VfL Osnabrück 1-1 SG Dynamo Dresden: Stats & xG

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2. Bundesliga ·Sat 10 Oct

VfL Osnabrück

1–1

HT 0–1

Full time

SG Dynamo Dresden

Bremer Brücke, Osnabruck · Ref: Florian Exner

Commentary

90'

Full-time. VfL Osnabrück 1-1 SG Dynamo Dresden.

90+2'

R. Wagner

Attempt blocked. R. Wagner (SG Dynamo Dresden), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+1'

L. Flach

Yellow card for L. Flach (VfL Osnabrück) for foul.

90+1'

A. Beck

Yellow card for A. Beck (VfL Osnabrück) for argument.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

VfL Osnabrück

Offside, VfL Osnabrück.

89'

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

88'

J. Lemmer

Attempt blocked. J. Lemmer (SG Dynamo Dresden), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

87'

N. Wiemann

Attempt missed. N. Wiemann (VfL Osnabrück), header from a corner. xG 0.26.

87'

P. Čović

Substitution, SG Dynamo Dresden: K. Okpala comes on for P. Čović.

87'

B. Bobzien

Substitution, SG Dynamo Dresden: A. Muhamedbegović comes on for B. Bobzien.

87'

S. Straudi

Substitution, SG Dynamo Dresden: A. Rossipal comes on for S. Straudi.

87'

R. Fabinski

Goal! VfL Osnabrück 1-1 SG Dynamo Dresden. R. Fabinski (VfL Osnabrück) scores, assisted by N. Wiemann.

86'

VfL Osnabrück

Corner, VfL Osnabrück.

85'

I. Badjie

Attempt saved. I. Badjie (VfL Osnabrück), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

84'

K. Faber

Yellow card for K. Faber (VfL Osnabrück) for argument.

83'

K. Faber

Attempt blocked. K. Faber (VfL Osnabrück), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

83'

R. Meißner

Attempt blocked. R. Meißner (VfL Osnabrück), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

82'

N. Hauptmann

Substitution, SG Dynamo Dresden: J. Lemmer comes on for N. Hauptmann.

82'

B. Jacobsen

Substitution, VfL Osnabrück: L. Raimund comes on for B. Jacobsen.

82'

S. Straudi

Yellow card for S. Straudi (SG Dynamo Dresden) for foul.

81'

N. Wiemann

Attempt blocked. N. Wiemann (VfL Osnabrück), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

81'

P. Čović

Yellow card for P. Čović (SG Dynamo Dresden) for foul.

75'

R. Fabinski

Yellow card for R. Fabinski (VfL Osnabrück) for foul.

73'

VfL Osnabrück

Corner, VfL Osnabrück.

72'

J. Sterner

Yellow card for J. Sterner (SG Dynamo Dresden) for foul.

69'

V. Vermeij

Substitution, SG Dynamo Dresden: C. Daferner comes on for V. Vermeij.

68'

N. Rapp

Yellow card for N. Rapp (SG Dynamo Dresden) for time wasting.

67'

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

61'

P. Kammerbauer

Substitution, VfL Osnabrück: K. Faber comes on for P. Kammerbauer.

61'

J. Gómez

Substitution, VfL Osnabrück: I. Badjie comes on for J. Gómez.

61'

B. Riesselmann

Substitution, VfL Osnabrück: D. Kyereh comes on for B. Riesselmann.

60'

T. Raschl

Attempt blocked. T. Raschl (SG Dynamo Dresden), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

59'

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

59'

B. Bobzien

Attempt blocked. B. Bobzien (SG Dynamo Dresden), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

58'

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

56'

P. Kammerbauer

Attempt saved. P. Kammerbauer (VfL Osnabrück), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

55'

N. Hauptmann

Attempt missed. N. Hauptmann (SG Dynamo Dresden), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

51'

VfL Osnabrück

Offside, VfL Osnabrück.

49'

R. Wagner

Attempt missed. R. Wagner (SG Dynamo Dresden), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

46'

F. Wagner

Substitution, VfL Osnabrück: L. Flach comes on for F. Wagner.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. VfL Osnabrück 0-1 SG Dynamo Dresden.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

R. Meißner

Yellow card for R. Meißner (VfL Osnabrück) for foul.

43'

R. Meißner

Attempt missed. R. Meißner (VfL Osnabrück), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

42'

A. Beck

Attempt saved. A. Beck (VfL Osnabrück), right-footed shot. xG 0.36.

38'

N. Hauptmann

Goal! VfL Osnabrück 0-1 SG Dynamo Dresden. N. Hauptmann (SG Dynamo Dresden) scores, assisted by J. Sterner.

36'

B. Riesselmann

Attempt saved. B. Riesselmann (VfL Osnabrück), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

28'

VfL Osnabrück

Corner, VfL Osnabrück.

28'

A. Beck

Attempt blocked. A. Beck (VfL Osnabrück), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

27'

P. Čović

Attempt saved. P. Čović (SG Dynamo Dresden), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

26'

SG Dynamo Dresden

Offside, SG Dynamo Dresden.

20'

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

17'

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

16'

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

12'

J. Sterner

Attempt missed. J. Sterner (SG Dynamo Dresden), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

B. Jacobsen

Attempt missed. B. Jacobsen (VfL Osnabrück), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

VfL Osnabrück

Corner, VfL Osnabrück.

R. Meißner

Attempt blocked. R. Meißner (VfL Osnabrück), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

SG Dynamo Dresden

Corner, SG Dynamo Dresden.

Kick-off: VfL Osnabrück vs SG Dynamo Dresden.

