Holstein Kiel 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim: Stats & xG – Oct 28, 2026

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DFB Pokal ·Wed 28 Oct

Holstein Kiel

1–1

HT 1–1

After penalties

TSG Hoffenheim

Holstein-Stadion, Kiel · Ref: Bastian Dankert

Commentary

120'

End of extra time. Holstein Kiel 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim.

120'

0 minutes of added time.

120'

P. Harres

Attempt missed. P. Harres (Holstein Kiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

119'

F. Asllani

Attempt missed. F. Asllani (TSG Hoffenheim), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

117'

G. Kvilitaia

Yellow card for G. Kvilitaia (Holstein Kiel) for argument.

117'

A. Daghim

Attempt blocked. A. Daghim (TSG Hoffenheim), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

115'

A. Kaprálik

Substitution, Holstein Kiel: F. Alidou comes on for A. Kaprálik.

111'

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

111'

A. Kramarić

Attempt saved. A. Kramarić (TSG Hoffenheim), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

109'

P. Harres

Attempt saved. P. Harres (Holstein Kiel), header. xG 0.09.

106'

A. Kaprálik

Yellow card for A. Kaprálik (Holstein Kiel) for foul.

105+2'

K. Machida

Yellow card for K. Machida (TSG Hoffenheim) for foul.

105'

1 minute of added time.

104'

G. Kvilitaia

Attempt missed. G. Kvilitaia (Holstein Kiel), header. xG 0.11.

103'

L. Parduzi

Substitution, Holstein Kiel: J. Tolkin comes on for L. Parduzi.

100'

Bernardo

Attempt missed. Bernardo (TSG Hoffenheim), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

97'

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

97'

A. Daghim

Attempt blocked. A. Daghim (TSG Hoffenheim), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

95'

B. Conté

Substitution, TSG Hoffenheim: M. Rots comes on for B. Conté.

93'

P. Harres

Attempt saved. P. Harres (Holstein Kiel), header. xG 0.07.

91'

Holstein Kiel

Corner, Holstein Kiel.

91'

Extra time begins.

90'

Full-time. Holstein Kiel 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim.

90'

0 minutes of added time.

90'

J. Therkelsen

Substitution, Holstein Kiel: G. d. Regt comes on for J. Therkelsen.

90'

K. Davidsen

Substitution, Holstein Kiel: G. Kvilitaia comes on for K. Davidsen.

88'

P. Harres

Attempt missed. P. Harres (Holstein Kiel), header. xG 0.04.

85'

Holstein Kiel

Corner, Holstein Kiel.

85'

I. Nekić

Attempt missed. I. Nekić (Holstein Kiel), header. xG 0.08.

83'

P. Harres

Attempt missed. P. Harres (Holstein Kiel), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

81'

K. Davidsen

Attempt saved. K. Davidsen (Holstein Kiel), header. xG 0.30.

80'

Holstein Kiel

Corner, Holstein Kiel.

80'

Holstein Kiel

Corner, Holstein Kiel.

79'

TSG Hoffenheim

Offside, TSG Hoffenheim.

78'

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

76'

O. Baumann

Yellow card for O. Baumann (TSG Hoffenheim) for argument.

74'

T. Walter

Yellow card for T. Walter (Holstein Kiel) for argument.

73'

G. Balzi

Attempt missed. G. Balzi (Holstein Kiel), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

70'

R. Hranáč

Attempt missed. R. Hranáč (TSG Hoffenheim), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

68'

L. Avdullahu

Yellow card for L. Avdullahu (TSG Hoffenheim) for foul.

66'

Holstein Kiel

Corner, Holstein Kiel.

66'

I. Nekić

Attempt missed. I. Nekić (Holstein Kiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

66'

Holstein Kiel

Corner, Holstein Kiel.

65'

I. Ugoh

Substitution, Holstein Kiel: G. Balzi comes on for I. Ugoh.

64'

A. Hložek

Substitution, TSG Hoffenheim: B. Conté comes on for A. Hložek.

60'

TSG Hoffenheim

Offside, TSG Hoffenheim.

59'

A. Kramarić

Attempt missed. A. Kramarić (TSG Hoffenheim), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

58'

I. Ugoh

Attempt missed. I. Ugoh (Holstein Kiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

56'

K. Machida

Off the woodwork! K. Machida (TSG Hoffenheim), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

55'

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

54'

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

51'

TSG Hoffenheim

Offside, TSG Hoffenheim.

