KAS Eupen 1-2 K. Beerschot V.A.: Stats & xG – Oct 25, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. KAS Eupen 1-2 K. Beerschot V.A..

90+2'

D. Gyamfi

Yellow card for D. Gyamfi (K. Beerschot V.A.) for foul.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

G. Claes

Substitution, K. Beerschot V.A.: J. Bustin comes on for G. Claes.

88'

I. Plastun

VAR: goal for KAS Eupen ruled out.

87'

L. Delaurier-Chaubet

Attempt saved. L. Delaurier-Chaubet (KAS Eupen), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

87'

I. Plastun

Goal! KAS Eupen 1-2 K. Beerschot V.A.. I. Plastun (KAS Eupen) scores.

85'

A. Vula

VAR: no penalty for K. Beerschot V.A..

84'

A. Vula

Off the woodwork! A. Vula (K. Beerschot V.A.), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

83'

S. Audoor

Attempt blocked. S. Audoor (K. Beerschot V.A.), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

82'

A. H. Mohamed

Substitution, K. Beerschot V.A.: M. Govaers comes on for A. H. Mohamed.

81'

K. Beerschot V.A.

Offside, K. Beerschot V.A..

80'

K. Beerschot V.A.

Offside, K. Beerschot V.A..

79'

I. Plastun

Attempt missed. I. Plastun (KAS Eupen), header from a set piece. xG 0.10.

75'

M. Fixelles

Substitution, KAS Eupen: A. Keita comes on for M. Fixelles.

75'

N. Gavory

Substitution, KAS Eupen: L. Youndje comes on for N. Gavory.

75'

B. Simakala

Substitution, KAS Eupen: A. Sulejmani comes on for B. Simakala.

74'

G. Haraguchi

Substitution, K. Beerschot V.A.: M. Rits comes on for G. Haraguchi.

74'

D. Wright-Phillips

Substitution, K. Beerschot V.A.: T. Lake comes on for D. Wright-Phillips.

72'

Kikas

Attempt missed. Kikas (KAS Eupen), header from a throw-in. xG 0.14.

71'

G. Haraguchi

Attempt missed. G. Haraguchi (K. Beerschot V.A.), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

68'

A. Vula

Attempt blocked. A. Vula (K. Beerschot V.A.), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

67'

M. Müller

Substitution, KAS Eupen: Kikas comes on for M. Müller.

66'

K. Beerschot V.A.

Corner, K. Beerschot V.A..

61'

A. Vula

Goal! KAS Eupen 0-2 K. Beerschot V.A.. A. Vula (K. Beerschot V.A.) scores, assisted by D. Wright-Phillips.

59'

C. Nadje

Attempt missed. C. Nadje (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

55'

C. Nadje

Attempt blocked. C. Nadje (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

55'

R. Paeshuyse

Attempt missed. R. Paeshuyse (KAS Eupen), header from a corner. xG 0.14.

55'

KAS Eupen

Corner, KAS Eupen.

54'

KAS Eupen

Corner, KAS Eupen.

54'

B. Plat

Yellow card for B. Plat (K. Beerschot V.A.) for foul.

53'

F. Mazzu

Yellow card for F. Mazzu (KAS Eupen) for argument.

49'

L. Delaurier-Chaubet

Attempt missed. L. Delaurier-Chaubet (KAS Eupen), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.22.

48'

I. Nuhu

Attempt missed. I. Nuhu (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.37.

47'

C. Nadje

Attempt saved. C. Nadje (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

46'

KAS Eupen

Offside, KAS Eupen.

46'

B. Caliskan

Substitution, KAS Eupen: I. Nuhu comes on for B. Caliskan.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. KAS Eupen 0-1 K. Beerschot V.A..

45+7'

A. Vula

Attempt blocked. A. Vula (K. Beerschot V.A.), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45+6'

KAS Eupen

Offside, KAS Eupen.

45+4'

A. H. Mohamed

VAR check complete: the goal for K. Beerschot V.A. stands.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

A. H. Mohamed

Goal! KAS Eupen 0-1 K. Beerschot V.A.. A. H. Mohamed (K. Beerschot V.A.) scores, assisted by L. V. Eenoo.

43'

M. Fixelles

Yellow card for M. Fixelles (KAS Eupen) for foul.

43'

KAS Eupen

Corner, KAS Eupen.

42'

B. Caliskan

Attempt blocked. B. Caliskan (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

41'

L. Delaurier-Chaubet

Attempt blocked. L. Delaurier-Chaubet (KAS Eupen), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

41'

C. Nadje

Attempt missed. C. Nadje (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

39'

A. Lejoly

VAR: card upgraded for A. Lejoly (KAS Eupen).

