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Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus
FC St. Pauli
Energie Cottbus
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Claus-Dieter Wollitz
Energie Cottbus
FC St. Pauli
Energie Cottbus
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-3-2
FC St. Pauli
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
90'
Energie Cottbus
Corner, Energie Cottbus.
85'
Energie Cottbus
Corner, Energie Cottbus.
82'
Energie Cottbus
Corner, Energie Cottbus.
80'
Goal! Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli. M. Kaars (FC St. Pauli) scores, assisted by R. Jones.
77'
Attempt missed. C. Metcalfe (FC St. Pauli), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
77'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
71'
FC St. Pauli
Offside, FC St. Pauli.
65'
Energie Cottbus
Corner, Energie Cottbus.
56'
Energie Cottbus
Corner, Energie Cottbus.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Energie Cottbus 1-0 FC St. Pauli.
45+1'
Energie Cottbus
Corner, Energie Cottbus.
45'
1 minute of added time.
45'
Attempt blocked. T. Ciğerci (Energie Cottbus), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.
44'
Energie Cottbus
Corner, Energie Cottbus.
39'
Energie Cottbus
Corner, Energie Cottbus.
37'
Goal! Energie Cottbus 1-0 FC St. Pauli. J. Butler (Energie Cottbus) scores, assisted by M. Hannemann.
24'
FC St. Pauli
Offside, FC St. Pauli.
22'
Attempt blocked. T. Ciğerci (Energie Cottbus), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.14.
19'
Attempt blocked. H. Rorig (Energie Cottbus), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.12.
16'
Energie Cottbus
Corner, Energie Cottbus.
14'
Attempt missed. C. Metcalfe (FC St. Pauli), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
13'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
12'
FC St. Pauli
Offside, FC St. Pauli.
11'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
3'
FC St. Pauli
Offside, FC St. Pauli.
1'
Kick-off: Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
373581 EUR · live
Home
16.5 · implied 6.1%
57.0%
+50.9 vs price
Away
32.0 · implied 3.1%
25.0%
+21.9 vs price
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
18.0%
-73.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
81351 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
71.4%
-26.7 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
28.7%
+26.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
257 EUR
Under
1.25 · implied 80.0%
77.0%
-3.0 vs price
Over
5.0 · implied 20.0%
22.6%
+2.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
17'
T. Ando · Foul
21'
T. Ando · Foul
29'
🔁
L. Ritzka ◂ Y. Niang
37'
⚽
J. Butler · assist M. Hannemann1–0
Half-time · 1–0
57'
🔁
M. Kaars ◂ A. Ceesay
57'
A. Borgmann · Foul
60'
A. Pyrka · Foul
62'
🔁
C. Kinsombi ◂ L. Copado
62'
🔁
D. Pelivan ◂ L. Bittencourt
74'
🔁
T. Hara ◂ J. C. Fujita
75'
🔁
R. Jones ◂ M. Rasmussen
77'
D. Nemeth · Argument
77'
M. Lotka · Argument
79'
🔁
F. Doumbia ◂ L. Michelbrink
79'
🔁
D. Bogdanov ◂ T. Ciğerci
80'
⚽
M. Kaars · assist R. Jones1–1
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Claus-Dieter WollitzMarcel Rapp 
Recent form
Energie CottbusWAKarlsruher SC3-0
DAVfL Wolfsburg4-4
LHSpVgg Greuther Fürth3-4
LHFC Augsburg0-2
LAArminia Bielefeld0-3
FC St. PauliWHVfL Wolfsburg1-0
DAArminia Bielefeld2-2
LH1. FC Kaiserslautern1-2
LARot-Weiss Essen0-2
DAHolstein Kiel2-2
About this match
**Cottbus and St. Pauli are both stumbling through the early season** — neither can string together wins, but one's about to get a reality check at home. 🔥
Cottbus just schooled Karlsruhe 3-0 but then imploded with back-to-back defeats. St. Pauli are leaning defensive, grinding out draws, yet keep losing the matches that matter. This is the kind of fixture where recent form counts less than who shows up mentally first.
