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RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Seraing
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Seraing
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Seraing
RFC Liège
RFC Liège
RFC Seraing
Arnaud Mercier
RFC Seraing
RFC Liège
RFC Seraing
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
RFC Liège
Commentary
90'
Full-time. RFC Seraing 1-0 RFC Liège.
90+1'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
90'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
83'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
80'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
64'
RFC Seraing
Corner, RFC Seraing.
62'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
59'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
57'
RFC Seraing
Corner, RFC Seraing.
56'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
55'
RFC Liège
Corner, RFC Liège.
49'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. RFC Seraing 1-0 RFC Liège.
45+4'
Attempt blocked. A. Namri (RFC Seraing), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
44'
RFC Seraing
Corner, RFC Seraing.
38'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
35'
RFC Liège
Offside, RFC Liège.
8'
RFC Seraing
Corner, RFC Seraing.
1'
Kick-off: RFC Seraing vs RFC Liège.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
18324 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.3%
-4.7 vs price
Away
220.0 · implied 0.5%
3.5%
+3.0 vs price
Draw
14.0 · implied 7.1%
3.2%
-4.0 vs price
Half time
7 EUR
Draw
2.38 · implied 42.0%
91.3%
+49.2 vs price
Home
3.05 · implied 32.8%
78.6%
+45.8 vs price
Away
3.85 · implied 26.0%
8.8%
-17.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5918 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.0%
-24.0 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
25.6%
+23.6 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
7'
P. Ngawa · Handball
20'
H. Ondo-Eyi · Foul
21'
VAR
Red card given · H. Ondo-Eyi
36'
S. Paulet · Foul
41'
M. Scarpinati · Argument
44'
⚽
M. Diop · assist A. Tunkadi1–0
Half-time · 1–0
45'+1
K. Shkurti · Foul
45'+1
E. N'jo · Foul
45'+3
VAR
Card upgraded to red · E. N'jo
46'
🔁
R. Ogam ◂ N. Dendani
46'
🔁
R. Wilmots ◂ S. Paulet
60'
🔁
T. Lockman ◂ S. Faye
65'
T. Lockman · Foul
67'
🔁
N. Bouchentouf ◂ F. Mabani
71'
🔁
A. N'Salambi ◂ S. Reynaerts
76'
🔁
Y. Lawson ◂ A. Messoussa
81'
🔁
A. Qevani ◂ K. Ruiz-Atil
82'
🔁
O. Camara ◂ V. Guillaume
84'
A. Qevani · Foul
86'
Y. Lawson · Simulation
Full-time · 1–0
90'+2
A. Namri · Foul
Coaches
Arnaud MercierGaetan Englebert 
Recent form
RFC SeraingWHRoyal Excelsior Virton3-1
LAKAA Gent Reserve U232-3
DAJong KRC Genk U232-2
LHKoninklijke Sporting Hasselt1-2
LAFCV Dender0-2
RFC LiègeLHPatro Eisden Maasmechelen2-3
LAK. Beerschot V.A.1-5
DAAtert Bissen2-2
LAKAS Eupen1-3
DHClub NXT U234-4
About this match
**Seraing looking to keep rolling while Liège searches for a win** — the home side have found some groove with a recent victory, but Liège are in proper freefall and desperate to avoid another stumble. 🔴
Seraing's 1W-1D-3L record masks a team trending up (just beat Virton 3-1 at home), while Liège sit winless in five and leaking goals (5 conceded to Beerschot last time out). Classic setup for the in-form side to punish.