37'

L. V. Eenoo

Attempt saved. L. V. Eenoo (K. Beerschot V.A.), right-footed shot. xG 0.22.

37'

C. Nadje

Attempt missed. C. Nadje (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.

31'

Y. V. Genechten

Attempt missed. Y. V. Genechten (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

27'

M. Fixelles

Attempt saved. M. Fixelles (KAS Eupen), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

23'

L. Delaurier-Chaubet

Attempt missed. L. Delaurier-Chaubet (KAS Eupen), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

20'

G. Claes

Attempt missed. G. Claes (K. Beerschot V.A.), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.

13'

KAS Eupen

Corner, KAS Eupen.

13'

L. Delaurier-Chaubet

Attempt saved. L. Delaurier-Chaubet (KAS Eupen), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.

9'

B. Simakala

Attempt blocked. B. Simakala (KAS Eupen), header. xG 0.12.

5'

M. Müller

Yellow card for M. Müller (KAS Eupen) for foul.

3'

K. Beerschot V.A.

Corner, K. Beerschot V.A..

3'

A. H. Mohamed

Attempt blocked. A. H. Mohamed (K. Beerschot V.A.), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

1'

Kick-off: KAS Eupen vs K. Beerschot V.A..

Where the money is

46173 EUR matched · captured 5 days, 5 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 16204 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

84.3%

-14.8 vs price

Home 170.0 · implied 0.6%

8.6%

+8.0 vs price

Draw 27.0 · implied 3.7%

8.6%

+4.9 vs price

Half time 1 EUR

Away 3.35 · implied 29.9%

90.9%

+61.0 vs price

Draw 2.52 · implied 39.7%

48.5%

+8.8 vs price

Home 3.35 · implied 29.9%

19.6%

-10.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 8278 EUR · live

Under 1.33 · implied 75.2%

75.3%

+0.1 vs price

Over 3.9 · implied 25.6%

24.8%

-0.8 vs price

9 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

5' M. Müller · Foul

39' VAR Card upgraded to red · A. Lejoly

43' M. Fixelles · Foul

44' ⚽ A. H. Mohamed · assist L. V. Eenoo0–1

Half-time · 0–1

45'⁺⁴ VAR Goal awarded · A. H. Mohamed

46' 🔁 I. Nuhu ◂ B. Caliskan

53' F. Mazzu · Argument

54' B. Plat · Foul

61' ⚽ A. Vula · assist D. Wright-Phillips0–2

67' 🔁 Kikas ◂ M. Müller

74' 🔁 T. Lake ◂ D. Wright-Phillips

74' 🔁 M. Rits ◂ G. Haraguchi

75' 🔁 A. Sulejmani ◂ B. Simakala

75' 🔁 L. Youndje ◂ N. Gavory

75' 🔁 A. Keita ◂ M. Fixelles

82' 🔁 M. Govaers ◂ A. H. Mohamed

85' VAR No penalty · A. Vula

87' ⚽ I. Plastun1–2

88' VAR Goal check · I. Plastun

Full-time · 1–2

90' 🔁 J. Bustin ◂ G. Claes

90'⁺² D. Gyamfi · Foul

Coaches

Felice Mazzu

Mohamed Messoudi

Recent form

KAS Eupen

WARSCA Futures U232-0

WHAlemannia Aachen3-1

WHRFC Liège3-1

WAPatro Eisden Maasmechelen2-1

WAClub NXT U231-0

K. Beerschot V.A.

WHRFC Liège5-1

WAKoninklijke Sporting Hasselt1-0

WHKoninklijke Lierse Sportkring3-1

WHPatro Eisden Maasmechelen4-2

WARSCA Futures U231-0

About this match

**Both teams are absolutely firing, but only one can stay perfect.** KAS Eupen and K. Beerschot V.A. roll into this Challenger Pro League clash unbeaten this stretch — this is basically a heavyweight collision in the second tier. 🔥

Eupen's won all five on the spin, grinding out clinical wins at home. Beerschot matching that pace with a thumping 5-1 over Liège shows serious firepower. The head-to-head leans Eupen's way (5 wins to 3), but momentum is mood and both are in the zone right now.