Where the money is

287869 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 106067 EUR · live

Away 16.5 · implied 6.1%

56.6%

+50.6 vs price

Home 110.0 · implied 0.9%

22.2%

+21.3 vs price

Draw 1.03 · implied 97.1%

21.1%

-75.9 vs price

Half time 606 EUR · live

Draw 1.97 · implied 50.8%

42.2%

-8.5 vs price

Away 3.95 · implied 25.3%

37.4%

+12.1 vs price

Home 5.1 · implied 19.6%

20.1%

+0.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 64429 EUR · live

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

61.1%

-32.4 vs price

Over 13.5 · implied 7.4%

38.9%

+31.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 7507 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

97.1%

-1.0 vs price

Over 42.0 · implied 2.4%

2.9%

+0.5 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Player of the match

Match events

38' ⚽ N. Hauptmann · assist J. Sterner0–1

Half-time · 0–1

45' R. Meißner · Foul

46' 🔁 L. Flach ◂ F. Wagner

61' 🔁 D. Kyereh ◂ B. Riesselmann

61' 🔁 I. Badjie ◂ J. Gómez

61' 🔁 K. Faber ◂ P. Kammerbauer

68' N. Rapp · Time wasting

69' 🔁 C. Daferner ◂ V. Vermeij

72' J. Sterner · Foul

75' R. Fabinski · Foul

81' P. Čović · Foul

82' 🔁 L. Raimund ◂ B. Jacobsen

82' 🔁 J. Lemmer ◂ N. Hauptmann

82' S. Straudi · Foul

84' K. Faber · Argument

87' 🔁 A. Rossipal ◂ S. Straudi

87' 🔁 A. Muhamedbegović ◂ B. Bobzien

87' 🔁 K. Okpala ◂ P. Čović

87' ⚽ R. Fabinski · assist N. Wiemann1–1

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺¹ A. Beck · Argument

90'⁺¹ L. Flach · Foul

Coaches

Timo Schultz

Thomas Stamm

Recent form

VfL Osnabrück

LHDjurgårdens IF0-1

LAVfL Bochum 18481-4

WASC Wiedenbrück3-0

DAHolstein Kiel1-1

LHHertha BSC1-3

SG Dynamo Dresden

LAFK Teplice0-2

LHHertha BSC1-2

DAEintracht Braunschweig2-2

LHVfL Bochum 18481-2

LA1. FC Heidenheim3-5

About this match

**Osnabrück's looking for a spark, and Dresden's in freefall** — this is a clash between two teams desperately needing a win to stop the bleeding. 🔴

Osnabrück have at least got a heartbeat with 1W in their last five, including that **3-0 demolition of Wiedenbrück**. Dresden, meanwhile, are winless in the same stretch and **lost to FK Teplice and Hertha BSC** — they're leaking goals like a sieve.

Key storylines:

- **I. Badjie and R. Meißner** form a tricky attacking duo for Osnabrück; if they click, Dresden's backline has serious problems
- **T. Schreiber** and Co. will be under siege all afternoon — the loss of K. Schmidt to cruciate ligament injury has left Dresden thin at the back
- This is a **six-pointer mentality clash** for two teams fighting to climb off the bottom half

Expected lineups:

- **VfL Osnabrück**: J. Krumrey, J. Gómez, R. Fabinski, N. Wiemann, B. Jacobsen, F. Wagner, I. Badjie
- **SG Dynamo Dresden**: T. Schreiber, A. Rossipal, T. Keller, A. Muhamedbegović, N. Rapp, B. Bobzien, J. Lemmer, V. Vermeij

Prediction:

**Osnabrück 2–1 Dresden**. Osnabrück have the momentum and home advantage; Dresden are fragile right now. 🎯

Where to watch

Sky Go

Match facts

Stadium

Bremer Brücke

City

Osnabruck

Referee

Florian Exner

4.32 yellows/match · 31 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 11:00 UTC

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Top stats

44%Possession56%

1.45Expected goals (xG)0.61

13Total shots9

5Shots on target2

3Big chances1

4Corners10

Shots

3Shots off target3

5Blocked shots4

10Shots inside box4

3Shots outside box5

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed0

-0.1Goals prevented0.73

Attack

25Touches in box22

67Final third entries60

2Offsides1

11Free kicks7

2Fouled in final third3

Passing

483Passes610

395Accurate passes519

26/54 (48%)Long balls21/63 (33%)

10/21 (48%)Crosses0/18 (0%)

13Throw-ins16

Duels

49Duels51

27/61 (44%)Ground duels34/61 (56%)

12/19 (63%)Aerial duels7/19 (37%)

4/14 (29%)Dribbles14/21 (67%)

4Dispossessed5

Defending

12Tackles14

75Tackles won64

10Interceptions10

21Clearances19

61Recoveries66

Discipline

7Fouls11

5Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

0Big saves1

7Goal kicks6

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Osnabrück 35%

25%

Dresden 39%

Who winsDresden to win (DNB) 52% · 1.90 @ Betsson

BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.62 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.30 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.30 @ 1xBet

1X2Dresden to win 39% · 2.70 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.75 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ Bet365

1X2Osnabrück to win 35% · 2.80 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.62

VfL Osnabrück

3.70

Draw

2.38

SG Dynamo Dresden

Double Chanceconsensus

1.53

VfL Osnabrück or Draw

1.25

VfL Osnabrück or SG Dynamo Dresden

1.44

Draw or SG Dynamo Dresden

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.50

Yes

2.45

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.14

Over 1.50

5.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.52

Over 2.50

2.40

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.33

Over 3.50

1.57

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.08

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.85

VfL Osnabrück

1.85

SG Dynamo Dresden

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.13

Over 7.50

4.60

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.30

Over 8.50

3.10

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.54

Over 9.50

2.33

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.89

Over 10.50

1.86

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.31

Over 11.50

1.54

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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