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Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
Oliver Kirch
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Osnabrück
Arminia Bielefeld
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-2-1
VfL Osnabrück
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 VfL Osnabrück.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
87'
Attempt missed. L. Raimund (VfL Osnabrück), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.00.
85'
Goal! Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 VfL Osnabrück. J. Rochelt (Arminia Bielefeld) scores, assisted by M. Momuluh.
76'
Attempt blocked. A. Sicker (Arminia Bielefeld), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.
76'
Attempt blocked. F. Hagmann (Arminia Bielefeld), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
76'
Arminia Bielefeld
Corner, Arminia Bielefeld.
70'
Attempt missed. R. Meißner (VfL Osnabrück), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.
69'
Arminia Bielefeld
Corner, Arminia Bielefeld.
67'
Arminia Bielefeld
Corner, Arminia Bielefeld.
66'
Arminia Bielefeld
Corner, Arminia Bielefeld.
60'
Attempt blocked. J. Grodowski (Arminia Bielefeld), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
60'
Arminia Bielefeld
Corner, Arminia Bielefeld.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL Osnabrück.
45+2'
Arminia Bielefeld
Corner, Arminia Bielefeld.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
42'
Attempt missed. F. Hagmann (Arminia Bielefeld), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
40'
Attempt missed. M. Bauer (Arminia Bielefeld), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
26'
Goal! Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL Osnabrück. M. Bauer (Arminia Bielefeld) scores, assisted by A. Sicker.
1'
Kick-off: Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
203339 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
59.8%
-39.2 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
24.2%
+21.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
16.0%
+15.9 vs price
Half time
286 EUR
Home
2.6 · implied 38.5%
70.3%
+31.8 vs price
Draw
2.5 · implied 40.0%
31.3%
-8.7 vs price
Away
4.5 · implied 22.2%
1.2%
-21.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
81654 EUR · live
Over
3.7 · implied 27.0%
62.1%
+35.0 vs price
Under
1.36 · implied 73.5%
37.9%
-35.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
202 EUR
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
99.8%
+12.8 vs price
Over
0.0%
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
2'
R. Fabinski · Foul
16'
⚽
R. Meißner0–1
26'
⚽
M. Bauer · assist A. Sicker1–1
38'
B. Boakye · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
59'
🔁
J. Rochelt ◂ B. Boakye
59'
🔁
M. Momuluh ◂ I. Young
68'
🔁
D. Kyereh ◂ I. Badjie
81'
🔁
J. Felix ◂ L. Jensen
81'
🔁
H. Koudossou ◂ F. Hagmann
83'
🔁
L. Raimund ◂ L. Flach
85'
⚽
J. Rochelt · assist M. Momuluh2–1
86'
M. Großer · Foul
88'
🔁
V. Ocansey ◂ J. Grodowski
89'
🔁
L. Münst ◂ J. Gómez
89'
🔁
B. Riesselmann ◂ A. Beck
89'
🔁
T. Janotta ◂ J. Müller
89'
S. Russo · Foul
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Oliver KirchTimo Schultz 
Recent form
Arminia BielefeldWAVfL Bochum 18481-0
DHRot-Weiss Essen2-2
DH1. FC Heidenheim2-2
LADarmstadt 981-2
DHFC St. Pauli2-2
VfL OsnabrückDHSG Dynamo Dresden1-1
LHDjurgårdens IF0-1
LAVfL Bochum 18481-4
WASC Wiedenbrück3-0
DAHolstein Kiel1-1
About this match
**Bielefeld are the heavy favorites here** — they're grinding out results at home while Osnabrück just got hammered 4-1 by Bochum. 🔴
Arminia's drawing habit (three of their last five were stalemates) has kept them respectable, but a win feels overdue. Osnabrück's wobbled lately with back-to-back losses, and the Schüco-Arena is a tricky away fixture.