Key storylines:

- **B. Simakala** and Eupen's compact 4-1-4-1 built for control — can they stifle Beerschot's attacking thrust?
- **D. Wright-Phillips** leading Beerschot's press: Eupen's backline will need **R. Paeshuyse** and **I. Plastun** sharp to handle the intensity
- Head-to-head history favors **KAS Eupen**, but neither team knows how to drop points right now

Expected lineups:

- **KAS Eupen**: A. Lejoly, N. Gavory, R. Paeshuyse, I. Plastun, L. Delaurier-Chaubet, M. Müller, A. Keita, B. Simakala
- **K. Beerschot V.A.**: W. Popp, S. Audoor, B. Plat, D. Gyamfi, L. V. Eenoo, G. Haraguchi, J. Vossen, D. Wright-Phillips

Prediction:

**2-1 Eupen.** Slight edge to the hosts — the H2H record and home comfort in a coin-flip contest between two juggernaut streaks. 🎯

Where to watch

DAZN Belgium

Match facts

Kickoff

25 Oct, 15:00 UTC

Competition

Challenger Pro League

Highlights & clips

KAS Eupen 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1 K. Beerschot V.A.

24 A. Lejoly 5.7 2 Y. V. Genechten 6.9 28 R. Paeshuyse 7.1 32 I. Plastun 8.3 13 L. Youndje 6.8 ↑ 75' 18 A. Keita 6.7 ↑ 75' 22 L. Delaurier-Chaubet 6.8 98 Kikas 6.6 ↑ 67' 10 C. Nadje 7.5 7 I. Nuhu 6.6 ↑ 46' 9 A. Sulejmani 6.4 ↑ 75' 13 W. Popp 6.6 76 D. Gyamfi 7.9 6 B. V. d. Eynden 7.9 4 B. Plat 6.4 5 S. Audoor 7.1 20 M. Rits 6.4 ↑ 74' 8 L. V. Eenoo 8.2 19 J. Bustin ↑ 90' 7 T. Lake 6.4 ↑ 74' 3 M. Govaers 6.4 ↑ 82' 15 A. Vula 7.6

Substitutes

44GJ. Renner 5DN. Gavory↓ 75'7.1 3DM. Precious 70MM. Fixelles↓ 75'7.0 27MM. Müller↓ 67'6.5 19MB. Caliskan↓ 46'6.3 47MT. Maréchal 25MJ. Malhage 11FB. Simakala↓ 75'6.7

Coach: Felice Mazzu

Substitutes

26GB. Stevens 24DE. Jordanov 78MG. Haraguchi↓ 74'7.0 10MG. Claes↓ 90'6.7 41MT. Einaga 17MA. V. Himbeeck 21FA. H. Mohamed↓ 82'7.7 32FD. Wright-Phillips↓ 74'7.0 45FE. Brahić

Coach: Mohamed Messoudi

Top stats

54%Possession46%

2.11Expected goals (xG)1.26

19Total shots10

5Shots on target3

1Big chances3

4Corners2

Shots

10Shots off target3

4Blocked shots4

13Shots inside box8

6Shots outside box2

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed2

-0.65Goals prevented-0.2

Attack

26Touches in box21

48Final third entries61

2Offsides2

10Free kicks8

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

472Passes399

382Accurate passes320

28/69 (41%)Long balls19/58 (33%)

5/17 (29%)Crosses3/14 (21%)

25Throw-ins16

Duels

54Duels46

37/66 (56%)Ground duels29/66 (44%)

12/25 (48%)Aerial duels13/25 (52%)

5/14 (36%)Dribbles4/16 (25%)

8Dispossessed10

Defending

22Tackles17

64Tackles won71

8Interceptions11

26Clearances49

50Recoveries51

Discipline

8Fouls10

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

5Goal kicks13

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 13 bookmakers

Eupen 33%

27%

Beerschot 40%

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 1.55 @ Betway

1X2Beerschot to win 40% · 2.88 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 1.61 @ Bet365

Who winsEupen to win (DNB) 66% · 1.95 @ Betsson

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.18 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 27% · 2.38 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.50 @ Bet365

1X2Eupen to win 33% · 3.25 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.70

KAS Eupen

3.40

Draw

2.25

K. Beerschot V.A.

Double Chanceconsensus

1.53

KAS Eupen or Draw

1.29

KAS Eupen or K. Beerschot V.A.

1.40

Draw or K. Beerschot V.A.

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.50

Yes

2.40

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.18

Over 1.50

4.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.61

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.50

Over 3.50

1.50

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.33

Over 4.50

1.20

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.90

KAS Eupen

1.80

K. Beerschot V.A.

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.25

KAS Eupen

2.38

Draw

2.88

K. Beerschot V.A.

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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