Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sized**SC Mineiro Aljustrelense are spiraling, and Imortal Deportivo have just enough momentum to punish them.** This is a mismatch on current form — one side bleeding goals, the other finding them. 🔴
Mineiro are 1W-1D-3L and leaking chances at alarming rates (three straight defeats, conceding 8 in the last two). Imortal sit at 2W-1D-2L with a mixed bag: they've hammered GD Portel 3-0 at home but also took a 5-1 spanking from Tondela. The head-to-head is deadlocked at a goalless draw.
Key storylines:
- **SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's leaky backline** — D. Mancilla and B. Cunha will have their hands full against Imortal's attacking quartet
- **Imortal riding home advantage** — expect F. Guerreiro and J. Marques to exploit space in transition
- **Depth vs desperation** — Mineiro need points; Imortal are the more rounded outfit
Expected lineups:
- **SC Mineiro Aljustrelense**: T. Fernandes, A. Freire, B. Cunha, D. Mancilla, F. Ferreira, A. Figueira, B. Muhungo, B. Lagrange
- **Imortal Deportivo Clube**: D. Inácio, A. Guerra, C. Abreu, D. Luz, H. Sequeira, B. Freitas, F. Guerreiro, J. Marques
Prediction:
**Imortal Deportivo 2–0 SC Mineiro Aljustrelense** — visitors' form is too fragile; Imortal's home record tips it. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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