Boca Juniors 0-1 Vasco da Gama: Stats & xG – Oct 14, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Boca Juniors 0-1 Vasco da Gama.

90+7'

E. Valencia

Attempt blocked. E. Valencia (Boca Juniors), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.43.

90+7'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

90+4'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

90+4'

M. Merentiel

Attempt blocked. M. Merentiel (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

86'

S. Ascacíbar

Substitution, Boca Juniors: Á. Romero comes on for S. Ascacíbar.

84'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

84'

M. Merentiel

Attempt saved. M. Merentiel (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

82'

A. Lescano

Substitution, Vasco da Gama: R. Rique comes on for A. Lescano.

82'

P. Henrique

Substitution, Vasco da Gama: P. Rodríguez comes on for P. Henrique.

81'

L. Blanco

Attempt missed. L. Blanco (Boca Juniors), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

78'

B. Duarte

Substitution, Vasco da Gama: Brenner comes on for B. Duarte.

78'

S. Sosa

Substitution, Vasco da Gama: G. Pereira comes on for S. Sosa.

77'

S. Villa

Attempt blocked. S. Villa (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

75'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

75'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

73'

S. Villa

Attempt missed. S. Villa (Boca Juniors), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

72'

S. Ascacíbar

Off the woodwork! S. Ascacíbar (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

69'

E. Valencia

Attempt missed. E. Valencia (Boca Juniors), header. xG 0.11.

68'

Adson

Substitution, Vasco da Gama: Tchê Tchê comes on for Adson.

67'

C. Palacios

Substitution, Boca Juniors: M. Merentiel comes on for C. Palacios.

64'

A. Gómez

Second yellow card for A. Gómez (Vasco da Gama), who is sent off.

63'

A. Gómez

Yellow card for A. Gómez (Vasco da Gama).

61'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

61'

S. Ascacíbar

Attempt missed. S. Ascacíbar (Boca Juniors), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

61'

S. Villa

Attempt saved. S. Villa (Boca Juniors), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

60'

F. Herrera

Attempt missed. F. Herrera (Boca Juniors), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

60'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

58'

W. Alarcón

Substitution, Boca Juniors: S. Villa comes on for W. Alarcón.

55'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

54'

P. Henrique

Attempt missed. P. Henrique (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

51'

S. Sosa

Yellow card for S. Sosa (Vasco da Gama) for foul.

47'

Adson

Attempt blocked. Adson (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Boca Juniors 0-1 Vasco da Gama.

45+1'

L. Lozano

Attempt missed. L. Lozano (Boca Juniors), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

44'

Adson

Yellow card for Adson (Vasco da Gama) for foul.

43'

A. Saldivia

Attempt blocked. A. Saldivia (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.10.

43'

B. Duarte

Attempt missed. B. Duarte (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

36'

S. Ascacíbar

Attempt missed. S. Ascacíbar (Boca Juniors), header. xG 0.09.

35'

L. Lozano

Attempt missed. L. Lozano (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

35'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

33'

Cuiabano

Attempt missed. Cuiabano (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

31'

L. Blanco

Attempt missed. L. Blanco (Boca Juniors), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

28'

Boca Juniors

Offside, Boca Juniors.

25'

Adson

Goal! Boca Juniors 0-1 Vasco da Gama. Adson (Vasco da Gama) scores, assisted by A. Gómez.

22'

L. Flores

Attempt missed. L. Flores (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.

18'

Vasco da Gama

Offside, Vasco da Gama.

17'

S. Ascacíbar

Attempt blocked. S. Ascacíbar (Boca Juniors), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

13'

L. D. Lollo

Attempt blocked. L. D. Lollo (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

10'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

8'

M. Delgado

Yellow card for M. Delgado (Boca Juniors) for foul.

7'

Adson

Attempt blocked. Adson (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

6'

Adson

Attempt blocked. Adson (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

5'

B. Duarte

Attempt saved. B. Duarte (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

5'

Vasco da Gama

Corner, Vasco da Gama.

1'

Kick-off: Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama.

Where the money is

654577 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 326107 EUR · live

Away 1.03 · implied 97.1%

61.9%

-35.2 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

29.5%

+29.4 vs price

Draw 14.0 · implied 7.1%

8.7%

+1.5 vs price

Half time 881 EUR

Draw 2.04 · implied 49.0%

79.9%

+30.9 vs price

Home 3.05 · implied 32.8%

17.0%

-15.8 vs price

Away 5.3 · implied 18.9%

3.0%

-15.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 111227 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

85.2%

-13.8 vs price

Over 36.0 · implied 2.8%

14.8%

+12.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 56 EUR

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

62.7%

-30.8 vs price

Over 15.5 · implied 6.5%

35.8%

+29.3 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

8' M. Delgado · Foul

25' ⚽ Adson · assist A. Gómez0–1

44' Adson · Foul

Half-time · 0–1

51' S. Sosa · Foul

58' 🔁 S. Villa ◂ W. Alarcón

63' A. Gómez

64' A. Gómez · Argument

67' 🔁 M. Merentiel ◂ C. Palacios

68' 🔁 Tchê Tchê ◂ Adson

78' 🔁 G. Pereira ◂ S. Sosa

78' 🔁 Brenner ◂ B. Duarte

82' 🔁 P. Rodríguez ◂ P. Henrique

82' 🔁 R. Rique ◂ A. Lescano

86' 🔁 Á. Romero ◂ S. Ascacíbar

Full-time · 0–1

Coaches

Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Pedro Emanuel

Recent form

Boca Juniors

DAInstituto De Córdoba2-2

WHClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe3-0

WASan Lorenzo2-0

DASão Paulo1-1

WHCentral Córdoba3-1

Vasco da Gama

DHRemo0-0

WABotafogo2-1

WHCoritiba5-0

WHIndependiente Santa Fe2-0

WAGrêmio2-1

About this match

**Boca's home fortress meets Vasco's resurgent form in a heavyweight Copa Sudamericana clash.** Both teams are absolutely humming right now, but only one can survive the Bombonera. 🔥

Boca's racked up three wins in their last five with some serious defensive grit, while Vasco just demolished Coritiba 5-0 and are riding a four-win streak. The wrinkle? Boca's at home, dealing with injuries to key defenders Velasco and Paredes, and Vasco's momentum might just be too spicy to contain.

