Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Two struggling sides collide in Cincinnati, and frankly, neither can afford another stumble.** Both teams are 1W-1D-3L over their last five — this is a desperation match dressed up as mid-week MLS 🔥
FC Cincinnati have been leaky at home (0-2 vs Columbus, 2-3 vs New England), but showed fight away at Atlanta (3-1). DC United are in freefall after that 0-4 hammering to Inter Miami, though they scraped a 2-1 over New York recently. The H2H leans DC's way historically (6 wins to Cincy's 4), but form is irrelevant when both teams are hemorrhaging.
Key storylines:
- **FC Cincinnati** will rely on **K. Denkey** and **T. Barlow** to break down a DC defense missing three players to knock injuries
- **DC United** have **T. Baribo** and **N. Ordaz** tasked with salvaging points on the road, but suspensions and injuries have left them threadbare
- Home advantage could be the difference — **TQL Stadium** usually gives Cincy a lift, and they desperately need it
Expected lineups:
- **FC Cincinnati**: R. Celentano, T. Hadebe, A. Chirila, N. Hagglund, K. Smith, E. Echenique, P. Bucha, G. Valenzuela, S. Gidi, K. Denkey, T. Barlow
- **DC United**: S. Johnson, K. Nono, K. Kurokawa, K. Rowles, S. Hefti, A. Dozzell, Peglow, B. Servania, J. Hopkins, T. Baribo, N. Ordaz
Prediction:
**FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC United**
Home edge and DC's injury crisis give Cincinnati a slim lean, though neither side inspires confidence.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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