Key storylines:
- **Cottbus's attack vs St. Pauli's shape** — L. Bittencourt and L. Copado need to punish a St. Pauli back-line that's prone to sloppiness
- **St. Pauli's counter threat** — B. Hrgota and T. Hara have pace; if Cottbus overcommits, it could be dangerous
- **Home pressure on M. Lotka** — Cottbus haven't found consistency in goal; St. Pauli will test the goalkeeper early
Expected lineups:
- **Energie Cottbus**: M. Lotka, A. Borgmann, K. S. Manu, L. Erlein, L. Bittencourt, L. Copado, J. Guttau, D. Bogdanov
- **FC St. Pauli**: B. Voll, L. Oppie, D. Nemeth, A. Pyrka, B. Hrgota, T. Hara, S. Banks, M. Mathisen
Prediction:
**Cottbus 2–1 St. Pauli**
Home advantage tips the scale; Cottbus should capitalize on a sluggish visitor. Slight edge to the hosts. ⚫
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Match facts
Stadium
Stadion der Freundschaft
City
Cottbus
Kickoff
20 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Competition
2. Bundesliga
Energie Cottbus
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-3-2
FC St. Pauli
1
M. Lotka
6.5
3
H. Rorig
6.7
2
K. S. Manu
8.0
21
L. Erlein
7.0
20
A. Borgmann
7.1
7
C. Kinsombi
6.5
↑ 62'
23
F. Doumbia
6.5
↑ 79'
13
D. Bogdanov
6.6
↑ 79'
5
D. Pelivan
6.6
↑ 62'
11
M. Hannemann
6.5
31
J. Butler
7.3
1
B. Voll
7.4
11
A. Pyrka
6.3
4
D. Nemeth
6.9
15
T. Ando
3.2
23
L. Oppie
6.6
8
E. Smith
7.0
21
L. Ritzka
6.9
↑ 29'
26
R. Jones
7.2
↑ 75'
18
T. Hara
6.7
↑ 74'
19
M. Kaars
7.2
↑ 57'
24
C. Metcalfe
7.2
Substitutes
29GK. Kratzsch
4DT. Campulka
16DR. Malone
10MT. Ciğerci↓ 79'7.3
8ML. Michelbrink↓ 79'6.9
32ML. Bittencourt↓ 62'6.5
19MJ. Boziaris
6MJ. Hofmann
9FL. Copado↓ 62'6.8
Coach: Claus-Dieter Wollitz
Substitutes
33GD. Mitov
6DM. Mathisen
25DA. Dźwigała
16MJ. C. Fujita↓ 74'7.1
20MM. Rasmussen↓ 75'6.9
14ME. Ahlstrand
22MS. Klein
7FY. Niang↓ 29'6.5
9FA. Ceesay↓ 57'6.3
Coach: Marcel Rapp
Top stats
69%Possession31%
1.12Expected goals (xG)0.77
14Total shots7
5Shots on target2
1Big chances1
9Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target3
6Blocked shots2
5Shots inside box2
9Shots outside box5
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
0.02Goals prevented0.29
Attack
30Touches in box9
77Final third entries44
3Offsides4
7Free kicks13
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
635Passes279
560Accurate passes210
17/37 (46%)Long balls20/56 (36%)
4/19 (21%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
24Throw-ins18
Duels
45Duels55
27/64 (42%)Ground duels37/64 (58%)
6/9 (67%)Aerial duels3/9 (33%)
9/19 (47%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
11Tackles19
73Tackles won84
10Interceptions7
11Clearances33
45Recoveries41
Discipline
13Fouls7
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
8Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 62% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 73% · 1.27 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 2.88 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 67% · 2.37 @ Bet365
1X2St. Pauli to win 45% · 2.38 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.60 @ William Hill
Who winsCottbus to win (DNB) 66% · 2.38 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 25% · 2.88 @ 1xBet
1X2Cottbus to win 31% · 3.16 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.00
Energie Cottbus
3.83
Draw
2.10
FC St. Pauli
Double Chanceconsensus
1.70
Energie Cottbus or Draw
1.24
Energie Cottbus or FC St. Pauli
1.35
Draw or FC St. Pauli
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.38
Yes
2.85
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
20.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.09
Over 1.50
6.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.40
Over 2.50
2.87
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.06
Over 3.50
1.74
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.33
Over 4.50
1.30
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.25
Energie Cottbus
1.57
FC St. Pauli
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50
4.80
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.27
Over 8.50
3.30
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.48
Over 9.50
2.46
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.83
Over 10.50
1.92
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.23
Over 11.50
1.59
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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