Key storylines:

- **Boca's backline depth** tested hard without Velasco and Paredes against a Vasco attack firing on all cylinders
- **Vasco's attacking rhythm** — they've scored 12 goals in their last five; can **B. Duarte** and the midfield keep it rolling?
- Late kickoff and altitude advantage favor **Boca**, but Vasco's form says otherwise

Expected lineups:

- **Boca Juniors**: Á. Montero, L. Blanco, L. D. Lollo, F. Herrera, L. Lozano, S. Ascacíbar, M. Delgado, C. R. Domenech, L. Flores, M. Merentiel, S. Villa
- **Vasco da Gama**: L. Jardim, R. Renan, L. Piton, A. Saldivia, P. Rodríguez, T. Mendes, S. Sosa, A. Gómez, C. Barros, R. Rique, B. Duarte

Prediction:

**2-2 draw** — both squads have the horses to score, but Boca's missing pieces in defense keep them honest. Slight edge to Vasco's form, but home cooking saves Boca.

Where to watch

+SBTDisney+ BrazilESPNParamount+SBTSBT São PauloYouTube - SBT Sports

Match facts

Stadium

Alberto Jose Armando

City

Buenos Aires

Referee

Piero Maza

3.95 yellows/match · 39 matches

Kickoff

14 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Competition

Copa Sudamericana

Highlights & clips

Boca Juniors 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1 Vasco da Gama

1 Á. Montero 7.1 17 L. Lozano 6.4 2 L. D. Lollo 7.4 42 F. Herrera 6.8 3 L. Blanco 7.4 18 M. Delgado 7.3 22 S. Villa 7.4 ↑ 58' 11 Á. Romero 6.7 ↑ 86' 16 M. Merentiel 6.6 ↑ 67' 19 L. Flores 6.4 30 E. Valencia 6.0 1 L. Jardim 7.5 2 P. Rodríguez 7.1 ↑ 82' 4 A. Saldivia 6.9 30 R. Renan 7.8 66 Cuiabano 6.8 55 G. Pereira 6.9 ↑ 78' 3 Tchê Tchê 6.5 ↑ 68' 83 R. Rique 6.4 ↑ 82' 23 T. Mendes 7.5 11 A. Gómez 6.4 20 Brenner 6.7 ↑ 78'

Substitutes

12GL. Brey 32DA. Costa 26DM. Pellegrino 27DM. Braida 24DD. Gorosito 4DN. Figal 15MW. Alarcón↓ 58'6.9 7MC. Palacios↓ 67'6.4 25MS. Ascacíbar↓ 86'6.4 6MR. Battaglia 53MJ. Ruíz 9FM. Giménez

Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Substitutes

13GD. Fuzato 96DP. Henrique↓ 82'7.8 6DL. Piton 43DL. Freitas 5MS. Sosa↓ 78'7.2 22MA. Lescano↓ 82'6.7 8MJair 18MM. Hinestroza 17MN. Moreira 28FAdson↓ 68'7.7 19FB. Duarte↓ 78'6.5 7FDavid

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

Top stats

61%Possession39%

1.47Expected goals (xG)0.44

18Total shots9

2Shots on target2

1Big chances1

9Corners1

Shots

11Shots off target3

5Blocked shots4

10Shots inside box5

8Shots outside box4

2Hit woodwork0

1Big chances missed1

0.2Goals prevented0.26

Attack

34Touches in box13

74Final third entries45

1Offsides1

11Free kicks8

4Fouled in final third2

Passing

532Passes366

445Accurate passes285

27/53 (51%)Long balls17/47 (36%)

10/48 (21%)Crosses2/10 (20%)

28Throw-ins19

Duels

48Duels52

38/79 (48%)Ground duels41/79 (52%)

14/30 (47%)Aerial duels16/30 (53%)

11/17 (65%)Dribbles18/27 (67%)

11Dispossessed8

Defending

17Tackles17

82Tackles won59

13Interceptions9

19Clearances58

63Recoveries56

Discipline

8Fouls11

1Yellow cards4

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

1Big saves1

7Goal kicks14

0Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Boca Juniors 51%

29%

Vasco 20%

Who winsBoca Juniors to win (DNB) 80% · 1.45 @ Betsson

BTTSBTTS: No 61% · 1.61 @ Betway

1X2Boca Juniors to win 51% · 1.83 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 29% · 3.25 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74%

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73%

1X2Vasco to win 20% · 4.75 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.83

Boca Juniors

3.25

Draw

4.75

Vasco da Gama

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.35

Yes

1.55

No

Draw No Betconsensus

1.36

Boca Juniors

3.00

Vasco da Gama

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Boca Juniors to avoid defeat

✗

80% confidence

Boca Juniors to win or draw

✗

80% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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