Bournemouth 3-0 Aston Villa: Stats, xG & Lineups

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Carabao Cup ·Wed 28 Oct

Bournemouth

3–0

HT 1–0

Full time

Aston Villa

Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth · Ref: Tony Harrington

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Bournemouth 3-0 Aston Villa.

90+2'

Aston Villa

Offside, Aston Villa.

90+2'

Bournemouth

Offside, Bournemouth.

90'

2 minutes of added time.

90'

L. Cook

Attempt missed. L. Cook (Bournemouth), header. xG 0.07.

85'

D. Brooks

Attempt missed. D. Brooks (Bournemouth), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

84'

Alysson

Attempt missed. Alysson (Aston Villa), header. xG 0.23.

80'

Á. Rodriguez

Substitution, Bournemouth: E. J. Kroupi comes on for Á. Rodriguez.

78'

A. Garnacho

Attempt saved. A. Garnacho (Aston Villa), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

76'

J. Kluivert

Attempt missed. J. Kluivert (Bournemouth), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

75'

B. Madjo

Substitution, Aston Villa: T. Abraham comes on for B. Madjo.

73'

Bournemouth

Offside, Bournemouth.

72'

B. Madjo

Attempt saved. B. Madjo (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

70'

E. Buendía

Substitution, Aston Villa: R. Barkley comes on for E. Buendía.

70'

L. Goretzka

Substitution, Aston Villa: J. McGinn comes on for L. Goretzka.

69'

Á. Rodriguez

Goal! Bournemouth 3-0 Aston Villa. Á. Rodriguez (Bournemouth) scores, assisted by T. Adams.

68'

T. Harwood-Bellis

Attempt saved. T. Harwood-Bellis (Aston Villa), header from a set piece. xG 0.09.

67'

L. Cook

Yellow card for L. Cook (Bournemouth) for foul.

66'

D. Brooks

Attempt saved. D. Brooks (Bournemouth), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.17.

63'

Á. Rodriguez

Attempt missed. Á. Rodriguez (Bournemouth), header from a corner. xG 0.82.

63'

B. Doak

Substitution, Bournemouth: D. Brooks comes on for B. Doak.

63'

R. Christie

Substitution, Bournemouth: T. Adams comes on for R. Christie.

62'

Bournemouth

Corner, Bournemouth.

62'

J. Kluivert

Attempt blocked. J. Kluivert (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

61'

J. Kluivert

Attempt missed. J. Kluivert (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

60'

E. Buendía

Attempt missed. E. Buendía (Aston Villa), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

59'

J. Gomes

Attempt saved. J. Gomes (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

59'

Alysson

Attempt missed. Alysson (Aston Villa), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

59'

Aston Villa

Corner, Aston Villa.

58'

Alysson

Attempt blocked. Alysson (Aston Villa), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

58'

G. Hemmings

Substitution, Aston Villa: A. Garnacho comes on for G. Hemmings.

58'

I. Mbaye

Substitution, Aston Villa: Alysson comes on for I. Mbaye.

54'

J. Gomes

Yellow card for J. Gomes (Aston Villa) for foul.

51'

L. Cook

Goal! Bournemouth 2-0 Aston Villa. L. Cook (Bournemouth) scores, assisted by B. Doak.

50'

Bournemouth

Corner, Bournemouth.

50'

J. Sánchez

Attempt saved. J. Sánchez (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

48'

Bournemouth

Corner, Bournemouth.

47'

I. Mbaye

Attempt blocked. I. Mbaye (Aston Villa), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

46'

B. Doak

Attempt saved. B. Doak (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

46'

M. Tavernier

Substitution, Bournemouth: J. Kluivert comes on for M. Tavernier.

46'

A. Adli

Substitution, Bournemouth: Rayan comes on for A. Adli.

46'

Bournemouth

Corner, Bournemouth.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Bournemouth 1-0 Aston Villa.

45+2'

L. Goretzka

Attempt missed. L. Goretzka (Aston Villa), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

45+2'

Aston Villa

Corner, Aston Villa.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

Bournemouth

Offside, Bournemouth.

42'

E. Buendía

Attempt missed. E. Buendía (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

40'

G. Hemmings

Attempt blocked. G. Hemmings (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

36'

A. Adli

Attempt missed. A. Adli (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

36'

Bournemouth

Offside, Bournemouth.

35'

E. Buendía

Attempt blocked. E. Buendía (Aston Villa), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

34'

M. Tavernier

Attempt missed. M. Tavernier (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

33'

B. Madjo

Yellow card for B. Madjo (Aston Villa) for simulation.

31'

Bournemouth

Corner, Bournemouth.

30'

E. Buendía

Attempt blocked. E. Buendía (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

30'

B. Madjo

Attempt saved. B. Madjo (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.39.

29'

G. Hemmings

Attempt missed. G. Hemmings (Aston Villa), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

25'

B. Doak

Yellow card for B. Doak (Bournemouth) for foul.

24'

A. Adli

Attempt missed. A. Adli (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

19'

M. Tavernier

Attempt missed. M. Tavernier (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

18'

M. Tavernier

Attempt blocked. M. Tavernier (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

17'

A. Silva

Attempt missed. A. Silva (Bournemouth), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

16'

J. Sánchez

Yellow card for J. Sánchez (Bournemouth) for argument.

16'

B. Doak

Attempt saved. B. Doak (Bournemouth), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

16'

Bournemouth

Corner, Bournemouth.

12'

E. Buendía

Yellow card for E. Buendía (Aston Villa) for foul.

G. Hemmings

Attempt missed. G. Hemmings (Aston Villa), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

A. Adli

Goal! Bournemouth 1-0 Aston Villa. A. Adli (Bournemouth) scores, assisted by J. Soler.

