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FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Darmstadt 98
Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Darmstadt 98
Florian Kohfeldt
Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
Darmstadt 98
4-4-2 · 3-4-1-2
FC St. Pauli
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Darmstadt 98 0-0 FC St. Pauli.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
90'
FC St. Pauli
Offside, FC St. Pauli.
87'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
84'
Attempt blocked. P. Pfeiffer (Darmstadt 98), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.14.
84'
Attempt blocked. W. Mikelbrencis (Darmstadt 98), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.
84'
Attempt missed. W. Mikelbrencis (Darmstadt 98), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
66'
Attempt blocked. N. Verkooijen (Darmstadt 98), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.
66'
Attempt blocked. N. Weißhaupt (Darmstadt 98), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.
66'
Darmstadt 98
Corner, Darmstadt 98.
59'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
57'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
54'
Darmstadt 98
Offside, Darmstadt 98.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Darmstadt 98 0-0 FC St. Pauli.
45'
1 minute of added time.
44'
Darmstadt 98
Corner, Darmstadt 98.
42'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
41'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
32'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
15'
FC St. Pauli
Corner, FC St. Pauli.
15'
Attempt saved. C. Metcalfe (FC St. Pauli), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.
14'
Darmstadt 98
Offside, Darmstadt 98.
1'
Kick-off: Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
471713 EUR · live
Away
32.0 · implied 3.1%
47.9%
+44.8 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
42.9%
-54.2 vs price
Home
280.0 · implied 0.4%
9.2%
+8.8 vs price
Half time
103 EUR
Away
3.1 · implied 32.3%
86.3%
+54.1 vs price
Draw
2.42 · implied 41.3%
8.4%
-32.9 vs price
Home
3.8 · implied 26.3%
5.3%
-21.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
168960 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.5%
-15.5 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
16.5%
+16.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
138 EUR
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
80.4%
-6.5 vs price
Over
7.8 · implied 12.8%
19.6%
+6.8 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
7'
A. Pyrka · Foul
26'
R. Petretta · Argument
26'
A. Ceesay · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
S. Klein ◂ M. Rasmussen
46'
🔁
A. Dźwigała ◂ A. Pyrka
46'
🔁
M. Kaars ◂ A. Ceesay
56'
K. Klefisch · Foul
62'
🔁
N. Verkooijen ◂ M. Richter
62'
🔁
L. Ho-jae ◂ F. Lakenmacher
65'
A. Dźwigała · Foul
67'
🔁
T. Hara ◂ Y. Niang
83'
E. Smith · Foul
84'
🔁
B. Hrgota ◂ C. Metcalfe
85'
🔁
L. Duijvestijn ◂ M. Smit
Full-time · 0–0
90'+2
W. Mikelbrencis · Foul
90'+4
🔁
C. Lannert ◂ W. Mikelbrencis
Coaches
Florian KohfeldtMarcel Rapp 
Recent form
Darmstadt 98LAKarlsruher SC0-4
WHEnergie Cottbus3-1
WASan Antonio FC7-0
LAVfL Wolfsburg1-5
WHArminia Bielefeld2-1
FC St. PauliDAHannover 961-1
WHKarlsruher SC2-0
DHBorussia M'gladbach1-1
DAEnergie Cottbus1-1
WHVfL Wolfsburg1-0
About this match
**Darmstadt's form is a total rollercoaster, but they're heavily favored at home** — they've put a boot through teams in recent weeks and hold a commanding H2H edge over St. Pauli. 🔥
The visitors are more cautious, sitting pretty on a 2W-3D run with no losses, but consistency in draws suggests they'll happily nick a point if they can. Darmstadt, though, are hitting different — when they click, they're scary.
Key storylines:
- **M. Smit and M. Richter** lead the charge up front for Darmstadt's familiar attacking setup; St. Pauli's back three will have their hands full.
- **Darmstadt's home form** vs **St. Pauli's draw-heavy consistency** — one team wants to blow you away, the other wants to grind it out.
- Missing **C. Sickinger and L. Marseiler** leaves Darmstadt a touch thinner in defense, but not enough to derail them.
