Energie Cottbus 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg: Stats & xG

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2. Bundesliga ·Fri 16 Oct

Energie Cottbus

1–1

HT 0–0

Full time

1. FC Nürnberg

Stadion der Freundschaft, Cottbus · Ref: Felix Bickel

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Energie Cottbus 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg.

90+5'

P. Scobel

Attempt missed. P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

90+4'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

90+4'

J. Justvan

Attempt saved. J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+3'

R. Lubach

Attempt blocked. R. Lubach (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+3'

A. Markhiev

Attempt missed. A. Markhiev (1. FC Nürnberg), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

90+3'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

90+1'

C. Kinsombi

Yellow card for C. Kinsombi (Energie Cottbus) for foul.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

P. Scobel

Attempt missed. P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

84'

T. Ciğerci

Attempt missed. T. Ciğerci (Energie Cottbus), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

84'

Energie Cottbus

Corner, Energie Cottbus.

82'

M. Hannemann

Attempt missed. M. Hannemann (Energie Cottbus), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

82'

K. S. Manu

Substitution, Energie Cottbus: T. Campulka comes on for K. S. Manu.

80'

H. Rorig

Substitution, Energie Cottbus: C. Kinsombi comes on for H. Rorig.

80'

J. Butler

Substitution, Energie Cottbus: D. Bogdanov comes on for J. Butler.

79'

S. Mkrtchyan

Goal! Energie Cottbus 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg. S. Mkrtchyan (1. FC Nürnberg) scores, assisted by E. Porstner.

78'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

78'

P. Scobel

Attempt saved. P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg), header. xG 0.12.

77'

P. Scobel

Off the woodwork! P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

74'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

74'

J. Justvan

Attempt blocked. J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

73'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

69'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

69'

A. Markhiev

Attempt blocked. A. Markhiev (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

68'

T. Ciğerci

Yellow card for T. Ciğerci (Energie Cottbus) for foul.

66'

A. Kalogeropoulos

Substitution, 1. FC Nürnberg: S. Mkrtchyan comes on for A. Kalogeropoulos.

65'

L. Guwara

Substitution, Energie Cottbus: F. Doumbia comes on for L. Guwara.

65'

L. Bittencourt

Substitution, Energie Cottbus: D. Pelivan comes on for L. Bittencourt.

65'

R. Ghrieb

Substitution, 1. FC Nürnberg: R. Lubach comes on for R. Ghrieb.

63'

Energie Cottbus

Offside, Energie Cottbus.

61'

A. Kalogeropoulos

Yellow card for A. Kalogeropoulos (1. FC Nürnberg) for argument.

60'

R. Ghrieb

Attempt saved. R. Ghrieb (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

58'

J. Fernández

Attempt saved. J. Fernández (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

56'

J. Butler

Goal! Energie Cottbus 1-0 1. FC Nürnberg. J. Butler (Energie Cottbus) scores, assisted by L. Bittencourt.

51'

J. Fernández

Attempt blocked. J. Fernández (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

51'

P. Scobel

Attempt blocked. P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

47'

J. Butler

Attempt missed. J. Butler (Energie Cottbus), header. xG 0.43.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Energie Cottbus 0-0 1. FC Nürnberg.

45+4'

J. Justvan

Attempt blocked. J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45+1'

H. Rorig

Yellow card for H. Rorig (Energie Cottbus) for foul.

45+1'

T. Ciğerci

Attempt blocked. T. Ciğerci (Energie Cottbus), header. xG 0.02.

45+1'

H. Rorig

Attempt missed. H. Rorig (Energie Cottbus), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

44'

L. Michelbrink

Attempt saved. L. Michelbrink (Energie Cottbus), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

44'

J. Butler

Attempt blocked. J. Butler (Energie Cottbus), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

37'

T. Janisch

Off the woodwork! T. Janisch (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

37'

W. Bøving

Attempt missed. W. Bøving (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

34'

A. Markhiev

Yellow card for A. Markhiev (1. FC Nürnberg) for foul.

33'

M. A. Zoma

Substitution, 1. FC Nürnberg: W. Bøving comes on for M. A. Zoma.

25'

M. A. Zoma

Attempt missed. M. A. Zoma (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.22.

21'

L. Michelbrink

Attempt blocked. L. Michelbrink (Energie Cottbus), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

19'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

18'

J. Fernández

Attempt missed. J. Fernández (1. FC Nürnberg), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

18'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

17'

Energie Cottbus

Offside, Energie Cottbus.

16'

L. Copado

Attempt missed. L. Copado (Energie Cottbus), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

14'

T. Ciğerci

Attempt saved. T. Ciğerci (Energie Cottbus), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

10'

J. Butler

Attempt missed. J. Butler (Energie Cottbus), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

T. Ciğerci

Attempt saved. T. Ciğerci (Energie Cottbus), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

Energie Cottbus

Corner, Energie Cottbus.

K. S. Manu

Attempt saved. K. S. Manu (Energie Cottbus), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

1. FC Nürnberg

Offside, 1. FC Nürnberg.

Kick-off: Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg.

