Panama 1-1 New Zealand: Stats & Lineups – Oct 1, 2026

Commentary

120'

End of extra time. Panama 1-1 New Zealand.

90'

Full-time. Panama 1-1 New Zealand.

90+2'

M. Boxall

Attempt missed. M. Boxall (New Zealand).

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

New Zealand

Offside, New Zealand.

88'

M. Krug

Yellow card for M. Krug (Panama) for foul.

84'

B. Old

Substitution, New Zealand: S. Sutton comes on for B. Old.

84'

E. Just

Substitution, New Zealand: G. Stanger comes on for E. Just.

83'

C. Harvey

Attempt missed. C. Harvey (Panama).

82'

Panama

Corner, Panama.

82'

M. Jiménez

Attempt blocked. M. Jiménez (Panama).

78'

M. Dyer

Attempt blocked. M. Dyer (New Zealand).

76'

D. Wilkins

Attempt missed. D. Wilkins (New Zealand).

73'

L. Bayliss

Attempt missed. L. Bayliss (New Zealand).

73'

New Zealand

Corner, New Zealand.

73'

M. Dyer

Attempt blocked. M. Dyer (New Zealand).

72'

New Zealand

Corner, New Zealand.

71'

C. Wood

Substitution, New Zealand: D. Wilkins comes on for C. Wood.

71'

L. Rogerson

Substitution, New Zealand: M. Dyer comes on for L. Rogerson.

71'

J. Fajardo

Substitution, Panama: M. Jiménez comes on for J. Fajardo.

70'

L. Bayliss

Attempt missed. L. Bayliss (New Zealand).

67'

A. Rufer

Substitution, New Zealand: D. Ingham comes on for A. Rufer.

67'

B. Waine

Substitution, New Zealand: J. Randall comes on for B. Waine.

66'

A. Carrasquilla

Substitution, Panama: D. Murillo comes on for A. Carrasquilla.

66'

C. Martínez

Substitution, Panama: V. Griffith comes on for C. Martínez.

65'

C. Martínez

Attempt blocked. C. Martínez (Panama).

64'

New Zealand

Corner, New Zealand.

64'

B. Waine

Attempt missed. B. Waine (New Zealand).

56'

J. Ramos

Substitution, Panama: M. Krug comes on for J. Ramos.

56'

G. Herbert

Substitution, Panama: A. Londoño comes on for G. Herbert.

52'

C. Martínez

Attempt missed. C. Martínez (Panama).

50'

Panama

Corner, Panama.

49'

C. Wood

Attempt missed. C. Wood (New Zealand).

49'

New Zealand

Corner, New Zealand.

47'

Panama

Offside, Panama.

46'

A. Carrasquilla

Attempt blocked. A. Carrasquilla (Panama).

46'

J. Gutiérrez

Substitution, Panama: O. Valencia comes on for J. Gutiérrez.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Panama 1-1 New Zealand.

45+1'

G. Herbert

Goal! Panama 1-1 New Zealand. G. Herbert (Panama) scores, assisted by J. L. Rodríguez.

40'

C. Wood

Attempt blocked. C. Wood (New Zealand).

39'

J. L. Rodríguez

Attempt blocked. J. L. Rodríguez (Panama).

34'

J. Fajardo

Attempt missed. J. Fajardo (Panama).

31'

J. Fajardo

Attempt saved. J. Fajardo (Panama).

30'

New Zealand

Corner, New Zealand.

22'

G. Herbert

Attempt missed. G. Herbert (Panama).

21'

L. Rogerson

Attempt missed. L. Rogerson (New Zealand).

20'

Panama

Offside, Panama.

15'

New Zealand

Offside, New Zealand.

13'

M. Stamenić

Goal! Panama 0-1 New Zealand. M. Stamenić (New Zealand) scores, assisted by B. Waine.

2'

A. Murillo

Attempt blocked. A. Murillo (Panama).

1'

Kick-off: Panama vs New Zealand.

Where the money is

150995 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 28480 EUR · live

Draw 1.05 · implied 95.2%

50.2%

-45.0 vs price

Home 17.5 · implied 5.7%

28.2%

+22.5 vs price

Away 21.0 · implied 4.8%

22.2%

+17.4 vs price

Half time 279 EUR · live

Away 4.5 · implied 22.2%

40.5%

+18.2 vs price

Home 16.0 · implied 6.2%

30.8%

+24.5 vs price

Draw 1.96 · implied 51.0%

28.3%

-22.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 42234 EUR · live

Over 11.0 · implied 9.1%

61.5%

+52.4 vs price

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

39.7%

-55.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 3773 EUR · live

Under 1.24 · implied 80.6%

85.4%

+4.8 vs price

Over 4.9 · implied 20.4%

14.5%

-5.9 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Match events

13' ⚽ M. Stamenić · assist B. Waine0–1

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺¹ ⚽ G. Herbert · assist J. L. Rodríguez1–1