Kick-off: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa.

Where the money is

810058 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 583050 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

83.6%

-15.4 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

9.7%

+9.6 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.7%

+6.6 vs price

Half time 321 EUR

Home 2.68 · implied 37.3%

50.5%

+13.2 vs price

Draw 2.58 · implied 38.8%

27.3%

-11.5 vs price

Away 4.1 · implied 24.4%

22.3%

-2.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 68869 EUR · live

Over 1.48 · implied 67.6%

88.8%

+21.2 vs price

Under 3.1 · implied 32.3%

11.2%

-21.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 10 EUR

Under 1.17 · implied 85.5%

100.0%

+14.5 vs price

Over 6.2 · implied 16.1%

67.9%

+51.8 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

7' ⚽ A. Adli · assist J. Soler1–0

12' E. Buendía · Foul

16' J. Sánchez · Argument

25' B. Doak · Foul

33' B. Madjo · Simulation

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 Rayan ◂ A. Adli

46' 🔁 J. Kluivert ◂ M. Tavernier

51' ⚽ L. Cook · assist B. Doak2–0

54' J. Gomes · Foul

58' 🔁 Alysson ◂ I. Mbaye

58' 🔁 A. Garnacho ◂ G. Hemmings

63' 🔁 T. Adams ◂ R. Christie

63' 🔁 D. Brooks ◂ B. Doak

67' L. Cook · Foul

69' ⚽ Á. Rodriguez · assist T. Adams3–0

70' 🔁 J. McGinn ◂ L. Goretzka

70' 🔁 R. Barkley ◂ E. Buendía

75' 🔁 T. Abraham ◂ B. Madjo

80' 🔁 E. J. Kroupi ◂ Á. Rodriguez

Full-time · 3–0

Coaches

Marco Rose

Unai Emery

Recent form

Bournemouth

WAManchester United3-0

WHAC Milan3-0

WHSunderland2-0

WHSK Sturm Graz3-0

LAChelsea1-5

Aston Villa

WHManchester City2-1

WHViking FK3-1

WANewcastle United1-0

WHFenerbahçe6-0

DHBrentford2-2

About this match

**Bournemouth's red-hot form meets Villa's resilience in a cup clash that screams upset alert.** Both sides are flying, but the Cherries have momentum that's honestly ridiculous right now — three straight wins without conceding. 🔥

Bournemouth have been absolutely clinical at home, dismantling United and AC Milan. Aston Villa's strength lies in their defensive solidity and clutch performances (that City win still stings), but they're without key defensive reinforcements here.

Key storylines:

- **Bournemouth's back line** is locked in: A. Silva and J. Hill anchoring a defense that's barely been troubled lately
- **Rayan and Á. Rodriguez** will probe Villa's missing defensive depth with A. Wan-Bissaka and M. Ruggeri sidelined
- **Villa's midfield engine** — B. Kamara and J. Gomes — tasked with keeping Bournemouth's tempo at bay, but it's a tall order

Expected lineups:

- **Bournemouth**: Đ. Petrović, A. Silva, J. Hill, A. Truffert, A. Smith, M. Tavernier, T. Adams, Evanilson, Rayan, Á. Rodriguez, D. Jebbison
- **Aston Villa**: Z. Suzuki, I. Maatsen, V. Lindelöf, T. Mings, M. Cash, B. Kamara, J. Gomes, E. Buendía, R. Barkley, J. McGinn, N. Jackson

Prediction:

**Bournemouth 2–1 Aston Villa**. The Cherries have too much momentum and Villa's injury toll is too steep — lean Bournemouth to advance. ⚫

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 7

Match facts

Stadium

Vitality Stadium

City

Bournemouth

Referee

Tony Harrington

3.57 yellows/match · 37 matches

Kickoff

28 Oct, 19:45 UTC

Competition

Carabao Cup

Top stats

49%Possession51%

2.63Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.67

19Total shots17

7Shots on target5

3Big chances4

6Corners2

Shots

10Shots off target7

2Blocked shots5

16Shots inside box13

3Shots outside box4

1Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed4

Attack

37Touches in box24

59Final third entries47

4Offsides1

15Free kicks13

4Fouled in final third3

Passing

456Passes486

406Accurate passes431

34/52 (65%)Long balls21/42 (50%)

4/20 (20%)Crosses4/9 (44%)

11Throw-ins9

Duels

50Duels50

38/73 (52%)Ground duels35/73 (48%)

4/11 (36%)Aerial duels7/11 (64%)

4/12 (33%)Dribbles11/26 (42%)

4Dispossessed5

Defending

20Tackles12

75Tackles won75

8Interceptions3

10Clearances19

54Recoveries45

Discipline

13Fouls15

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

1Big saves2

8Goal kicks13

0Punches3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Bournemouth 41%

26%

Aston Villa 33%

BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.76 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.65 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.97 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.89 @ 1xBet

1X2Aston Villa to win 33% · 3.22 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 26% · 2.66 @ 1xBet

1X2Bournemouth to win 41% · 2.62 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

Who winsBournemouth to win (DNB) 54% · 1.72 @ Betano

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.30

Bournemouth

3.60

Draw

2.88

Aston Villa

Double Chanceconsensus

1.36

Bournemouth or Draw

1.29

Bournemouth or Aston Villa

1.62

Draw or Aston Villa

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.47

Yes

2.45

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.80

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

14.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.64

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.51

Over 3.50

1.45

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.80

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.70

Bournemouth

2.05

Aston Villa

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.28

Over 7.50

3.04

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.53

Over 8.50

2.30

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.90

Over 9.50

1.83

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.46

Over 10.50

1.45

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.24

Over 11.50

1.25

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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