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SV Ried
WSG Tirol
SV Ried
SV Ried
WSG Tirol
WSG Tirol
SV Ried
WSG Tirol
SV Ried
SV Ried
SV Ried
SV Ried
WSG Tirol
WSG Tirol
WSG Tirol
WSG Tirol
Philipp Semlic
WSG Tirol
SV Ried
WSG Tirol
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
SV Ried
Commentary
90'
Full-time. WSG Tirol 1-2 SV Ried.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
90'
SV Ried
Corner, SV Ried.
85'
WSG Tirol
Offside, WSG Tirol.
74'
SV Ried
Offside, SV Ried.
65'
SV Ried
Corner, SV Ried.
64'
WSG Tirol
Corner, WSG Tirol.
62'
WSG Tirol
Corner, WSG Tirol.
50'
SV Ried
Offside, SV Ried.
47'
WSG Tirol
Corner, WSG Tirol.
47'
Attempt blocked. N. Frederiksen (WSG Tirol), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. WSG Tirol 1-2 SV Ried.
45+2'
SV Ried
Corner, SV Ried.
45'
1 minute of added time.
41'
SV Ried
Offside, SV Ried.
39'
Attempt saved. N. Frederiksen (WSG Tirol), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.46.
32'
SV Ried
Corner, SV Ried.
22'
SV Ried
Corner, SV Ried.
10'
Attempt missed. N. Frederiksen (WSG Tirol), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
9'
WSG Tirol
Corner, WSG Tirol.
6'
WSG Tirol
Corner, WSG Tirol.
5'
WSG Tirol
Corner, WSG Tirol.
4'
WSG Tirol
Corner, WSG Tirol.
2'
Attempt saved. N. Frederiksen (WSG Tirol), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.
1'
Kick-off: WSG Tirol vs SV Ried.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
29328 EUR · live
Away
1.1 · implied 90.9%
87.5%
-3.4 vs price
Home
160.0 · implied 0.6%
9.2%
+8.6 vs price
Draw
12.0 · implied 8.3%
3.3%
-5.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5799 EUR · live
Over
1.17 · implied 85.5%
87.6%
+2.1 vs price
Under
7.4 · implied 13.5%
14.1%
+0.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
548 EUR · live
Under
1.98 · implied 50.5%
80.6%
+30.0 vs price
Over
2.0 · implied 50.0%
19.2%
-30.8 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
N. Frederiksen1–0
15'
⚽
S. Schwab (pen)1–1
43'
⚽
P. Pomer1–2
Half-time · 1–2
45'+1
M. Boras · Off the ball foul
46'
🔁
M. Wels ◂ H. Balić
50'
VAR
Goal not given after review · E. Eghosa
69'
🔁
M. Satin ◂ T. Goiginger
70'
🔁
L. Malicsek ◂ M. Rasner
70'
🔁
O. Sorg ◂ J. Rhodes
76'
A. Leitner · Argument
77'
🔁
I. Thelin ◂ E. Eghosa
78'
🔁
T. Sabitzer ◂ N. Frederiksen
78'
🔁
L. Hinterseer ◂ M. Olakigbe
82'
F. Rossdorfer · Handball
83'
🔁
D. Radonjic ◂ P. Pomer
Full-time · 1–2
90'+2
🔁
D. Kubatta ◂ M. Striednig
Coaches
Philipp SemlicMario Despotovic 
Recent form
WSG TirolWASSV Jahn Regensburg6-0
LASK Rapid Wien0-3
DHTSV Hartberg2-2
WAFK Austria Wien1-0
WASC Austria Lustenau4-0
SV RiedDHSKU Amstetten3-3
WHWolfsberger AC4-1
DHRed Bull Salzburg1-1
LATSV Hartberg2-3
WHGrazer AK 19021-0
About this match
**WSG Tirol's mixing explosive away wins with head-scratching losses** — Ried's here for a proper scrap in the Austrian top flight. 🔥
Tirol just demolished Regensburg 6-0 but then got turned inside out 3-0 at Rapid, so consistency is their kryptonite. Ried meanwhile keeps grinding out draws and the occasional blowout (4-1 over Wolfsberg), sitting mid-table but never quite clicking.
