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Emilio Ferrera
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Jong KRC Genk U23
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Jong KRC Genk U23
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1-0 Jong KRC Genk U23.
90+10'
Attempt missed. R. Nainggolan (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.
90+10'
Attempt blocked. Z. Atteri (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot. xG 0.35.
90+4'
Attempt saved. R. Nainggolan (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.
90'
11 minutes of added time.
80'
Attempt missed. T. Kasayanagi (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot. xG 0.30.
72'
Attempt saved. W. Kapers (Jong KRC Genk U23), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
61'
Attempt blocked. T. Kasayanagi (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1-0 Jong KRC Genk U23.
45'
5 minutes of added time.
39'
Goal! Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1-0 Jong KRC Genk U23. S. Hong (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen) scores, assisted by R. Takaoka.
36'
Attempt blocked. L. Verstraete (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.
9'
Attempt saved. K. Borry (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.21.
8'
Attempt blocked. S. Hong (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.19.
6'
Attempt missed. S. Hong (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.
1'
Kick-off: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs Jong KRC Genk U23.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
14'
S. Peeters · Foul
29'
VAR
Card upgraded to red · J. Coenen
30'
🔁
Z. Atteri ◂ S. Peeters
39'
⚽
S. Hong · assist R. Takaoka1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
S. E. Morabet ◂ C. Akpan
52'
W. Kapers · Argument
64'
VAR
Penalty awarded · M. Kim
68'
🔁
J. Driessen ◂ M. Kim
68'
🚫
Penalty missed · J. Coenen
69'
🔁
J. D. Groof ◂ K. Achahbar
70'
VAR
Review · J. Coenen
72'
R. Nainggolan · Foul
73'
VAR
Card upgraded to red · R. Nainggolan
82'
J. Coenen · Foul
85'
🔁
J. Bokila ◂ S. Hong
86'
🔁
L. A. Fernandez ◂ W. Kapers
86'
🔁
I. Delpupo ◂ T. Kasayanagi
Full-time · 1–0
90'+3
E. Mbavu · Argument
90'+3
🔁
H. Jahić ◂ L. Dietz
90'+5
D. Nzoko · Violent conduct
90'+7
J. Coenen · Foul
Coaches
Emilio FerreraIgor Camargo 
Recent form
Patro Eisden MaasmechelenLAFCV Dender0-1
LHKAS Eupen1-2
LAK. Beerschot V.A.2-4
LHClub NXT U231-2
LAKoninklijke Lierse Sportkring1-2
Jong KRC Genk U23DHRFC Seraing2-2
LARoyal Excelsior Virton0-3
WHKoninklijke Sporting Hasselt3-0
WAKSC Lokeren4-2
LHRFC Liège2-3
About this match
**Patro's in freefall, and Jong Genk smells blood.** This is a clash between a team that can't buy a win and a U23 outfit actually stringing results together. 📉
Patro haven't won in five—they're leaking goals at an alarming rate (lost 4, conceded 9 in their last three). Jong Genk, meanwhile, are showing real promise with two wins and a draw in their recent stretch, including a tidy 3-0 demolition of Hasselt.
Key storylines:
- **Patro's defensive chaos** vs **Jong Genk's attacking rhythm** — the visitors have momentum, the hosts are brittle
- **H. Mnoga and S. Hong** need to spark something up front, but they're operating behind a leaky backline
- **K. Achahbar and M. Kone** in midfield could control possession and punish Patro's lack of cohesion
Expected lineups:
- **Patro Eisden Maasmechelen**: J. Belin, K. Kis, L. Dietz, J. Renson, A. Penin, I. Delpupo, T. Kasayanagi, S. Peeters, L. Verstraete, H. Mnoga, S. Hong
- **Jong KRC Genk U23**: E. Doucouré, Y. Yoshinaga, E. Mbavu, A. Palacios, K. Pierre, J. Driessen, A. D. Wannemacker, K. Achahbar, M. Kone, D. Nzoko, M. Kim
Prediction:
**1-3 to Jong Genk.** The form gap is just too wide; Patro's struggling defense gets exposed by a visiting team in full flight. 🎯
Match facts
Kickoff
11 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Challenger Pro League
Highlights & clips
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Jong KRC Genk U23
1
J. Belin
8.9
22
H. Mnoga
7.0
5
H. Jahić
6.8
↑ 90'
24
K. Borry
6.8
27
J. Munezero
7.5
20
R. Takaoka
8.1
33
L. Verstraete
6.8
9
Z. Atteri
7.3
↑ 30'
77
I. Delpupo
6.5
↑ 86'
88
J. Bokila
6.5
↑ 85'
4
R. Nainggolan
7.6
97
E. Doucouré
6.9
54
S. E. Morabet
7.2
↑ 46'
73
E. Mbavu
6.2
34
A. Palacios
6.4
74
L. A. Fernandez
7.3
↑ 86'
79
D. Nzoko
6.3
24
N. Sattlberger
6.5
56
A. D. Wannemacker
7.2
77
J. D. Groof
6.7
↑ 69'
76
J. Driessen
6.9
↑ 68'
66
J. Coenen
6.5
Substitutes
37GK. Van Langendonck
2DL. Dietz↓ 90'6.9
62DA. Penin
8MS. Peeters↓ 30'6.7
10MT. Kasayanagi↓ 86'6.4
70MA. Saidiba
30MA. B. Sayin
34MT. Loutfi
7FS. Hong↓ 85'7.3
Coach: Emilio Ferrera
Substitutes
61GD. V. Laere
65DC. Akpan↓ 46'6.9
59DW. Kapers↓ 86'6.7
63DZ. Henry
22DB. Manguelle
78MK. Achahbar↓ 69'6.6
89MM. Kim↓ 68'6.2
53MM. Mocsnik
75MP. Ogbeiwi
Coach: Igor Camargo
Top stats
52%Possession48%
2.05Expected goals (xG)1.29
15Total shots8
4Shots on target5
3Big chances1
3Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target1
6Blocked shots2
14Shots inside box8
1Shots outside box0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed1
1.3Goals prevented-0.03
Attack
29Touches in box18
38Final third entries48
4Offsides5
19Free kicks14
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
369Passes346
275Accurate passes254
37/75 (49%)Long balls24/54 (44%)
5/10 (50%)Crosses1/11 (9%)
12Throw-ins29
Duels
56Duels44
55/97 (57%)Ground duels42/97 (43%)
21/38 (55%)Aerial duels17/38 (45%)
11/26 (42%)Dribbles10/23 (43%)
4Dispossessed12
Defending
25Tackles19
60Tackles won68
8Interceptions12
18Clearances20
49Recoveries39
Discipline
15Fouls19
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards2
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
1Big saves0
3Goal kicks5
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 68% · 3.70 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.85 @ William Hill
1X2Patro to win 54% · 2.00 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.92 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
Who winsPatro to win (DNB) 60% · 1.31 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 24% · 2.75 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
1X2Jong KRC Genk U23 to win 21% · 4.33 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.65
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
3.80
Draw
4.20
Jong KRC Genk U23
Double Chanceconsensus
1.15
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen or Draw
1.17
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen or Jong KRC Genk U23
2.06
Draw or Jong KRC Genk U23
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.59
Yes
2.20
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.70
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
4.79
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.59
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.40
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.30
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
3.35
Jong KRC Genk U23
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50
2.31
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.83
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.46
Over 10.50
1.49
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.29
Over 11.50
1.25
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.13
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
2.40
Draw
4.45
Jong KRC Genk U23
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
1.98
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
2.75
Draw
4.22
Jong KRC Genk U23
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✗
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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