ◂ N. Pesch
82'
⚽
C. Baumgartner · assist D. Raum1–2
82'
M. Demichelis · Argument
87'
🔁
B. Henrichs ◂ Rômulo
Full-time · 1–2
90'+5
Ø. Nyland · Argument
Coaches
Uwe KoschinatMartín Demichelis 
Recent form
Rot-Weiss EssenDAArminia Bielefeld2-2
WHFC St. Pauli2-0
LABayer 04 Leverkusen0-3
LHBorussia M'gladbach1-2
LASV Ried0-3
RB LeipzigWHSV 07 Elversberg4-0
LAReal Madrid1-4
LAFC Bayern München1-6
WHPSV Eindhoven1-0
WHEintracht Frankfurt6-0
About this match
**David vs. Goliath energy** — fourth-tier Essen hosting Bundesliga heavyweights Leipzig in a DFB-Pokal showdown. The upset dream is real, but Leipzig's pedigree says otherwise. ⚽
Essen scraped a draw at Bielefeld and beat St. Pauli at home, but got hammered 3-0 by Leverkusen. Leipzig just tanked 1-6 to Bayern and 1-4 to Real Madrid, so they'll be itching to flex on smaller prey.
Key storylines:
- **RB Leipzig** arrive as heavy favorites but have conceded multiple goals in back-to-back heavyweights clashes — Essen's home crowd could apply early pressure
- Essen's **M. Janssen** up top needs service from **S. Telalović** and **R. Reisig** in midfield to pose any real threat
- **B. Gruda** and **J. Bakayoko** lead Leipzig's attack and will likely dominate possession and territory
Expected lineups:
- **Rot-Weiss Essen**: J. Golz, F. Bouebari, M. Geschwill, B. Huning, J. Hofmann, J. Sietan, R. Reisig, S. Telalović, N. Pesch, M. Obuz, M. Janssen
- **RB Leipzig**: M. Vandevoordt, W. Orbán, D. Raum, C. Lukeba, R. Baku, N. El Aynaoui, E. Banzuzi, A. Nusa, B. Gruda, J. Bakayoko, C. Nkunku
Prediction:
**RB Leipzig 3–1 Rot-Weiss Essen**
Leipzig has the class and firepower to end this decisively, but Essen's home support could nick a goal or two.
Where to watch
Sky Go
DAZN Belgium
Disney+ Brazil
OneFootball DeutschlandRTL+Sky GoSky Sport 2Sky Sport 6Sky Sport HD 6Sky Sport MixSky Sport Top EventWOW
beIN Sports MAX 4
Sky GoSky Sport HD 6
Disney+ (MX)
VG TV
Eleven Sports 3 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Essen
City
Essen
Kickoff
27 Oct, 17:00 UTC
Competition
DFB Pokal
Highlights & clips
Rot-Weiss Essen
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
RB Leipzig
1
J. Golz
6.6
25
N. Bätzner
6.4
↑ 74'
15
B. Huning
6.6
23
J. Rios Alonso
6.2
19
F. Bouebari
5.7
16
R. Reisig
6.5
22
J. Sietan
7.2
37
J. Hofmann
6.0
32
L. Bazzoli
6.3
↑ 80'
43
F. Vasic
6.6
↑ 80'
26
E. Çelebi
6.2
↑ 65'
1
Ø. Nyland
5.9
14
C. Baumgartner
8.3
↑ 62'
4
W. Orbán
6.5
23
C. Lukeba
6.3
22
D. Raum
8.2
13
N. Seiwald
5.4
7
A. Nusa
7.5
↑ 62'
10
B. Gruda
7.6
↑ 46'
21
N. El Aynaoui
6.8
↑ 46'
27
T. Gomis
6.7
39
B. Henrichs
7.0
↑ 87'
Substitutes
35GF. Wienand
33GE. Verstappen
14DL. Brumme↓ 65'8.4
2DM. Kostka↓ 74'6.8
36DJ. Gnagnon
18MD. Abiama↓ 80'6.2
11FN. Pesch↓ 80'6.5
40FR. Malaeb
Coach: Uwe Koschinat
Substitutes
26GM. Vandevoordt
17DR. Baku↓ 62'7.6
35DM. Finkgräfe
2DA. Koné
20MR. Reitz↓ 46'6.8
30MA. Maksimović↓ 46'6.4
6ME. Banzuzi↓ 62'6.4
40FRômulo↓ 87'6.5
11FJ. Bakayoko
Coach: Martín Demichelis
Top stats
37%Possession63%
0.77Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.27
9Total shots11
1Shots on target2
1Big chances4
5Corners7
Shots
6Shots off target4
2Blocked shots5
6Shots inside box9
3Shots outside box2
1Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed2
Attack
19Touches in box25
66Final third entries69
2Offsides2
10Free kicks15
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
301Passes516
189Accurate passes396
37/88 (42%)Long balls31/80 (39%)
4/15 (27%)Crosses6/20 (30%)
26Throw-ins36
Duels
45Duels55
37/95 (39%)Ground duels58/95 (61%)
23/39 (59%)Aerial duels16/39 (41%)
2/19 (11%)Dribbles19/31 (61%)
9Dispossessed13
Defending
25Tackles26
68Tackles won54
9Interceptions7
26Clearances32
64Recoveries50
Discipline
15Fouls10
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Big saves0
8Goal kicks9
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Leipzig to win 81% · 1.40 @ William Hill
Who winsLeipzig to win (DNB) 86% · 1.08 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 3.5 goals 52% · 1.83 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 73% · 2.62 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.57 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.10 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 12% · 4.05 @ 1xBet
1X2RW Essen to win 7% · 9.25 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
12.00
Rot-Weiss Essen
7.70
Draw
1.15
RB Leipzig
Double Chanceconsensus
4.85
Rot-Weiss Essen or Draw
1.07
Rot-Weiss Essen or RB Leipzig
1.04
Draw or RB Leipzig
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes
2.00
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
29.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
23.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.05
Over 1.50
7.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.25
Over 2.50
3.60
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.73
Over 3.50
2.04
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.70
Over 4.50
1.44
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
8.50
Rot-Weiss Essen
1.05
RB Leipzig
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50
4.10
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.24
Over 8.50
3.02
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50
2.31
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.80
Over 10.50
1.94
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.27
Over 11.50
1.54
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
RB Leipzig to win or draw
✓
93% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
87% confidence
RB Leipzig to avoid defeat
✓
86% confidence
RB Leipzig win
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.