46' 🔁 O. Valencia ◂ J. Gutiérrez

56' 🔁 A. Londoño ◂ G. Herbert

56' 🔁 M. Krug ◂ J. Ramos

66' 🔁 V. Griffith ◂ C. Martínez

66' 🔁 D. Murillo ◂ A. Carrasquilla

67' 🔁 J. Randall ◂ B. Waine

67' 🔁 D. Ingham ◂ A. Rufer

71' 🔁 M. Jiménez ◂ J. Fajardo

71' 🔁 M. Dyer ◂ L. Rogerson

71' 🔁 D. Wilkins ◂ C. Wood

84' 🔁 G. Stanger ◂ E. Just

84' 🔁 S. Sutton ◂ B. Old

88' M. Krug · Foul

Full-time · 1–1

ET · 1–1

PEN · 3–5

Coaches

Thomas Christiansen

Darren Bazeley

Recent form

Panama

DAIndia1-1

LHEngland0-2

LHCroatia0-1

LAGhana0-1

DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

New Zealand

WAChina3-0

DAPalestine2-2

LHBelgium1-5

LHEgypt1-3

DAIran2-2

About this match

**Panama host New Zealand in a dead-rubber friendly** — both teams looking to shake off recent wobbles and find some rhythm before the real business resumes. 🔥

Panama's been rough lately (0W in five), though they did nick a draw against India. New Zealand's slightly fresher after beating China 3-0, but got absolutely hammered 1-5 by Belgium last time out. Home advantage might matter here, but neither side screams "confident."

Key storylines:

- **C. Waterman and C. Wood** leading the respective attacks — Panama's hoping for more clinical finishing than recent form suggests
- Panama missing **A. Andrade** and New Zealand without **L. Cacace** means both sides are patching up the flanks
- **M. Boxall and F. Surman** will anchor New Zealand's backline against a Panama side that struggles to create consistent chances

Expected lineups:

- **Panama**: O. Mosquera, J. Córdoba, J. Ramos, F. Escobar, J. L. Rodríguez, A. Murillo, C. Martínez, C. Harvey, Y. Bárcenas, C. Blackman, C. Waterman
- **New Zealand**: M. Crocombe, F. De Vries, F. Surman, M. Boxall, T. Payne, M. Stamenić, J. Bell, B. Waine, S. Singh, K. Barbarouses, C. Wood

Prediction:

**1-1 draw** — both teams scrappy but ultimately cancel each other out.

Where to watch

TVMax

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Rommel Fernandez

City

Panama City

Referee

Rubiel Vazquez

3.59 yellows/match · 56 matches

Kickoff

01 Oct, 06:10 UTC

Competition

International Friendly Games

Highlights & clips

Panama 5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1 New Zealand

22 O. Mosquera 23 A. Murillo 4 M. Krug ↑ 56' 14 C. Harvey 19 O. Valencia ↑ 46' 2 C. Blackman 5 V. Griffith ↑ 66' 26 D. Murillo ↑ 66' 11 A. Londoño ↑ 56' 7 J. L. Rodríguez 21 M. Jiménez ↑ 71' 1 A. Paulsen 2 C. Elliot 5 M. Boxall 4 T. Bindon 14 G. Stanger ↑ 84' 8 M. Stamenić ⚽1 23 D. Ingham ↑ 67' 13 D. Wilkins ↑ 71' 21 J. Randall ↑ 67' 3 S. Sutton ↑ 84' 10 M. Dyer ↑ 71'

Substitutes

1GM. De Leon 12GE. Roberts 15DJ. Gutiérrez↓ 46' 13DJ. Ramos↓ 56' 24DE. Anderson 25DJ. Jones 27DJ. Modelo 20MG. Herbert↓ 56' 6MC. Martínez↓ 66' 8MA. Carrasquilla↓ 66' 17FJ. Fajardo↓ 71' 9FT. Rodríguez 10FR. Mosquera

Coach: Thomas Christiansen

Substitutes

22GM. Woud 13GH. Gray 19DB. Old↓ 84' 28DB. Tuiloma 14MA. Rufer↓ 67' 7ML. Rogerson↓ 71' 11ME. Just↓ 84' 25ML. Bayliss 23MO. P. Price 23MS. Ukich 18FB. Waine↓ 67' 9FC. Wood↓ 71'

Coach: Darren Bazeley

Top stats

64%Possession36%

1.0Expected goals (xG)1.31

2Corners4

Attack

2Offsides3

10Free kicks15

Passing

18Throw-ins16

Discipline

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

12Goal kicks4

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Panama 41%

28%

New Zealand 31%

Who winsPanama to win (DNB) 76% · 1.83 @ 888Sport

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.65 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 28% · 2.05 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.22 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.83 @ Marathon

1X2New Zealand to win 31% · 3.75 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 55%

1X2Panama to win 41% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 1.40 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.25

Panama

3.25

Draw

3.00

New Zealand

Double Chanceconsensus

1.36

Panama or Draw

1.33

Panama or New Zealand

1.61

Draw or New Zealand

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.75

Yes

1.95

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.08

Over 0.50

8.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.40

Over 1.50

2.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.20

Over 2.50

1.65

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.00

Over 3.50

1.22

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

9.00

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.78

Panama

1.90

New Zealand

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.00

Panama

2.05

Draw

3.75

New Zealand

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

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