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Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
G. Englebert
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
Gaetan Englebert
RFC Liège
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
RFC Liège
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Commentary
90'
Full-time. RFC Liège 2-3 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen.
90+6'
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Corner, Patro Eisden Maasmechelen.
90+5'
Attempt missed. J. Kaparos (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.13.
90+3'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
90'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
90'
G. Englebert
Yellow card for G. Englebert (RFC Liège) for argument.
88'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
85'
Attempt blocked. S. Reynaerts (RFC Liège), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.
81'
Goal! RFC Liège 2-3 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen. R. Ogam (RFC Liège) scores, assisted by K. Ruiz-Atil.
75'
Attempt saved. R. Nainggolan (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.
66'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
59'
Goal! RFC Liège 1-3 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen. S. Paulet (RFC Liège) converts the penalty.
55'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
54'
Attempt blocked. R. Takaoka (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.
52'
Attempt missed. R. Takaoka (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. RFC Liège 0-3 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen.
45+4'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
45+1'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
45'
5 minutes of added time.
43'
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Offside, Patro Eisden Maasmechelen.
22'
Goal! RFC Liège 0-3 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen. S. Hong (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen) scores, assisted by R. Takaoka.
21'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
17'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
12'
Goal! RFC Liège 0-2 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen. R. Nainggolan (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen) scores, assisted by R. Takaoka.
3'
Goal! RFC Liège 0-1 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen. H. Mnoga (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen) scores, assisted by J. Munezero.
1'
Kick-off: RFC Liège vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
19476 EUR · live
Away
1.13 · implied 88.5%
79.9%
-8.6 vs price
Home
880.0 · implied 0.1%
12.3%
+12.2 vs price
Draw
8.6 · implied 11.6%
9.5%
-2.2 vs price
Half time
125 EUR
Home
3.85 · implied 26.0%
50.7%
+24.8 vs price
Away
3.15 · implied 31.7%
43.7%
+12.0 vs price
Draw
2.36 · implied 42.4%
5.6%
-36.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
3111 EUR · live
Over
1.08 · implied 92.6%
89.3%
-3.3 vs price
Under
14.5 · implied 6.9%
10.8%
+3.9 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
3'
⚽
H. Mnoga · assist J. Munezero0–1
12'
⚽
R. Nainggolan · assist R. Takaoka0–2
14'
🔁
A. Andre Jr. ◂ O. Ravet
22'
⚽
S. Hong · assist R. Takaoka0–3
25'
R. Nainggolan · Foul
44'
J. D'Ostilio · Foul
Half-time · 0–3
45'+1
J. Belin · Time wasting
46'
🔁
D. Mouchamps ◂ N. Dendani
46'
🔁
S. Reynaerts ◂ A. Refai
59'
⚽
S. Paulet (pen)1–3
59'
VAR
Penalty awarded · H. Ondo-Eyi
63'
I. Delpupo · Foul
64'
H. Ondo-Eyi · Handball
69'
🔁
T. Kasayanagi ◂ S. Hong
69'
🔁
Z. Atteri ◂ I. Delpupo
72'
🔁
R. Ogam ◂ H. Ondo-Eyi
77'
🔁
O. Camara ◂ S. Paulet
81'
⚽
R. Ogam · assist K. Ruiz-Atil2–3
85'
Z. Atteri · Foul
86'
VAR
Goal not given after review · R. Wilmots
Full-time · 2–3
90'
G. Englebert · Argument
90'+1
🔁
J. Kaparos ◂ R. Nainggolan
90'+4
P. Ngawa · Foul
90'+6
VAR
No penalty · A. Andre Jr.
Coaches
Gaetan EnglebertEmilio Ferrera 
Recent form
RFC LiègeLAK. Beerschot V.A.1-5
DAAtert Bissen2-2
LAKAS Eupen1-3
DHClub NXT U234-4
DAKoninklijke Lierse Sportkring0-0
Patro Eisden MaasmechelenWHJong KRC Genk U231-0
LAFCV Dender0-1
LHKAS Eupen1-2
LAK. Beerschot V.A.2-4
LHClub NXT U231-2
About this match
**Two sides desperately hunting a W** — RFC Liège and Patro Eisden are both bleeding points, and Sunday's showdown could shake loose a crucial three. 🔥
Liège have drawn twice in their last five but also got hammered 1-5 at Beerschot; Patro pulled a rare win over Jong Genk but have lost four of their last five. Both are scanning the table nervously.
