Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Both teams are desperately hunting wins after shaky September stretches** — this is a clash of misfiring offenses where the first side to click could grab crucial breathing room. 🔥
Ried have at least shown some fight with a win and draw mixed in, but their away form is worrying after that 2-3 loss to Hartberg. Wolfsberger are in genuine trouble: three losses in five, including heavy home defeats to Rapid and LASK, and they're missing N. Wimmer's defensive cover.
Key storylines:
- **Ried's home advantage** at the Josko Arena where they just beat Grazer AK — J. Rhodes and the attacking mid duo of E. Eghosa and J. Nasrawe need to press that edge.
- **Wolfsberger's leaky backline** even at full strength has been dismantled at home; without Wimmer, R. Renner and R. Behounek will be under serious heat.
- **M. Schabauer and G. Vrioni** on the wing-striker setup are Wolfsberger's creative lifeline, but they've been starved of service in recent weeks.
Expected lineups:
- **SV Ried**: A. Leitner, O. Sorg, S. Chukwudi, O. Steurer, A. Bajić, Y. Maart, S. Schwab, E. Eghosa, J. Nasrawe, J. Rhodes, N. P. Sissoko
- **Wolfsberger AC**: L. Gütlbauer, R. Renner, R. Behounek, M. Kitz, F. Wohlmuth, S. Piesinger, M. Sulzner, O. Mamageishvili, D. Avdijaj, G. Vrioni, M. Schabauer
Prediction:
**Ried 2–0 Wolfsberger** — home form + Wolfsberger's injury woes = slight edge to the hosts.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.