Key storylines:
- **M. Gnemagnon and A. Messoussa** spearheading Seraing's attack against a Liège backline that's been shaky all month
- Seraing's defensive spine of **M. Diop and V. Corneillie** will be tested by **O. Camara** and **R. Ogam** up front
- **W. Bahri** controlling the midfield for Seraing; Liège need **R. Wilmots** to impose himself to stay competitive
Expected lineups:
- **RFC Seraing**: N. Gillekens, M. Diop, V. Corneillie, O. Kebe, M. Muland, A. Tunkadi, W. Bahri, M. Scarpinati, F. Mabani, M. Gnemagnon, A. Messoussa
- **RFC Liège**: A. Andre Jr., B. Bruggeman, P. Ngawa, E. N'jo, J. D'Ostilio, K. Ruiz-Atil, R. Wilmots, V. Guillaume, S. Paulet, O. Camara, R. Ogam
Prediction:
**Seraing 2–0 Liège** — home advantage and momentum favor the hosts; Liège's form is too fragile to fancy here. 📊
Match facts
Kickoff
30 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Challenger Pro League
RFC Seraing
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
RFC Liège
1
N. Gillekens
7.1
6
E. Tshimbalanga
7.1
5
V. Corneillie
8.0
15
M. Diop
7.9
3
O. Kebe
7.0
24
T. Lockman
6.2
↑ 60'
7
A. Namri
7.3
22
M. Scarpinati
6.9
19
N. Bouchentouf
6.5
↑ 67'
23
Y. Lawson
6.2
↑ 76'
20
A. Tunkadi
6.9
22
J. Mpenza
6.0
28
R. Wilmots
7.5
↑ 46'
16
E. N'jo
6.9
5
P. Ngawa
7.1
17
A. N'Salambi
6.6
↑ 71'
6
K. Shkurti
7.0
13
D. Mouchamps
6.8
24
O. Camara
6.4
↑ 82'
9
A. Qevani
6.5
↑ 81'
15
R. Ogam
6.4
↑ 46'
26
H. Ondo-Eyi
3.3
Substitutes
16GR. Jean-Baptiste
14MF. Mabani↓ 67'7.2
10MS. Faye↓ 60'7.0
25MR. Aamer
21MV. D. Crescenzo
36MA. Bisevac
27FA. Messoussa↓ 76'6.7
29FN. Velleuer
4R. Biševac
Coach: Arnaud Mercier
Substitutes
1GA. Andre Jr.
23DS. Reynaerts↓ 71'6.1
8MK. Ruiz-Atil↓ 81'6.9
14MV. Guillaume↓ 82'6.9
18MS. Paulet↓ 46'6.1
19MA. Refai
11FN. Dendani↓ 46'6.5
4FB. Wane
20FN. Lawson
Coach: Gaetan Englebert
Top stats
57%Possession43%
0.64Expected goals (xG)0.19
11Total shots3
4Shots on target1
2Big chances0
3Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target2
3Blocked shots0
5Shots inside box2
6Shots outside box1
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
0.03Goals prevented-0.7
Attack
19Touches in box10
75Final third entries41
0Offsides4
14Free kicks21
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
528Passes381
450Accurate passes289
21/50 (42%)Long balls23/69 (33%)
4/15 (27%)Crosses1/15 (7%)
22Throw-ins23
Duels
48Duels54
34/79 (43%)Ground duels46/80 (57%)
19/32 (59%)Aerial duels15/32 (47%)
6/19 (32%)Dribbles5/14 (36%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles23
73Tackles won70
9Interceptions14
29Clearances15
54Recoveries50
Discipline
21Fouls14
4Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
5Goal kicks11
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers
Who winsRFC Seraing to win (DNB) 70% · 1.58 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 4.00 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
1X2Club Liège to win 34% · 3.38 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.48 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.51 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle
1X2RFC Seraing to win 40% · 2.50 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.44 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
RFC Seraing
3.40
Draw
3.10
RFC Liège
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
RFC Seraing or Draw
1.25
RFC Seraing or RFC Liège
1.62
Draw or RFC Liège
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.20
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.06
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.34
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.55
RFC Seraing
2.30
RFC Liège
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.47
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.27
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.08
Over 11.50
1.29
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.63
RFC Seraing
2.20
Draw
3.70
RFC Liège
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.43
RFC Seraing
2.50
Draw
3.25
RFC Liège
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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