Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**David vs Goliath in the DFB Pokal, except the "Goliath" just drew Bayern and is currently mid-slump.** This is the classic cup tie where a Regional League underdog gets a shot at a Bundesliga side — except Augsburg's form is dodgy enough to actually make it interesting. 🍿
Großaspach sit in that Goldilocks zone of draws and consistency (1W 3D 1L), while Augsburg have won nothing in five and just shipped three goals to a second-tier side. Neither team is firing on all cylinders, but experience and talent should still tell.
Key storylines:
- **Augsburg's injury list** (Claude-Maurice, Sakar, Banks sidelined) leaves their attack stretched thin at a moment they need punch most
- **Großaspach's resilience at home** — they've drawn two of their last three at the WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, so they won't roll over
- **Ribeiro and Gregoritsch** up front for Augsburg have to deliver; this is a make-or-break chance to find form
Expected lineups:
- **SG Sonnenhof Großaspach**: M. Reule, L. D. Molinari, A. Nuraj, A. Aidonis, J. Rahn, T. Rossmann, M. Kunde, C. Mistl, L. Maier, F. Eisele, N. Pollex
- **FC Augsburg**: F. Dahmen, C. Matsima, H. Behrens, C. Brackelmann, A. J. Bah, F. Rieder, H. Massengo, R. Fellhauer, M. Gregoritsch, R. Ribeiro, U. Ogundu
Prediction:
**Augsburg 2-1 Großaspach** — Bundesliga class edges it, but this won't be pretty.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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