**Mortágua rolls into this one hot and heavy** — three wins in their last five matches vs Serra's uneven form. 🔥 This has "upset special" written all over it if the hosts can weather the early pressure, but the visitors smell blood.

Serra's picked up two wins at home recently, but their away record is dodgy (that 1-1 with Nogueirense stings). Mortágua, meanwhile, just demolished Sertanense 3-1 and look sharp on the road. The momentum gap is real here.

Key storylines:

- **Mortágua's attacking trio** of E. Borges, J. Pais, and P. Bonkat have been clinical in their last few outings — Serra's defense will need to stay compact
- **Home advantage for Serra** is the only real card they've got; expect them to press high early and hope to nick a goal on the break
- **Mortágua's midfield engine** — A. O. Pinto and Bula pulling strings — has been the difference-maker in their recent wins

Expected lineups:

- **Mortágua**: G. Ferreira, C. Silva, G. Rosário, H. Ferreira, J. Paulo, A. O. Pinto, Bula, D. Rodrigues, E. Borges, J. Pais, P. Bonkat

Prediction:

**Mortágua 2–1 Serra**. The visitors' form and structure give them the edge, but expect a spirited home resistance.