50'

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

50'

F. Asllani

Attempt saved. F. Asllani (TSG Hoffenheim), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

46'

W. Burger

Substitution, TSG Hoffenheim: A. Daghim comes on for W. Burger.

46'

T. Lemperle

Substitution, TSG Hoffenheim: F. Asllani comes on for T. Lemperle.

46'

TSG Hoffenheim

Offside, TSG Hoffenheim.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Holstein Kiel 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim.

45+8'

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

45+7'

W. Burger

Yellow card for W. Burger (TSG Hoffenheim) for foul.

45+3'

R. Hranáč

Attempt missed. R. Hranáč (TSG Hoffenheim), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.

45+1'

P. Harres

Attempt saved. P. Harres (Holstein Kiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45'

8 minutes of added time.

42'

I. Nekić

Yellow card for I. Nekić (Holstein Kiel) for foul.

41'

A. Hložek

Yellow card for A. Hložek (TSG Hoffenheim) for foul.

35'

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

33'

V. Gendrey

Substitution, TSG Hoffenheim: V. Coufal comes on for V. Gendrey.

27'

P. Harres

Attempt missed. P. Harres (Holstein Kiel), header. xG 0.04.

23'

A. Kaprálik

Goal! Holstein Kiel 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim. A. Kaprálik (Holstein Kiel) scores, assisted by H. Sekine.

23'

TSG Hoffenheim

Offside, TSG Hoffenheim.

22'

T. Lemperle

VAR check complete: the goal for TSG Hoffenheim stands.

13'

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

11'

A. Hložek

Goal! Holstein Kiel 0-1 TSG Hoffenheim. A. Hložek (TSG Hoffenheim) scores.

A. Hložek

Attempt saved. A. Hložek (TSG Hoffenheim), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

L. Parduzi

Attempt missed. L. Parduzi (Holstein Kiel), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

A. Kaprálik

Attempt missed. A. Kaprálik (Holstein Kiel), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

TSG Hoffenheim

Corner, TSG Hoffenheim.

A. Prass

Attempt missed. A. Prass (TSG Hoffenheim), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

Kick-off: Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim.

Where the money is

273633 EUR matched · captured 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 191134 EUR · live

Away 210.0 · implied 0.5%

68.5%

+68.0 vs price

Draw 1.02 · implied 98.0%

25.8%

-72.2 vs price

Home 200.0 · implied 0.5%

5.7%

+5.2 vs price

Half time 9 EUR

Away 2.04 · implied 49.0%

79.6%

+30.5 vs price

Home 5.5 · implied 18.2%

40.6%

+22.4 vs price

Draw 3.05 · implied 32.8%

13.3%

-19.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 43308 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

