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CD Fátima
Unknown
CD Fátima
CD Fátima
CD Fátima
Unknown
CD Fátima
CD Fátima
CD Fátima
CD Fátima
Sertanense
Unknown
CD Fátima
CD Fátima
Unknown
Sertanense
Unknown
CD Fátima
Gonçalo Cruz
Sertanense
CD Fátima
Sertanense
5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
CD Fátima
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Sertanense 2-2 CD Fátima.
90+2'
CD Fátima
Attempt missed. A player (CD Fátima), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.
90+1'
Unknown
Goal! Sertanense 2-2 CD Fátima. Unknown (CD Fátima) scores.
89'
CD Fátima
Attempt blocked. A player (CD Fátima), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.
85'
Attempt saved. A. F. Castanheira (CD Fátima), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
82'
CD Fátima
Attempt missed. A player (CD Fátima), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.
73'
CD Fátima
Attempt saved. A player (CD Fátima), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.
68'
Unknown
Red card! Unknown (CD Fátima) is sent off.
64'
CD Fátima
Attempt missed. A player (CD Fátima), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
63'
CD Fátima
Attempt blocked. A player (CD Fátima), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.
60'
Attempt blocked. B. D. Silva (Sertanense), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.
55'
CD Fátima
Attempt saved. A player (CD Fátima), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.
46'
CD Fátima
Attempt missed. A player (CD Fátima), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Sertanense 2-1 CD Fátima.
37'
Sertanense
Attempt missed. A player (Sertanense), left-footed shot. xG 0.30.
35'
Unknown
Goal! Sertanense 2-1 CD Fátima. Unknown (CD Fátima) scores.
27'
CD Fátima
Attempt missed. A player (CD Fátima), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.00.
21'
CD Fátima
Attempt saved. A player (CD Fátima), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.
18'
Unknown
Goal! Sertanense 2-0 CD Fátima. Unknown (Sertanense) scores.
15'
Sertanense
Attempt missed. A player (Sertanense), header. xG 0.21.
13'
Unknown
Goal! Sertanense 1-0 CD Fátima. Unknown (Sertanense) scores.
10'
CD Fátima
Off the woodwork! A player (CD Fátima), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.
1'
Kick-off: Sertanense vs CD Fátima.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Match events
13'
⚽
Unknown1–0
18'
⚽
Unknown2–0
35'
⚽
Unknown2–1
Half-time · 2–1
68'
Unknown
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
⚽
Unknown2–2
Coaches
Gonçalo CruzRecent form
SertanenseDACF Marialvas0-0
LAO Elvas CAD0-2
DHAt. Malveira1-1
LACD Alcains0-1
LHMortágua1-3
CD FátimaWHAcadémico Viseu FC1-0
LHGd Nazarenos1-3
WHFC Vinhais4-1
LHOliveira Hospital0-1
LACF Marialvas0-3
About this match
**Sertanense's winless run meets a Fátima side that can't find consistency** — this is a proper coin flip in Portugal's fourth tier. 🎲
Sertanense haven't won in five and look brittle on the road (two straight losses away). CD Fátima have notched victories recently but got hammered 3-1 at home last time out, so defensive wobbles are very real for both sides.
Key storylines:
- **Sertanense's attacking setup** hinges on creativity from A. Lopes and **Baio** in an attacking midfield slot — they need to click early or this drags into a frustrating stalemate
- **CD Fátima's inconsistency** is baffling (4-1 win, then 1-3 loss at home) — **Académico Viseu FC** victims one moment, outclassed the next
- Both teams are leaky; expect chances at both ends despite poor recent form
Expected lineups:
- **Sertanense**: A. Castelinho, B. Mendonça, D. Xavier, D. Serra, D. Costa, A. V. S. Fati, A. Gonçalves, A. Lopes, Baio, B. D. Silva
- **CD Fátima**: lineup not provided
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — neither side has the consistency to push clear, and both will get chances they miss. Lean slightly toward the stalemate. ⚽
Match facts
Kickoff
25 Oct, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Campeonato de Portugal
Sertanense
5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
CD Fátima
1
T. P. V. Gomes
7.0
52
D. Xavier
6.2
67
M. Queta
6.8
23
B. J. Mendonça
6.2
25
R. Possidónio
7.2
79
S. Sousa
6.9
88
P. M. R. Macedo
8.2
86
A. C. D. Gonçalves
6.6
8
M. Fernandes
5.6
94
B. D. Silva
5.6
7
R. d. S. Sebastião
6.6
24
E. A. Tetteh
6.1
2
F. Moura
6.5
19
T. M. Silva
6.1
4
J. S. C. d. Santos
7.2
5
B. S. L. Beato
5.3
6
A. M. Silva
7.0
17
R. Omrani
6.7
16
R. Conceição
7.3
10
J. J. G. C. G. Batim
6.4
20
T. M. Silva
6.2
7
D. M. Gonçalves
6.8
Substitutes
41GA. Castelinho
50GD. M. F. d. Silva
62DS. Camará6.4
20DR. A. E. António6.3
21MI. S. Figueiredo6.5
10MM. Branco
27FP. Correia6.4
19FI. Cisse
81FT. Cabaço
Coach: Gonçalo Cruz
Top stats
39%Possession61%
1.42Expected goals (xG)1.63
2Shots on target8
2Corners11
Shots
0Shots off target0
Attack
1Offsides1
1Free kicks1
Passing
0Throw-ins3
Discipline
19Fouls18
4Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 9 bookmakers
Who winsFátima to win (DNB) 65%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.10 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 80% · 1.16 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.22 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.24 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61%
1X2Fátima to win 30% · 2.80 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62%
1X2Sertanense to win 41% · 3.25 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.38 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.70
Sertanense
3.04
Draw
2.45
CD Fátima
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Sertanense or Draw
1.31
Sertanense or CD Fátima
1.35
Draw or CD Fátima
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes
1.77
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
6.79
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
2.70
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.20
Over 2.50
1.58
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.15
Over 3.50
1.16
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.00
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.30
Sertanense
2.00
Draw
3.12
CD Fátima
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.19
Sertanense
2.20
Draw
2.80
CD Fátima
Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus
5.10
Yes
1.12
No
Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus
3.66
Yes
1.22
No
Total Goals (1st Half) 0.50consensus
1.40
Over 0.50
2.58
Under 0.50
Total Goals (1st Half) 1.50consensus
3.00
Over 1.50
1.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals (1st Half) 2.50consensus
8.40
Over 2.50
1.04
Under 2.50
Total Goals (2nd Half) 0.50consensus
1.26
Over 0.50
3.24
Under 0.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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