Expected lineups:
- **Darmstadt 98**: M. Schuhen, R. Petretta, P. Pfeiffer, A. Vukotić, K. Klefisch, H. Akiyama, N. Weißhaupt, L. Duijvestijn, M. Richter, M. Smit
- **FC St. Pauli**: B. Voll, D. Nemeth, E. Smith, L. Ritzka, A. Pyrka, L. Oppie, C. Metcalfe, T. Hara, A. Ceesay, M. Rasmussen
Prediction:
**Darmstadt 2-0 St. Pauli** — home edge and lethal form lean convincingly toward the hosts, even if St. Pauli's defensive shape makes it a workmanlike win.
Where to watch
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Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
City
Darmstadt
Kickoff
23 Oct, 16:30 UTC
Competition
2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt 98
4-4-2 · 3-4-1-2
FC St. Pauli
1
M. Schuhen
6.7
28
C. Lannert
↑ 90'
6
P. Pfeiffer
7.8
49
Y. Lührs
7.6
18
R. Petretta
8.4
10
N. Verkooijen
6.7
↑ 62'
17
K. Klefisch
7.6
16
H. Akiyama
7.0
7
N. Weißhaupt
7.6
9
L. Ho-jae
6.5
↑ 62'
41
L. Duijvestijn
6.6
↑ 85'
1
B. Voll
6.6
4
D. Nemeth
7.7
8
E. Smith
7.4
21
L. Ritzka
6.9
25
A. Dźwigała
6.6
↑ 46'
22
S. Klein
6.7
↑ 46'
16
J. C. Fujita
7.7
23
L. Oppie
7.2
10
B. Hrgota
6.8
↑ 84'
18
T. Hara
6.2
↑ 67'
19
M. Kaars
6.6
↑ 46'
Substitutes
30GA. Brunst
20DA. Vukotić
3DF. Kleinhansl
5MM. Richter↓ 62'6.8
25MW. Mikelbrencis↓ 90'6.8
22ML. Kehl
11MI. E. Kadiri
36FM. Smit↓ 85'6.5
19FF. Lakenmacher↓ 62'6.3
Coach: Florian Kohfeldt
Substitutes
33GD. Mitov
6DM. Mathisen
15DT. Ando
11MA. Pyrka↓ 46'6.7
20MM. Rasmussen↓ 46'6.7
24MC. Metcalfe↓ 84'6.7
9FA. Ceesay↓ 46'6.3
7FY. Niang↓ 67'5.5
26FR. Jones
Coach: Marcel Rapp
Top stats
37%Possession63%
0.77Expected goals (xG)1.9
12Total shots18
0Shots on target2
1Big chances1
2Corners6
Shots
5Shots off target11
7Blocked shots5
7Shots inside box13
5Shots outside box5
1Big chances missed1
0.16Goals prevented0.0
Attack
22Touches in box28
39Final third entries78
3Offsides2
13Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
342Passes601
269Accurate passes533
15/54 (28%)Long balls14/24 (58%)
3/17 (18%)Crosses6/25 (24%)
17Throw-ins20
Duels
62Duels38
42/69 (61%)Ground duels27/69 (39%)
15/23 (65%)Aerial duels8/23 (35%)
7/16 (44%)Dribbles3/14 (21%)
5Dispossessed11
Defending
22Tackles14
68Tackles won50
19Interceptions7
35Clearances19
43Recoveries44
Discipline
13Fouls13
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves0
1Big saves0
13Goal kicks10
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.29 @ 1xBet
1X2St. Pauli to win 41% · 2.62 @ William Hill
Who winsDarmstadt to win (DNB) 69% · 2.20 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ 1xBet
1X2Darmstadt to win 32% · 3.27 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.95
Darmstadt 98
3.50
Draw
2.25
FC St. Pauli
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
Darmstadt 98 or Draw
1.29
Darmstadt 98 or FC St. Pauli
1.36
Draw or FC St. Pauli
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.61
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.78
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.30
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.10
Darmstadt 98
1.65
FC St. Pauli
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
3.72
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
2.75
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50
2.15
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.95
Over 10.50
1.80
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.37
Over 11.50
1.45
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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