75.4%

-23.6 vs price

Over 26.0 · implied 3.8%

24.7%

+20.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 126 EUR

Over 4.6 · implied 21.7%

63.0%

+41.2 vs price

Under 1.27 · implied 78.7%

37.0%

-41.7 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Player of the match

Match events

11' ⚽ A. Hložek0–1

22' VAR Goal not given after review · T. Lemperle

23' ⚽ A. Kaprálik · assist H. Sekine1–1

33' 🔁 V. Coufal ◂ V. Gendrey

41' A. Hložek · Foul

42' I. Nekić · Foul

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺⁷ W. Burger · Foul

46' 🔁 F. Asllani ◂ T. Lemperle

46' 🔁 A. Daghim ◂ W. Burger

64' 🔁 B. Conté ◂ A. Hložek

65' 🔁 G. Balzi ◂ I. Ugoh

68' L. Avdullahu · Foul

74' T. Walter · Argument

76' O. Baumann · Argument

Full-time · 1–1

90' 🔁 G. Kvilitaia ◂ K. Davidsen

90' 🔁 G. d. Regt ◂ J. Therkelsen

95' 🔁 M. Rots ◂ B. Conté

103' 🔁 J. Tolkin ◂ L. Parduzi

105'⁺² K. Machida · Foul

106' A. Kaprálik · Foul

115' 🔁 F. Alidou ◂ A. Kaprálik

117' G. Kvilitaia · Argument

ET · 1–1

PEN · 4–3

Coaches

Tim Walter

Christian Ilzer

Recent form

Holstein Kiel

WHSG Dynamo Dresden3-0

DHHertha BSC0-0

LAEintracht Braunschweig0-1

WHViborg FF3-1

DHVfL Osnabrück1-1

TSG Hoffenheim

WHBayer 04 Leverkusen3-0

WHOlympique Lyonnais3-0

WABorussia M'gladbach2-1

LHBeşiktaş JK2-3

LHHamburger SV2-3

About this match

**Hoffenheim rolls into Kiel as Cup favourites — but Holstein are peaking at exactly the right time.** 🔥 The visitors have demolished everyone in their path lately (6 goals in their last two), while the hosts sit on a tidy 2-2-1 run and just spanked Dynamo Dresden 3-0 at home.

Hoffenheim's away form is pristine, and they've won every single meeting between these two. But Kiel's got momentum and a packed stadium behind them — plus Hoffenheim are nursing three injuries to key players.

Key storylines:

- **Hoffenheim's attack** (Conté, Daghim, Lemperle) has been clinical in recent weeks, but **Holstein's home record** is genuinely scary right now.
- **Kiel's midfield engine** with **Meffert** and **Balzi** will need to boss the middle to frustrate the visitors.
- **Hoffenheim's injury list** (Hajdari, N. D. Cat, Wimmer out) could blunt their usual attacking width.

Expected lineups:

- **Holstein Kiel**: T. Weiner, H. Sekine, D. Zec, L. Parduzi, J. Meffert, G. Balzi, K. Davidsen, A. Kaprálik, P. Harres
- **TSG Hoffenheim**: O. Baumann, V. Coufal, O. Kabak, B. Conté, A. Daghim, T. Lemperle

Prediction:

**Holstein 1-2 Hoffenheim.** Kiel will make it tight and grab a goal, but Hoffenheim's firepower edges it on the road. 📍

Where to watch

Sky Go

Match facts

Stadium

Holstein-Stadion

City

Kiel

Referee

Bastian Dankert

3.16 yellows/match · 25 matches

Kickoff

28 Oct, 19:45 UTC

Competition

DFB Pokal

Top stats

44%Possession56%

1.42Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.91

16Total shots13

5Shots on target4

4Big chances2

6Corners10

Shots

11Shots off target7

0Blocked shots2

12Shots inside box6

4Shots outside box7

0Hit woodwork1

4Big chances missed2

Attack

21Touches in box28

96Final third entries73

0Offsides5

17Free kicks19

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

484Passes615

353Accurate passes469

42/92 (46%)Long balls42/97 (43%)

8/27 (30%)Crosses4/24 (17%)

32Throw-ins38

Duels

55Duels45

43/86 (50%)Ground duels43/86 (50%)

26/39 (67%)Aerial duels13/39 (33%)

6/12 (50%)Dribbles8/17 (47%)

12Dispossessed12

Defending

21Tackles18

67Tackles won78

22Interceptions12

29Clearances36

56Recoveries60

Discipline

19Fouls17

3Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

3Big saves0

16Goal kicks17

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Kiel 17%

19%

Hoffenheim 64%

Who winsHoffenheim to win (DNB) 85% · 1.23 @ Betano

1X2Hoffenheim to win 64% · 1.75 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 3.5 goals 53% · 1.87 @ betfair

CornersOver 10.5 corners 55% · 1.89 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 72% · 2.75 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 65% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 75% · 1.24 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 65% · 2.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.55 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 19% · 3.28 @ 1xBet

1X2Kiel to win 17% · 5.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

5.50

Holstein Kiel

4.70

Draw

1.44

TSG Hoffenheim

Double Chanceconsensus

2.63

Holstein Kiel or Draw

1.13

Holstein Kiel or TSG Hoffenheim

1.11

Draw or TSG Hoffenheim

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.44

Yes

2.50

Home Win to Nilconsensus

13.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

22.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.07

Over 1.50

7.05

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.30

Over 2.50

3.30

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.84

Over 3.50

1.93

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.88

Over 4.50

1.38

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

4.17

Holstein Kiel

1.20

TSG Hoffenheim

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.12

Over 7.50

4.09

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.24

Over 8.50

3.02

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.49

Over 9.50

2.39

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.85

Over 10.50

1.92

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.23

Over 11.50

1.56

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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