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KAS Eupen
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
KAS Eupen
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
KAS Eupen
KAS Eupen
KAS Eupen
KAS Eupen
KAS Eupen
KAS Eupen
KAS Eupen
KAS Eupen
Felice Mazzu
KAS Eupen
RFC Liège
KAS Eupen
4-1-4-1 · 5-4-1
RFC Liège
Commentary
90'
Full-time. KAS Eupen 3-1 RFC Liège.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
90'
KAS Eupen
Corner, KAS Eupen.
88'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
88'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
85'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
82'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
78'
KAS Eupen
Corner, KAS Eupen.
67'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
66'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
62'
KAS Eupen
Corner, KAS Eupen.
62'
KAS Eupen
Corner, KAS Eupen.
49'
Attempt blocked. B. Simakala (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.14.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. KAS Eupen 2-0 RFC Liège.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
45'
KAS Eupen
Corner, KAS Eupen.
40'
KAS Eupen
Corner, KAS Eupen.
23'
Goal! KAS Eupen 1-0 RFC Liège. R. D. Matteo (KAS Eupen) scores, assisted by A. Keita.
19'
KAS Eupen
Offside, KAS Eupen.
19'
KAS Eupen
Offside, KAS Eupen.
14'
Attempt missed. R. D. Matteo (KAS Eupen), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.
12'
KAS Eupen
Corner, KAS Eupen.
2'
KAS Eupen
Corner, KAS Eupen.
1'
Kick-off: KAS Eupen vs RFC Liège.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
19942 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.3%
-6.7 vs price
Draw
110.0 · implied 0.9%
4.8%
+3.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.1%
+3.0 vs price
Half time
395 EUR · live
Home
2.66 · implied 37.6%
76.7%
+39.1 vs price
Away
6.4 · implied 15.6%
17.2%
+1.6 vs price
Draw
2.04 · implied 49.0%
5.8%
-43.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
8988 EUR · live
Over
1.53 · implied 65.4%
65.6%
+0.2 vs price
Under
2.86 · implied 35.0%
34.4%
-0.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
269 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
68.7%
-25.7 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
31.2%
+25.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
23'
⚽
R. D. Matteo · assist A. Keita1–0
30'
VAR
No penalty · B. Simakala
36'
⚽
I. Nuhu · assist B. Simakala2–0
42'
🔁
M. Müller ◂ R. D. Matteo
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
O. Camara ◂ I. Kitoko
46'
🔁
R. Ogam ◂ A. Refai
50'
E. N'jo · Foul
55'
S. Paulet · Foul
65'
🔁
Kikas ◂ B. Simakala
65'
🔁
N. Dendani ◂ K. Ruiz-Atil
65'
🔁
K. Shkurti ◂ R. Wilmots
66'
🔁
B. Caliskan ◂ L. Delaurier-Chaubet
70'
⚽
Kikas · assist Y. V. Genechten3–0
74'
🔁
T. Maréchal ◂ A. Keita
74'
🔁
S. Vidigal ◂ I. Nuhu
82'
⚽
P. Ngawa · assist N. Dendani3–1
83'
🔁
A. Qevani ◂ S. Reynaerts
Full-time · 3–1
90'+3
A. Qevani · Violent conduct
90'+3
VAR
Card check · A. Qevani
Coaches
Felice MazzuGaetan Englebert 
Recent form
KAS EupenWAPatro Eisden Maasmechelen2-1
WAClub NXT U231-0
LAKSC Lokeren1-2
WHJong KRC Genk U234-1
LHRFC Seraing1-3
RFC LiègeDHClub NXT U234-4
DAKoninklijke Lierse Sportkring0-0
LHFCV Dender1-2
WAJong KRC Genk U233-2
LHRoyal Francs Borains1-2
About this match
**Eupen rolls in as firm favorites here** — they've won three of their last five, while Liège can't string together victories to save their lives. 🔥
Eupen's defense looks solid with the **Paeshuyse-Plastun** pairing anchoring things, and they've got attacking thrust through **Vidigal** and **Keita**. Liège meanwhile just drew 4-4 at home and lost to Dender; their inconsistency is begging to be punished on the road.