Key storylines:
- **N. Frederiksen** and the Tirol attack looking to bounce back after that Rapid shellacking with a dominant home display
- **J. Rhodes** leading the Ried line against a Tirol defence that's wildly unpredictable — could either be a fortress or a sieve
- Tirol's **M. Satin** and **M. Striednig** midfield pairing tasked with controlling tempo after being overrun on the road
Expected lineups:
- **WSG Tirol**: S. Hamzić, D. Gugganig, M. Boras, D. Murray, M. Oswald, M. Striednig, M. Satin, H. Balić, M. Wels, M. Olakigbe, N. Frederiksen
- **SV Ried**: A. Leitner, O. Sorg, O. Steurer, L. Malicsek, A. Bajić, Y. Maart, S. Schwab, E. Eghosa, J. Nasrawe, J. Rhodes, N. P. Sissoko
Prediction:
**Tirol 2-1 Ried** — home teams with that kind of firepower usually find their feet, and Ried's defence will struggle to keep up with Tirol's pace in transition.
Where to watch
Sky Sport Austria 1Sky Sport Austria 3
Sky Sport Austria 1
Match facts
Stadium
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
City
Innsbruck
Kickoff
10 Oct, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Austrian Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
WSG Tirol
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
SV Ried
1
S. Hamzić
6.0
5
D. Murray
6.9
23
M. Boras
6.8
3
D. Gugganig
6.8
28
M. Oswald
6.7
14
D. Kubatta
↑ 90'
30
M. Taferner
7.3
37
M. Wels
6.3
↑ 46'
11
M. Satin
6.9
↑ 69'
10
T. Sabitzer
6.4
↑ 78'
16
L. Hinterseer
6.7
↑ 78'
1
A. Leitner
7.1
18
F. Rossdorfer
6.7
28
S. Chukwudi
7.6
30
O. Steurer
7.5
5
D. Radonjic
6.7
↑ 83'
6
Y. Maart
7.5
7
O. Sorg
7.0
↑ 70'
12
A. Bajić
6.7
22
S. Schwab
6.9
4
L. Malicsek
6.7
↑ 70'
92
I. Thelin
6.5
↑ 77'
Substitutes
13GA. Eckmayr
43DN. Čelić
27DD. Jaunegg
32DR. Gschösser
6MM. Striednig↓ 90'7.2
18MH. Balić↓ 46'6.2
8FN. Frederiksen↓ 78'7.0
36FT. Goiginger↓ 69'6.9
17FM. Olakigbe↓ 78'6.5
Coach: Philipp Semlic
Substitutes
77GF. Wimmer
29DL. Capan
17MP. Pomer↓ 83'8.2
11MJ. Rhodes↓ 70'6.9
8MM. Rasner↓ 70'6.6
10MJ. Nasrawe
19MT. L. Jensen
47FE. Eghosa↓ 77'7.2
15FJ. Boguo
Coach: Mario Despotovic
Top stats
64%Possession36%
1.25Expected goals (xG)1.48
22Total shots13
8Shots on target4
3Big chances2
7Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target7
9Blocked shots2
11Shots inside box7
11Shots outside box6
0Big chances scored2
3Big chances missed0
-0.68Goals prevented-0.27
Attack
29Touches in box32
65Final third entries57
1Offsides3
10Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
589Passes329
515Accurate passes246
22/50 (44%)Long balls21/51 (41%)
6/23 (26%)Crosses2/14 (14%)
19Throw-ins19
Duels
47Duels53
37/84 (44%)Ground duels47/84 (56%)
12/21 (57%)Aerial duels9/21 (43%)
12/31 (39%)Dribbles9/20 (45%)
9Dispossessed5
Defending
16Tackles28
56Tackles won68
11Interceptions16
26Clearances31
52Recoveries54
Discipline
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves7
0Big saves1
10Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.73 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 1.57 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 1.61 @ Bet365
1X2Ried to win 38% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.18 @ Bet365
Who winsTirol to win (DNB) 63% · 1.85 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 25% · 2.38 @ Bet365
1X2Tirol to win 37% · 3.10 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.50 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.45
WSG Tirol
3.60
Draw
2.40
SV Ried
Double Chanceconsensus
1.53
WSG Tirol or Draw
1.29
WSG Tirol or SV Ried
1.50
Draw or SV Ried
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes
2.38
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.61
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.50
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.33
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.80
WSG Tirol
1.90
SV Ried
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.73
Over 8.50
2.00
Under 8.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.10
WSG Tirol
2.38
Draw
3.00
SV Ried
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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