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1. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05
VfL Bochum 1848
VfL Bochum 1848
1. FSV Mainz 05
VfL Bochum 1848
1. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05
VfL Bochum 1848
1. FSV Mainz 05
Uwe Rösler
VfL Bochum 1848
1. FSV Mainz 05
VfL Bochum 1848
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2
1. FSV Mainz 05
Commentary
90'
Full-time. VfL Bochum 1848 2-0 1. FSV Mainz 05.
90+9'
Attempt saved. S. Becker (1. FSV Mainz 05), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
90+7'
1. FSV Mainz 05
Corner, 1. FSV Mainz 05.
90+5'
1. FSV Mainz 05
Corner, 1. FSV Mainz 05.
90+1'
Attempt missed. B. Hollerbach (1. FSV Mainz 05), header from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
90'
10 minutes of added time.
90'
1. FSV Mainz 05
Offside, 1. FSV Mainz 05.
75'
Goal! VfL Bochum 1848 2-0 1. FSV Mainz 05. P. Hofmann (VfL Bochum 1848) scores, assisted by J. Steuckers.
71'
Attempt missed. P. Nebel (1. FSV Mainz 05), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
64'
VfL Bochum 1848
Corner, VfL Bochum 1848.
58'
Attempt saved. C. Rasmussen (VfL Bochum 1848), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.19.
57'
VfL Bochum 1848
Corner, VfL Bochum 1848.
48'
Attempt saved. S. Widmer (1. FSV Mainz 05), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
46'
Goal! VfL Bochum 1848 1-0 1. FSV Mainz 05. C. Rasmussen (VfL Bochum 1848) scores, assisted by G. Holtmann.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. VfL Bochum 1848 0-0 1. FSV Mainz 05.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
43'
1. FSV Mainz 05
Corner, 1. FSV Mainz 05.
26'
VfL Bochum 1848
Corner, VfL Bochum 1848.
21'
1. FSV Mainz 05
Corner, 1. FSV Mainz 05.
18'
1. FSV Mainz 05
Corner, 1. FSV Mainz 05.
16'
VfL Bochum 1848
Corner, VfL Bochum 1848.
10'
1. FSV Mainz 05
Corner, 1. FSV Mainz 05.
1'
Kick-off: VfL Bochum 1848 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
241349 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
51.7%
-47.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
32.5%
+32.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.8%
+15.7 vs price
Half time
15 EUR
Home
5.3 · implied 18.9%
95.1%
+76.3 vs price
Draw
2.68 · implied 37.3%
64.4%
+27.1 vs price
Away
2.16 · implied 46.3%
15.6%
-30.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
100048 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
77.3%
-20.7 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
22.8%
+19.0 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
⚽
C. Rasmussen · assist G. Holtmann1–0
63'
🔁
R. Y. Königsdörffer ◂ P. Tietz
63'
🔁
A. Caci ◂ S. Widmer
63'
🔁
P. Hofmann ◂ C. Rasmussen
63'
🔁
E. Martel ◂ J. Lee
63'
🔁
K. Miyoshi ◂ B. Taz
64'
R. Y. Königsdörffer · Foul
66'
T. Meyer · Foul
71'
🔁
M. Ouro-Tagba ◂ G. Holtmann
75'
⚽
P. Hofmann · assist J. Steuckers2–0
81'
🔁
L. Isbruch ◂ J. Steuckers
81'
🔁
L. Sawas ◂ M. Wittek
84'
🔁
S. Kawasaki ◂ D. Costa
84'
🔁
B. Hollerbach ◂ P. Nebel
Full-time · 2–0
90'+6
L. Isbruch · Off the ball foul
90'+7
S. Klaiber · Argument
Coaches
Uwe RöslerUrs Fischer 
Recent form
VfL Bochum 1848DHVfL Wolfsburg1-1
LA1. FC Kaiserslautern0-2
LHArminia Bielefeld0-1
WHVfL Osnabrück4-1
LAHannover 961-2
1. FSV Mainz 05LHSV Werder Bremen2-3
WAFC Schalke 041-0
LHBayer 04 Leverkusen3-4
WASV Waldhof Mannheim3-0
WABorussia M'gladbach4-3
About this match
**Mainz roll in as heavy favorites, but Bochum's at home and cup football doesn't care about league form.** 🔥
Bochum are struggling in the league (1W in five) but the Pokal gives underdogs a chance to make noise. Mainz, meanwhile, are flying with three wins from five — though they just lost 3-4 to Leverkusen, so consistency isn't their thing either.