Key storylines:
- **RFC Liège's defensive fragility** vs a Patro outfit that can't stop leaking goals — whoever steadies the back line wins this
- **R. Nainggolan and the Patro midfield** have to impose themselves early or Liège's press will suffocate them
- **D. Mouchamps leading the Liège attack** — if he gets space, Patro's shaky defense is in trouble
Expected lineups:
- **RFC Liège**: O. Ravet, J. D'Ostilio, P. Ngawa, E. N'jo, O. Camara, R. Wilmots, B. Bruggeman, K. Ruiz-Atil, V. Guillaume, S. Paulet, D. Mouchamps
- **Patro Eisden Maasmechelen**: J. Belin, K. Kis, L. Dietz, J. Renson, A. Penin, S. Peeters, T. Kasayanagi, L. Verstraete, R. Nainggolan, H. Mnoga, S. Hong
Prediction:
**RFC Liège 2–1 Patro Eisden**
Liège edge it at home — slightly better form and Patro's fragility should crack first. 📍
Match facts
Kickoff
25 Oct, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Challenger Pro League
Highlights & clips
RFC Liège
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
1
A. Andre Jr.
7.3
↑ 14'
24
O. Camara
6.6
↑ 77'
16
E. N'jo
6.0
5
P. Ngawa
6.2
25
J. D'Ostilio
5.5
13
D. Mouchamps
6.4
↑ 46'
28
R. Wilmots
6.2
6
K. Shkurti
6.9
23
S. Reynaerts
6.6
↑ 46'
15
R. Ogam
7.2
↑ 72'
8
K. Ruiz-Atil
8.3
1
J. Belin
7.5
22
H. Mnoga
7.5
2
L. Dietz
6.2
24
K. Borry
6.1
27
J. Munezero
6.8
10
T. Kasayanagi
6.5
↑ 69'
33
L. Verstraete
6.6
15
S. Lahssaini
6.5
20
R. Takaoka
7.9
9
Z. Atteri
6.7
↑ 69'
18
J. Kaparos
↑ 90'
Substitutes
12GO. Ravet↓ 14'6.1
18MS. Paulet↓ 77'7.6
19MA. Refai↓ 46'6.4
14MV. Guillaume
11FN. Dendani↓ 46'6.7
26FH. Ondo-Eyi↓ 72'6.5
9FA. Qevani
20FN. Lawson
4FB. Wane
Coach: Gaetan Englebert
Substitutes
37GK. Van Langendonck
62DA. Penin
5DH. Jahić
4MR. Nainggolan↓ 90'7.6
77MI. Delpupo↓ 69'7.0
70MA. Saidiba
7FS. Hong↓ 69'7.1
25FJ. Dahlke
88FJ. Bokila
Coach: Emilio Ferrera
Top stats
49%Possession51%
1.92Expected goals (xG)1.27
10Total shots10
5Shots on target6
3Big chances2
4Corners0
Shots
3Shots off target3
2Blocked shots1
9Shots inside box7
1Shots outside box3
2Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed0
-0.4Goals prevented0.29
Attack
27Touches in box15
37Final third entries70
5Offsides0
20Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
434Passes468
344Accurate passes373
28/49 (57%)Long balls48/93 (52%)
4/20 (20%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
20Throw-ins23
Duels
54Duels46
48/83 (58%)Ground duels34/82 (41%)
22/47 (47%)Aerial duels25/47 (53%)
8/16 (50%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)
8Dispossessed11
Defending
20Tackles15
55Tackles won67
16Interceptions9
12Clearances19
50Recoveries45
Discipline
13Fouls21
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
6Goal kicks7
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers
1X2Patro to win 38% · 2.75 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.20 @ William Hill
Who winsClub Liège to win (DNB) 57% · 2.38 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.58 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.94 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.50 @ Bet365
1X2Club Liège to win 34% · 3.00 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.61
RFC Liège
3.25
Draw
2.38
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
RFC Liège or Draw
1.29
RFC Liège or Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
1.40
Draw or Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.63
Yes
2.10
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.83
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.78
Over 2.50
1.94
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.87
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.25
RFC Liège
1.57
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.48
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.26
Over 10.50
1.58
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.93
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.25
RFC Liège
2.20
Draw
3.00
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.96
RFC Liège
2.48
Draw
2.75
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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