Key storylines:
- **Eupen's form vs Liège's chaos**: Three wins in five games for the hosts versus one win in five for the visitors — this gap is huge
- **Vidigal's creativity**: The attacking midfielder has been central to Eupen's recent success and will be key to breaking down Liège's fragile shape
- **Liège's defensive leaks**: They've conceded freely (including that wild 4-4) — Eupen's front four should find space
Expected lineups:
- **KAS Eupen**: A. Lejoly, R. Paeshuyse, I. Plastun, Y. V. Genechten, M. Müller, C. Nadje, A. Keita, S. Vidigal
- **RFC Liège**: O. Ravet, J. D'Ostilio, E. N'jo, P. Ngawa, R. Wilmots, B. Bruggeman, V. Guillaume, D. Mouchamps
Prediction:
**Eupen 2–0 Liège** — home team's edge in form and setup too pronounced. 📍
Where to watch
Betano
Match facts
Kickoff
19 Sep, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Challenger Pro League
Highlights & clips
KAS Eupen
4-1-4-1 · 5-4-1
RFC Liège
24
A. Lejoly
6.6
2
Y. V. Genechten
7.6
28
R. Paeshuyse
7.5
32
I. Plastun
6.1
5
N. Gavory
7.3
70
M. Fixelles
7.6
19
B. Caliskan
7.0
↑ 66'
27
M. Müller
7.3
↑ 42'
47
T. Maréchal
6.3
↑ 74'
17
S. Vidigal
6.4
↑ 74'
98
Kikas
7.0
↑ 65'
1
A. Andre Jr.
6.3
18
S. Paulet
5.9
16
E. N'jo
6.3
5
P. Ngawa
7.4
24
O. Camara
7.1
↑ 46'
9
A. Qevani
5.8
↑ 83'
15
R. Ogam
6.6
↑ 46'
6
K. Shkurti
6.7
↑ 65'
14
V. Guillaume
6.6
7
B. Bruggeman
6.0
11
N. Dendani
6.8
↑ 65'
Substitutes
44GJ. Renner
13DL. Youndje
3DM. Precious
14MR. D. Matteo↓ 42'7.7
18MA. Keita↓ 74'7.5
7MI. Nuhu↓ 74'7.4
22ML. Delaurier-Chaubet↓ 66'6.8
11FB. Simakala↓ 65'6.8
9FA. Sulejmani
Coach: Felice Mazzu
Substitutes
22GJ. Mpenza
2DI. Kitoko↓ 46'6.5
23DS. Reynaerts↓ 83'5.7
25DJ. D'Ostilio
13DD. Mouchamps
28MR. Wilmots↓ 65'7.7
8MK. Ruiz-Atil↓ 65'6.3
19MA. Refai↓ 46'5.6
17MA. N'Salambi
Coach: Gaetan Englebert
Top stats
50%Possession50%
1.64Expected goals (xG)1.55
17Total shots14
4Shots on target6
1Big chances4
8Corners7
Shots
9Shots off target6
4Blocked shots2
13Shots inside box12
4Shots outside box2
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed3
0.59Goals prevented-0.69
Attack
40Touches in box21
33Final third entries59
2Offsides0
8Free kicks12
0Fouled in final third3
Passing
419Passes415
325Accurate passes329
20/60 (33%)Long balls40/69 (58%)
4/15 (27%)Crosses7/20 (35%)
25Throw-ins26
Duels
52Duels48
35/68 (51%)Ground duels33/68 (49%)
21/40 (53%)Aerial duels19/40 (48%)
3/10 (30%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
8Dispossessed15
Defending
24Tackles15
88Tackles won73
8Interceptions15
26Clearances23
48Recoveries43
Discipline
12Fouls8
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
1Big saves0
11Goal kicks14
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 14 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67%
Who winsEupen to win (DNB) 67% · 1.33 @ 10bet
1X2Eupen to win 53% · 2.30 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.67 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 1.70 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.22 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 24% · 2.38 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.40 @ Bet365
1X2Club Liège to win 23% · 4.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56%
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.73
KAS Eupen
3.75
Draw
4.00
RFC Liège
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
KAS Eupen or Draw
1.22
KAS Eupen or RFC Liège
1.91
Draw or RFC Liège
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.15
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.70
Over 2.50
2.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.75
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.29
KAS Eupen
3.35
RFC Liège
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.30
KAS Eupen
2.38
Draw
4.50
RFC Liège
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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