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Robert Moreno
South Korea
Ecuador
South Korea
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Ecuador
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
131710 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.6%
-21.4 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.1%
+12.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.6%
+10.5 vs price
Half time
1111 EUR · live
Draw
1.7 · implied 58.8%
54.6%
-4.3 vs price
Away
5.0 · implied 20.0%
42.9%
+22.9 vs price
Home
3.25 · implied 30.8%
2.3%
-28.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
92158 EUR · live
Under
1.34 · implied 74.6%
68.5%
-6.1 vs price
Over
3.9 · implied 25.6%
31.5%
+5.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
12045 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
98.7%
+0.7 vs price
Over
44.0 · implied 2.3%
1.3%
-1.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
J. Porozo · Foul
14'
J. S. Park · Foul
21'
K. Arroyo · Handball
31'
J. Caicedo · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+1
H. Lee · Argument
45'+1
P. Estupiñán · Argument
47'
S. Jeong · Foul
52'
Á. Preciado · Foul
52'
VAR
Card check · Á. Preciado
54'
⚽
H. Oh · assist K. Min-jae1–0
58'
⚽
S. Heung-min2–0
62'
J. Lee · Foul
65'
🔁
T. Lee ◂ H. Lee
65'
🔁
K. Bong-Soo ◂ S. Jeong
65'
🔁
T. H. Kim ◂ H. T. Cho
65'
🔁
H. Hee-chan ◂ J. S. Park
66'
🔁
John Mercado ◂ K. Arroyo
67'
🔁
J. Angulo ◂ J. Caicedo
67'
🔁
D. Castillo ◂ P. Vite
74'
🔁
A. Minda ◂ N. Angulo
75'
🔁
O. Se-Hun ◂ H. Oh
75'
🔁
M. Kim ◂ M. Song
75'
🔁
W. Cho ◂ K. Min-jae
75'
🔁
A. Valencia ◂ J. Yeboah
85'
🔁
D. G. Lee ◂ S. Heung-min
86'
⚽
D. G. Lee · assist K. Bong-Soo3–0
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Robert MorenoMarcelo Gallardo 
Recent form
South KoreaLASouth Africa0-1
LAMexico0-1
WHCzechia2-1
WHEl Salvador1-0
WHTrinidad and Tobago5-0
EcuadorLAMexico0-2
WHGermany2-1
DHCuraçao0-0
LACôte d'Ivoire0-1
WHGuatemala3-0
About this match
**South Korea flexing at home against an Ecuador side riding high off that shock win over Germany** — expect the hosts to control this one. 🇰🇷
SK's mixing moments of brilliance with occasional sloppiness on the road, but they're playing at home where things feel more stable. Ecuador's got serious talent — that Germany scalp shows they can punish mistakes — yet they've dropped points to lesser sides lately.
Key storylines:
- **Son Heung-min** and **S. Paik** will be the creative engine in SK's attacking third; can they unlock Ecuador's backline early?
- Ecuador's midfield trio of **M. Caicedo**, **P. Vite**, and **G. Plata** need to control tempo and limit SK's transition threat.
- **Min-jae Kim** anchoring SK's defense against Ecuador's two-striker setup — a battle of structure vs. flair.
Expected lineups:
- **South Korea**: K. Seung-gyu, K. Min-jae, S. Paik, S. Heung-min, Y. Hyun-Jun, H. In-beom
- **Ecuador**: G. Valle, W. Pacho, M. Caicedo, G. Plata, J. Yeboah, E. Valencia
Prediction:
**South Korea 2-1 Ecuador**
Slight edge to the hosts in a competitive friendly where Ecuador keeps it tight but SK's home comforts push them over.
Where to watch
Betano
TC TelevisionTeleamazonas TV
Coupang Play
Match facts
Kickoff
24 Sep, 11:00 UTC
Competition
International Friendly Games
Highlights & clips
South Korea
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Ecuador
1
K. Seung-gyu
7.4
22
Y. W. Seol
6.6
5
T. H. Kim
7.1
↑ 65'
28
W. Cho
6.7
↑ 75'
13
T. Lee
6.7
↑ 65'
24
K. Bong-Soo
6.9
↑ 65'
11
H. Hee-chan
6.9
↑ 65'
10
J. Lee
6.6
20
O. Se-Hun
6.4
↑ 75'
27
M. Kim
6.3
↑ 75'
14
D. G. Lee
7.7
↑ 85'
1
H. Galíndez
5.1
17
Á. Preciado
5.9
25
J. Porozo
6.0
6
W. Pacho
6.3
7
P. Estupiñán
6.1
18
D. Castillo
6.4
↑ 67'
21
A. Franco
6.2
23
John Mercado
6.2
↑ 66'
8
A. Valencia
6.6
↑ 75'
14
A. Minda
6.5
↑ 74'
13
J. Angulo
6.5
↑ 67'
Substitutes
21GJ. Hyeonwoo
12GB. Song
4DK. Min-jae↓ 75'7.1
2DH. Lee↓ 65'6.9
26DH. T. Cho↓ 65'6.7
15DC. Jun
3DT. Kim
25DK. Gun-Hee
16MJ. S. Park↓ 65'6.9
29MS. Jeong↓ 65'6.6
17MM. Song↓ 75'6.6
30MT. Park
8MS. Paik
18FH. Oh↓ 75'8.1
7FS. Heung-min↓ 85'8.0
Coach: Robert Moreno
Substitutes
12GM. Ramírez
22GG. Valle
19DJ. A. Hurtado
2DF. Torres
15MP. Vite↓ 67'6.7
20MN. Angulo↓ 74'6.6
11MK. Arroyo↓ 66'6.3
5MJ. Alcivar
16MJ. Sarmiento
9FJ. Caicedo↓ 67'6.7
10FJ. Yeboah↓ 75'6.3
Coach: Marcelo Gallardo
Top stats
59%Possession41%
0.7Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.43
11Total shots10
5Shots on target3
2Big chances0
2Corners5
Shots
5Shots off target3
1Blocked shots4
5Shots inside box2
6Shots outside box8
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
Attack
13Touches in box9
36Final third entries43
1Offsides1
21Free kicks16
5Fouled in final third3
Passing
495Passes336
440Accurate passes280
12/25 (48%)Long balls27/49 (55%)
2/9 (22%)Crosses1/11 (9%)
7Throw-ins9
Duels
47Duels53
32/70 (46%)Ground duels38/70 (54%)
6/11 (55%)Aerial duels5/11 (45%)
3/7 (43%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
9Dispossessed4
Defending
10Tackles13
100Tackles won69
8Interceptions13
20Clearances11
47Recoveries43
Discipline
16Fouls21
4Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
1Big saves0
4Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsSouth Korea to win (DNB) 71% · 1.62 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.15 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.25 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 72% · 1.22 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 60% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 29% · 2.37 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ 1xBet
1X2Ecuador to win 29% · 3.45 @ 1xBet
1X2South Korea to win 42% · 2.70 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 2.07 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.30 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.20
South Korea
3.25
Draw
3.17
Ecuador
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
South Korea or Draw
1.33
South Korea or Ecuador
1.57
Draw or Ecuador
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes
1.85
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.05
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.90
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.56
South Korea
2.25
Ecuador
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.60
Over 7.50
2.18
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
2.04
Over 8.50
1.69
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.57
Over 9.50
1.44
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.32
Over 10.50
1.22
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.40
Over 11.50
1.10
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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