Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Graz hosts a Hartberg side riding serious momentum** — the visitors are 3W-1D in their last five and have owned this fixture head-to-head. Grazer need a spark badly after that 6-1 hammering by Sturm. 🔥
Grazer's recent form is rocky (1W-3D-1L), and injuries to Anderson, B. Owusu, I. Guerti, and J. Meierhofer aren't helping matters. Hartberg, meanwhile, have won three of five despite dropping a 3-1 to Rapid Wien — they're the in-form team here by a mile.
Key storylines:
- **TSV Hartberg's dominance in the H2H**: Hartberg have won three of the last six meetings; Grazer haven't beaten them in that stretch, drawing three times.
- **Grazer's injury crisis**: Anderson, B. Owusu, I. Guerti, and J. Meierhofer all out limits rotation and depth heading into a tough matchup.
- **Hartberg's defensive setup**: P. Komposch and M. Pfeifer anchor a three-man line tasked with containing Grazer's front three of A. Hofleitner, M. Große, and D. Maderner.
Expected lineups:
- **Grazer AK 1902**: C. Stanković, Y. Oberleitner, M. Sollbauer, L. Vraa-Jensen, L. Klassen, P. Michorl, A. Hofleitner, M. Große
- **TSV Hartberg**: Á. Pécsi, P. Komposch, K. Schopp, B. Markuš, Y. Diarra, T. Kainz, J. Drew, M. Hoffmann
Prediction:
**1-2 Hartberg.** The visitors have the edge — better form, a clean H2H record, and Grazer's injury woes make this a lean toward the traveling side. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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