Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Tirol's in scintillating form, but Grazer's resilience makes this a proper toss-up.** 🎯 A 6-0 demolition last time out suggests WSG are clicking, yet Graz have quietly strung together a solid run and won't roll over.
WSG have the momentum edge with 2 wins in their last 5, but Graz's H2H record against them (3 wins, 4 draws) hints they've got Tirol's number. That said, the hosts' attacking rhythm looks genuinely dangerous right now.
Key storylines:
- **N. Frederiksen** leading the line for a Tirol side that just put six past Jahn — clinical finishing in full swing 💪
- **Anderson** running the midfield for Graz, who ground out a 0-0 at home to Salzburg and know how to keep things tight defensively
- Home advantage at **Tivoli Stadion** typically favors WSG, though Graz's recent H2H shows they're not intimidated on the road
Expected lineups:
- **WSG Tirol**: Hamzić, Gugganig, Boras, Murray, Oswald, Striednig, Taferner, Olakigbe, Wels, Goiginger, Frederiksen
- **Grazer AK 1902**: Stanković, Owusu, Oberleitner, Pines, Klassen, Anderson, Michorl, Cvetko, Lichtenberger, Hofleitner, Italiano
Prediction:
**WSG Tirol 2–1 Grazer AK 1902**. Slight lean to the hosts' firepower, but this stays competitive.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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