Key storylines:
- **Arminia's attack** needs to convert chances; **B. Boakye** and **J. Grodowski** have the platform to finally put one away
- **Osnabrück's defense** (Gómez, Fabinski, Müller) will be under siege and can't afford another multi-goal collapse
- Home-field edge is real — Bielefeld unbeaten at the Schüco, Osnabrück shipping goals on the road
Expected lineups:
- **Arminia Bielefeld**: J. Kersken, A. Sicker, M. Bauer, M. Großer, H. Koudossou, J. Rochelt, S. Russo, M. Wörl, B. Boakye, J. Grodowski, D. Min
- **VfL Osnabrück**: J. Krumrey, J. Gómez, R. Fabinski, J. Müller, P. Kammerbauer, N. Wiemann, B. Jacobsen, F. Wagner, A. Beck, R. Meißner, I. Badjie
Prediction:
**Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 VfL Osnabrück**
Bielefeld have the edge in form and setup. Expect a controlled home win with **Boakye** and **Grodowski** finally breaking through. 💪
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Schüco-Arena
City
Bielefeld
Kickoff
18 Oct, 11:30 UTC
Competition
2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-2-1
VfL Osnabrück
1
J. Kersken
6.4
3
J. Felix
6.9
↑ 81'
5
M. Bauer
8.0
19
M. Großer
6.6
17
A. Sicker
6.8
21
S. Russo
7.0
14
M. Momuluh
6.6
↑ 59'
7
H. Koudossou
6.7
↑ 81'
38
M. Wörl
7.3
10
J. Rochelt
8.0
↑ 59'
39
V. Ocansey
6.5
↑ 88'
32
J. Krumrey
6.4
27
R. Fabinski
6.7
20
T. Janotta
6.6
↑ 89'
25
N. Wiemann
6.5
31
P. Kammerbauer
6.5
17
L. Raimund
6.4
↑ 83'
15
B. Jacobsen
7.2
8
L. Münst
6.6
↑ 89'
7
D. Kyereh
6.7
↑ 68'
22
B. Riesselmann
6.4
↑ 89'
11
R. Meißner
6.5
Substitutes
18GL. Oppermann
2DF. Hagmann↓ 81'6.7
29DT. Handwerker
31ML. Jensen↓ 81'6.7
27MB. Boakye↓ 59'6.3
6MM. Mehlem
8MS. Schreck
30FI. Young↓ 59'6.5
11FJ. Grodowski↓ 88'6.1
Coach: Oliver Kirch
Substitutes
1GN. Sauter
24DJ. Müller↓ 89'6.6
42DJ. Gómez↓ 89'6.3
28DK. Faber
4DJ. Abu Hanna
18ML. Flach↓ 83'6.7
10MI. Badjie↓ 68'6.3
21MA. Beck↓ 89'6.2
26MF. Wagner
Coach: Timo Schultz
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.04Expected goals (xG)1.41
15Total shots8
3Shots on target1
2Big chances2
6Corners0
Shots
7Shots off target6
5Blocked shots1
10Shots inside box3
5Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
-0.01Goals prevented-0.15
Attack
29Touches in box7
81Final third entries67
1Offsides0
11Free kicks14
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
511Passes505
390Accurate passes375
30/74 (41%)Long balls13/61 (21%)
6/29 (21%)Crosses1/9 (0%)
17Throw-ins21
Duels
53Duels47
30/65 (46%)Ground duels35/65 (54%)
33/54 (61%)Aerial duels21/54 (39%)
3/12 (25%)Dribbles3/14 (21%)
11Dispossessed6
Defending
17Tackles20
82Tackles won55
13Interceptions10
17Clearances38
78Recoveries68
Discipline
14Fouls11
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves1
8Goal kicks11
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.32 @ 1xBet
Who winsBielefeld to win (DNB) 72% · 1.42 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.50 @ William Hill
1X2Bielefeld to win 54% · 2.10 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.88 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.80 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 24% · 2.77 @ 1xBet
1X2Osnabrück to win 22% · 4.08 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.57 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.80 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.75
Arminia Bielefeld
3.92
Draw
4.20
VfL Osnabrück
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw
1.22
Arminia Bielefeld or VfL Osnabrück
2.08
Draw or VfL Osnabrück
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.40
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
16.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50
4.88
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50
2.30
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.39
Over 3.50
1.54
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.30
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.40
Arminia Bielefeld
2.77
VfL Osnabrück
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.58
Over 9.50
2.26
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.91
Over 10.50
1.80
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.37
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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