Where the money is

864477 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 396901 EUR · live

Home 110.0 · implied 0.9%

40.3%

+39.4 vs price

Away 22.0 · implied 4.5%

32.9%

+28.4 vs price

Draw 1.05 · implied 95.2%

26.8%

-68.4 vs price

Half time 3980 EUR · live

Draw 1.01 · implied 99.0%

68.3%

-30.7 vs price

Home 9.0 · implied 11.1%

16.3%

+5.2 vs price

Away 6.0 · implied 16.7%

15.3%

-1.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 145065 EUR · live

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

75.6%

-17.9 vs price

Over 11.0 · implied 9.1%

24.4%

+15.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 10715 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

88.1%

-10.9 vs price

Over 170.0 · implied 0.6%

11.9%

+11.3 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

33' 🔁 W. Bøving ◂ M. A. Zoma

34' A. Markhiev · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

45'⁺¹ H. Rorig · Foul

56' ⚽ J. Butler · assist L. Bittencourt1–0

61' A. Kalogeropoulos · Argument

65' 🔁 R. Lubach ◂ R. Ghrieb

65' 🔁 D. Pelivan ◂ L. Bittencourt

65' 🔁 F. Doumbia ◂ L. Guwara

66' 🔁 S. Mkrtchyan ◂ A. Kalogeropoulos

68' T. Ciğerci · Foul

79' ⚽ S. Mkrtchyan · assist E. Porstner1–1

80' 🔁 D. Bogdanov ◂ J. Butler

80' 🔁 C. Kinsombi ◂ H. Rorig

82' 🔁 T. Campulka ◂ K. S. Manu

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺¹ C. Kinsombi · Foul

Coaches

Claus-Dieter Wollitz

Miroslav Klose

Recent form

Energie Cottbus

LADarmstadt 981-3

DALech Poznań2-2

DHFC St. Pauli1-1

WAKarlsruher SC3-0

DAVfL Wolfsburg4-4

1. FC Nürnberg

DHVfL Wolfsburg4-4

WHFC Ingolstadt 043-1

WAKarlsruher SC1-0

WHHannover 962-1

DAHolstein Kiel2-2

About this match

**Nürnberg rolls into Cottbus on a hot streak — and Energie's wobbling form suggests this could get messy early.** 🔥

Cottbus has limped through September with draws piling up, while Nürnberg just beat Ingolstadt 3-1 and sits unbeaten across five. The visitors' attacking rhythm is clicking; the hosts' defending has questions.

Key storylines:

- **Nürnberg's firepower** (3 wins in last 5) tests a Cottbus backline that's surrendered 3 goals to Darmstadt
- **L. Bittencourt and L. Copado** need to spark Cottbus's midfield and wings or get overrun
- Head-to-head edge historically favors **Nürnberg** (4 wins vs 2 in the last decade), and form amplifies that now

Expected lineups:

- **Energie Cottbus**: M. Lotka, A. Borgmann, K. S. Manu, L. Erlein, H. Rorig, L. Michelbrink, L. Bittencourt, C. Kinsombi, T. Ciğerci, D. Bogdanov, L. Copado
- **1. FC Nürnberg**: J. Reichert, E. Porstner, A. Kalogeropoulos, F. Otto, G. Masouras, A. Markhiev, J. Fernández, P. Scobel, F. O. Becker, J. Justvan, M. A. Zoma

Prediction:

**Nürnberg 2–1 Cottbus**. Visitors have the edge in form and firepower; expect a solid away performance.

Where to watch

Disney+ (AR)

Match facts

Stadium

Stadion der Freundschaft

City

Cottbus

Referee

Felix Bickel

1.44 yellows/match · 18 matches

Kickoff

16 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Top stats

38%Possession62%

1.86Expected goals (xG)1.35

14Total shots19

5Shots on target5

3Big chances2

2Corners8

Shots

6Shots off target8

3Blocked shots6

11Shots inside box13

3Shots outside box6

0Hit woodwork2

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed1

0.23Goals prevented0.71

Attack

28Touches in box30

50Final third entries71

2Offsides1

12Free kicks9

0Fouled in final third1

Passing

324Passes525

245Accurate passes452

34/64 (53%)Long balls22/40 (55%)

4/14 (29%)Crosses8/28 (29%)

14Throw-ins28

Duels

54Duels46

34/64 (53%)Ground duels30/64 (47%)

11/20 (55%)Aerial duels9/20 (45%)

4/9 (44%)Dribbles9/17 (53%)

7Dispossessed10

Defending

18Tackles12

56Tackles won67

13Interceptions13

20Clearances13

56Recoveries55

Discipline

9Fouls12

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves4

0Big saves2

7Goal kicks8

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Cottbus 26%

22%

Nürnberg 51%

GoalsOver 3.5 goals 51% · 1.89 @ Sbo

CornersOver 10.5 corners 55% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

Who winsNürnberg to win (DNB) 62% · 1.42 @ Betsson

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 72% · 2.62 @ William Hill

1X2Nürnberg to win 51% · 2.10 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 65% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 76% · 1.25 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 69% · 2.20 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.53 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 22% · 3.08 @ 1xBet

1X2Cottbus to win 26% · 3.54 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.60

Energie Cottbus

4.20

Draw

1.80

1. FC Nürnberg

Double Chanceconsensus

1.93

Energie Cottbus or Draw

1.21

Energie Cottbus or 1. FC Nürnberg

1.27

Draw or 1. FC Nürnberg

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.33

Yes

3.10

Home Win to Nilconsensus

9.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.40

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

23.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.07

Over 1.50

7.39

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.30

Over 2.50

3.36

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.81

Over 3.50

1.94

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.88

Over 4.50

1.40

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.75

Energie Cottbus

1.40

1. FC Nürnberg

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.13

Over 7.50

4.00

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.25

Over 8.50

2.95

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.50

Over 9.50

2.35

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.86

Over 10.50

1.90

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.26

Over 11.50

1.54

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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