Key storylines:
- **Mainz's firepower** (Tietz, Becker, Sano) will test a **Bochum backline** missing key defensive depth with Drakas and Olsen out
- **Bochum's home advantage** in a knockout tie could rattle a Mainz squad that's been leaky at the back lately
- Cup mentality: Bochum have nothing to lose; Mainz are favorites and that pressure cuts both ways
Expected lineups:
- **VfL Bochum**: Horn, Wittek, Steinwender, Mets, Klaiber, Meyer, Pannewig, Holtmann, Taz, Miyoshi, Hofmann
- **1. FSV Mainz 05**: Zentner, Potulski, Posch, Gruber, Costa, Mwene, Amiri, Caci, Sano, Tietz, Becker
Prediction:
**Mainz 2-1 Bochum.** Mainz have the quality and form, but this feels tight — Bochum will scrap hard at home. Slight edge to the visitors.
Where to watch
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Arena Sport 2 SRB
Match facts
Stadium
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
City
Bochum
Kickoff
27 Oct, 17:00 UTC
Competition
DFB Pokal
Highlights & clips
VfL Bochum 1848
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2
1. FSV Mainz 05
1
T. Horn
8.3
2
S. Klaiber
7.5
15
M. Steinwender
7.4
5
K. Mets
7.2
31
L. Sawas
6.6
↑ 81'
24
M. Pannewig
7.7
34
T. Meyer
6.5
39
L. Isbruch
6.5
↑ 81'
23
K. Miyoshi
6.6
↑ 63'
29
M. Ouro-Tagba
6.8
↑ 71'
33
P. Hofmann
7.2
↑ 63'
1
A. Schwolow
6.9
24
S. Kawasaki
6.6
↑ 84'
4
S. Posch
7.9
48
K. Potulski
6.5
5
E. Martel
6.2
↑ 63'
17
B. Hollerbach
6.2
↑ 84'
6
K. Sano
7.0
19
A. Caci
7.0
↑ 63'
2
P. Mwene
6.2
23
S. Becker
6.5
11
R. Y. Königsdörffer
6.6
↑ 63'
Substitutes
16GT. Casali
32DM. Wittek↓ 81'7.1
4DY. Karademir
14MJ. Steuckers↓ 81'7.3
10MB. Taz↓ 63'6.6
17MG. Holtmann↓ 71'6.4
28MC. Patino
7FC. Rasmussen↓ 63'7.8
19FD. Hanslik
Coach: Uwe Rösler
Substitutes
27GR. Zentner
21DD. Costa↓ 84'6.3
47DR. Nakuzola
3DF. Gruber
8MP. Nebel↓ 84'6.8
30MS. Widmer↓ 63'6.7
7MJ. Lee↓ 63'6.5
15ML. Maloney
9FP. Tietz↓ 63'6.5
Coach: Urs Fischer
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.25Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.59
8Total shots9
3Shots on target5
1Big chances1
5Corners6
Shots
5Shots off target3
0Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box5
1Shots outside box4
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
Attack
12Touches in box25
65Final third entries79
0Offsides1
5Free kicks13
0Fouled in final third6
Passing
443Passes467
345Accurate passes370
38/78 (49%)Long balls31/70 (44%)
1/15 (7%)Crosses10/29 (34%)
17Throw-ins23
Duels
47Duels53
25/56 (45%)Ground duels31/56 (55%)
21/42 (50%)Aerial duels21/42 (50%)
5/12 (42%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
15Tackles16
80Tackles won56
2Interceptions13
44Clearances23
49Recoveries53
Discipline
13Fouls5
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
1Big saves0
13Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsMainz 05 to win (DNB) 89% · 1.27 @ Unibet
1X2Mainz 05 to win 56% · 1.95 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 3.50 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.80 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 23% · 2.88 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
1X2Bochum to win 21% · 4.78 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.00
VfL Bochum 1848
4.15
Draw
1.59
1. FSV Mainz 05
Double Chanceconsensus
2.23
VfL Bochum 1848 or Draw
1.19
VfL Bochum 1848 or 1. FSV Mainz 05
1.15
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
10.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
17.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.53
Over 2.50
2.40
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.28
Over 3.50
1.54
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.00
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.75
VfL Bochum 1848
1.23
1. FSV Mainz 05
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
2.95
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.52
Over 8.50
2.34
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.89
Over 9.50
1.87
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.33
Over 10.50
1.52
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.26
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
1. FSV Mainz 05 to avoid defeat
✗
89% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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